Sunday, May 12, 2013

WE'RE STAYING UP! ... WE'RE STAYING UP! ...

There is a considerable sigh of relief here today at IN PLAY LOSE World HQ, having paid close attention to the penultimate weekend of play in the EPL. The beloved Canaries of Norwich City F.C., having made a complete mess of things in the second half season and squandered points the past couple of weeks, were staring into the abyss of relegation with two games left to play and a road trip looming next week to what will likely be a suddenly very cranky Man City. Must-win game today. Absolute must.

Fortunately, the schedule dictated their opponent today at Carrow Road was West Bromwich Albion, one of those middle-of-the-table teams safely into the EPL for next season but not competing for a spot in European play. In short, West Brom had nothing to play for, and thus didn't care at all. 


Norwich City 4:0 West Brom. Coupled with the other results from the weekend, the Canaries are now safe. They actually leapfrogged a whole bunch of teams and are now in 12th place, of all things, which shows just how many bad teams the EPL has this season.

Carrow Road was apparently quite a festive atmosphere today, awash in chants of “We’re staying up! We’re staying up!” as the Canaries continued hammering the hapless Baggies. The takeaway from this, of course, is a bit odd – “We don’t completely suck!” really isn't that much of a rallying cry. But it was something to play for, the objective was met, the benefits are enormous and the feat is, in the moment, worthy of considerable joy. The Canaries are in a good place here going forward, and with another £50m+ to bankroll for next season they will have some options.

And I am looking forward to seeing them here this summer when the Good Guys come to California. One of the delightful oddities of America's place in the game of soccer is that players from elsewhere generally like coming here, because there is enough of a subculture of knowledgable fandom established to give them a worthwhile reception, but not the sort of lunatic, frenzied, paparazzi type atmosphere that surrounds big European leagues. A good number of the EPL clubs will make their way to the US this summer, as is their norm, including the Canaries, who are playing here in the Bay Area vs. the San Jose Earthquakes on ...

July 20th, which is when I'll be in Las Vegas.

Nertz.

Even on a glorious, day, there just has to be some LOSE involved.

Monday, May 6, 2013

The Worst Team Money Can Buy, May Edition

As a shiny new feature at the LOSE, it seems like a good time to offer up a monthly award for The Worst Team Money Can Buy, where we look back and try to figure how it is that a team with money to burn can be so awful. This also gives me a chance to be a smartass. I try very hard to be compassionate, since I know how much losing sucks, but there are times where compassion is most definitely unwarranted.

There is a conventional way of thinking, most prevalent in baseball but not reserved for it, that success will correlate to the size of a team’s payroll. I happen to think this notion is extremely simplistic, and that having more dollars at your disposal can also provide more opportunities to screw everything up. And with spending big comes big(ger) expectations – the bigger you spend, the harder you fall.

We have quite an assortment of nominees for this month’s WTMCB. Honorable mention needs to go to the Minnesota Wild, who spent a truckload to sign the two best available free agents – Parise and Suter – to matching long-term deals and then could do no better than muddling their way to an #8 seed in the playoffs and 2nd place in a lousy division well behind the old, slow Vancouver Canucks. They get dinged here for needlessly raising expectations – signing two players gave the club a grand total of two players that anyone would actually want. We all should have known better, but it's the NHL playoffs so anything is possible. They might redeem themselves with a good showing vs. the Black Hawks.

I would also give the L.A. Dodgers a wag of the finger here, since it boggles the mind that a team with a $200m+ payroll is fielding a team with a 3B hitting .098, but the Dodgers have also had terrible luck on the injury front. Couldn’t happen to a better bunch, in my opinion, and there is still plenty of opportunity to the Dodgers to claim this soon-to-be coveted award. They’ll find a way to win it, I can assure you of that. They're well on their way, but have been outdone so far this baseball season by a couple of brass-in-pocket, rocks-in-the-head franchises.

Finalist #1 for this month’s award has to be the Toronto Blue Jays, who are in about the 13th year of their 5-year rebuilding plan. Impatience has understandably started to settle in north of the border, and GM Alex Anthopoulos decided to go big in the offseason – signing NL Cy Young R.A. Dickey from the Mets, signing would-be NL batting champ Melky Cabrera, and then making the most monstrous one-sided deal imaginable, taking full advantage of the fire sale in Miami by acquiring pretty much every player on the Marlins you’d want not named Giancarlo Stanton. And while I have no reason to trust anything that Marlins owner Jeffrey Loria says about his franchise’s rather atrocious off-season behaviour, his summation of his franchise’s actions were “we weren’t any good with these guys, so we can be bad without them.” And judging by the performance of Marlins North so far, he may have a point. The Jays had some bad luck here with injury woes for Jose Reyes and Josh Johnson, but Dickey’s been lousy, the offense stinks, and the Jays always seem to have a roster full of headcases and problem children that don’t seem to play well together and ultimately underachieve. At 11-21 and in last place in the AL East, with four competent teams above them in the standings, it’s looking like a lost season in Toronto. I suspect there might be job openings.

Also with an 11-21 record here in early May is Finalist #2, the California Los Angeles Angels of Studio City Anaheim, who made a big splash in free agency last year with Albert Pujols et. al, but started terribly and underachieved last season because they couldn’t pitch, the response to which was to go out and sign Josh Hamilton, another outfielder, which doesn't help much unless Hamilton has developed a curveball all of a sudden, and they didn’t really need him because whiz kid wünderkind Mike Trout can pretty much play the entire outfield by himself. Managing to find a sucker convince the Yankees to take Vernon Wells’ rotting corpse of a contract off their hands was good, but then they lowballed Trout, which was stupid, and they’ve got so many zombie dollars strewn about their future payrolls now that signing Trout and Mike Trumbo (their two best players, pretty much, and also two of the youngest) is probably going to be impossible. Hamilton has been awful, Pujols can barely move, and THEY STILL CAN’T PITCH. The problem with both the Jays and the Halos is that they’re already too far behind at this point in the season, and the Angels are in 4th place in the AL West with two teams above them who actually know what they’re doing. (Notice I said two. The Mariners are in 3rd.)

But there can really be only one winner of a loser here, and I’m going to give this award out for their entire body of work over the course of a recently completed 86-game season. This year’s Los Angeles Lakers were, without doubt, the worst team money can buy, as they went about assembling a starting lineup that would’ve been a good fantasy basketball team in 2008. I hate fantasy sports in general, and fantasy basketball is particularly stupid in that the whole would never be the sum of the parts simply because there wouldn’t be enough basketballs. This team sure did look good on paper at the start of the season, as the Lakers got every past-their-prime big name available to them and expected the team would be spectacular, but they were a complete flop. They did Mike Brown a favour by firing him after five games, then Mike D’Antoni came in with his Phoenix Suns offense from the mid 2000s, which works when you have a bunch of guys who can actually move. But Steve Nash was hurt all the time, and Dwight Howard was hurt all the time, and Kobe was taking bad shots all the time and then had that terrible Achilles injury, and Meta World Peace was weird and Pau Gasol was getting blamed for everything even though he was about the only guy who showed up every night. The chemistry was worse than my high school science experiment in which I grew fungi on moldy cheese in the basement for two months. Somehow the league made sure the Lakers snuck into the playoffs, but that 4-0 sweep at the hands of the Spurs in the first round was the most dismal playoff performance imaginable, as a rash of injuries finished off whatever backcourt depth they had and reduced the Lakers to playing with some D-League signees as their starting guards. And Dwight Howard did what he could to get himself thrown out midway through Game 4. Even he had seen enough, and one would think the Lakers have seen enough of him.

This was a poorly constructed team that was ill-thought out, and the shock of just how bad the Lakers were wore off eventually, giving way to acceptance of what a disaster this team had turned out to be and an ambulance chaser's sort of fascination with seeing just how low they could go. And, as an eternal Laker hater, I gleefully award them this month's award for the Worst Team Money Can Buy.

Saturday, May 4, 2013

A King's Ransom

The LOSE loves absurdity, of course, and nothing is more ad absurdum than the continued (mis)adventures of the Sacramento Kings. This past Monday, the NBA’s Relocation Committee – which consists of the owners of seven other NBA franchises – voted “unanimously” to advise against the Kings being relocated to Seattle for the 2013-2014 season. (I put the word unanimously in quotes because when dealing with matters such as this, the NBA owners like to build consensus and show themselves to be a unified front.) From a purely economic standpoint, doing this makes no sense whatsoever: the Seattle ownership group consists of multibillionaires and would be, if accepted, among the wealthiest ownership groups in all of professional sports; the proposed new downtown arena in Seattle, paid for in a public-private partnership, if done correctly would offer no significant hit to taxpayers while also further enhancing the value of the franchise, which would control all of its own revenue streams; a dynamic new Seattle franchise would be a contributor to the NBA’s internal revenue sharing plan, whereas the Sacramento franchise will always be reaching its hand into the jar. And the Seattle group is willing to put their money where their mouth is, having agreed to a purchase price of the franchise – originally $341,000,000 for a 65% stake – far greater than the Kings are actually thought to be worth. This buy would thus set the value of the franchise at around $525,000,000 or so, which vastly exceeds the record purchase price of an NBA franchise. Imagine what the Lakers or the Knicks or the Celtics are worth if someone wants to pay $525m for the Kings.

THE KINGS!

“I was at my son’s soccer game, which consisted of watching 20 kids moving in a swarm in pursuit of the ball without any direction or sense of what they are doing. It reminded me of some of those Kansas City Kings teams I covered.”
– Kevin Callabro, radio play-by-play man for the Seattle SuperSonics


The Kings are, without question, one of the sorriest excuses for a franchise in the history of professional sports, a vagabond club which has one exactly one league title and called five different cities home, wearing out their welcome seemingly wherever they went. First they were the Rochester Royals, then the Cincinnati Royals, then they became the Kansas City-Omaha Kings, dropped the Omaha, then dropped the Kansas City and relocated to Sacramento in the early 1980s. The Kings relocation to California’s capital gave the city instant cred, gave it status us a big league city and the fans flocked to Arco Arena, bringing their cowbells along with them and establishing themselves as one of sport’s most loyal bases even though they’ve rarely had much of anything to cheer for. Thanks to the skills of savvy GM Geoff Petrie, who assembled an interesting mix of draft picks and seasoned vets, the Kings of the turn of the millennium offered up one of the most exciting, dynamic teams the league has seen, featuring a dynamic offense built around a rejuvenated Chris Webber’s unique skill set – a mix of high basketball IQ sophistication with multifaceted athleticism. They were on the verge of a trip to the NBA finals in 2002 when this happened.

Which was the single most disgusting display of officiating that I had seen in the NBA since … well, since this game. Note the free throw count for the Suns.

That Game 7 loss to the Phoenix Suns in the 1992 Western Conference Finals was one of the most bitter defeats in club history, and still makes people angry. It appeared tainted by the fact that the NBA had already been promoting an Finals matchup between Jordan’s Chicago Bulls and the new look, Charles Barkley-led, we’ve-survived-the-1980s-cocaine-era-and-are-no-longer-bankrupt Phoenix Suns. It was difficult even for someone like myself, who is skeptical of all conspiracy theories, to watch 3 Sonics foul out and watch a steady procession to the free throw line by Sir Charles and by Kevin Johnson (remember that name) and not believe the fix was in. This is because the outcome of a basketball game is the among the easiest of sports to manipulate, since fouls called by officials lead to free points to one team and push players closer to disqualification on the other.

And while I’m not about to shout out “the fix is in,” given that it’s common knowledge, or at least common perception, that the NBA’s officials have different sets of rules for different players – the superstars get the breaks, the rookies get no respect, etc. The fact that is assumed to be true by a great number of even the game’s most ardent supporters speaks to a serious credibility problem. (It also doesn’t help that an NBA official was imprisoned for fixing games.)

The NBA denies this, of course, because admitting something like this publicly would give it all the credibility of the WWF. But when David Stern took over as NBA commissioner in 1984, with the league in a state of near-ruin, he revamped the league through the constant, endless promotion of the league’s greatest players. Now it helped, of course, that two of the games brightest stars – Larry Bird and Magic Johnson – came along simultaneously and landed in Boston and Los Angeles, two prestige franchises with the greatest histories of success and the greatest wide-spread appeal. Then along came Michael Jordan, who landed in big-market Chicago to revamp the moribund Bulls (thanks in part to the knucklehead Blazers taking Sam Bowie – LOL), and, along with the games three biggest icons leading their teams to repeated championships came the salad days – record television ratings and an NBA boom that was international in appeal. So would a league that constantly markets their superstars as the league’s greatest selling point, and depends on their successes for further success of the league as a whole, ever dare allow them to be upended? From a competitive standpoint, the answer should be “yes,” but if you believe that the NBA is little more than style over substance, it’s pretty easy to accept that extra couple of steps Jordan gets on the way to the hoop as business-as-usual.

And the NBA conspiracy theorist would take it one step further – not only does the league care about some players more than others, they also care about some franchises more than others. Dynamic teams in the most dynamic markets make for the best television, after all, and would a Milwaukee-Utah NBA Final really have that much appeal? It’s easy to look at the league and start dividing it into the Haves and the Have Nots – the haves being a list consisting of something like New York, L.A., Boston, Philly, Chicago, Miami, Detroit, Phoenix and Orlando, with the have-nots being everyone else. In that way of thinking, it’s not a coincidence at all that the New York Knicks got the first pick in the very first NBA draft lottery – clearly, it must have been rigged! And you can extrapolate that line of argument out further, to the point where the league’s offices are permitting a charmer like this to continue running the L.A. Clippers, and stepping in and perpetually trying to keep the New Jersey Swamp Dragons Brooklyn Nets afloat despite their greatest efforts at self-destruction (or, even worse than self-destruction, of moving to St. Louis! Thanks to this amazing bamboozling of the NBA, St. Louis will never see an NBA franchise ever, lest you think the league doesn’t hold grudges). If you’re not one of the haves, the league ultimately doesn’t give a shit about your team. They don’t care how many games you win, or how many fans park their butts in the seats of your arena. And if some predatory group comes along and tries to heist your team away, hey … sucks to be you, now doesn’t it? The Oklahoma City Zombie Sonics could’ve very easily been the Zombie Bucks or Zombie Pacers or Zombie Nuggets. Seattle just happened to be the club for sale at the time.

Now I don’t want to buy into ANY of those notions. I don’t believe the games are fixed or that the draft is rigged (were that the case, San Antonio wouldn’t have struck gold twice), or that the league office goes about manipulating the outcomes. But then you watch a game the Phoenix Suns shoot 64 free throws in Game 7 of the Western Conference Finals against some group of misfits out of the forests of the Northwest, and start to wonder if the skeptics and conspiracy theorists have a point. And then you watch this – seriously, go to YouTube and watch this garbage once more – a game so dubiously officiated that the California Attorney General threatened legal inquiries, and you start to wonder about the entire structure of the league, because any organization that would permit something as seemingly blatant a go at match fixing as that should have ZERO credibility as a competitive enterprise.

And given that they are kindred spirits in the “We Got Jobbed By the NBA” club, this should, in theory, make the cities of Sacramento and Seattle kindred spirits. But here the two cities are in 2013 pitted against one-another, trashing each other, trying to make themselves look good in the eyes of the league. And when I say “the league,” I mean Commissioner David Stern, of course, because what he says is the rule. He will occasionally trot out the line “I work for the owners,” when it suits him, but the vast majority of owners in the NBA owe it to Stern granting them the right to own a team. He is the kingpin of the cartel that is the NBA. If he wants something done, it is done.

And really, you have to look at all professional sports in America as cartels, simply because they are entitled to act as single, central entity with franchises. This is in stark contrast to, say, the English Premier League which I referenced in this previous post.

There are 20 clubs in the EPL, but the number of actual professional clubs in Great Britain is far more than that – there are 92 clubs in the four divisions, and countless more semiprofessional sides in various regional leagues below that. Football leagues in Great Britain (and, indeed, in most of the world) are essentially loose associations of clubs which have grown organically over time, many of whom were originally neighbourhood associations or interest groups (the juggernaut that is Manchester United, for example, started out as a football club for railway workers). Membership in the highest strata of the game is, in fact, open to the highest levels of sport, as it is entirely performance based.

Suppose the powers that be here at IN PLAY LOSE HQ decided to start a professional football club in, say, Aberystwyth. (There, I’ve now given myself license to say Aberystwyth repeatedly.) Was IN PLAY LOSE F.C. to continue to earn promotion through on-field performance, year by year, we would move into higher levels of play. Doing so isn’t easy, of course – with each promotion comes the need for more financial commitment and superior club management – but the opportunity is there to rise through the ranks. If IPLFC keeps winning, we keep movin’ on up.

There is also a certain level of Peter Principle to all of this, in that a club is ultimately promoted to the level of its own incompetence. So let’s say that IN PLAY LOSE F.C. charges its way through the multi-tiered English League, much to the blessing and joy of the people of Aberystwyth, but the reality is we are still a small club and the XP The Divine Ruler Football Grounds doesn’t have that large of a capacity (we are based in rural Western Wales, after all), so maybe we don’t have the resources to compete with the Manchester Uniteds and Liverpools and Arsenals and get sent back down to League One in short order. Well, that happens. But we still have some decent finances here, and we can field a team that can beat on the Ipswich Towns of the world in Division 2, and be pretty successful at that. The club has found a level at which it can be comfortable. That possibility exists in the multi-tiered structure. Everyone has opportunities.

This structure also prevents franchises from being godfuckingterrible for decades on end like you see in the U.S. with teams like the Cubs and the Lions and the Arizona Cardinals, keeps the quality of play high at the top (since top players inevitably gravitate to Division One), and there is always an infusion of new talent and new ideas into the leagues as clubs come and go. Win and you’re in, suck and you disappear back to a level where maybe you won’t suck anymore. And if you really screw things up and go broke, go into “administration” as they say in the U.K., you can just start again at the lowest level and work your way back up again. (Witness the oddity of Rangers, the most dominant club in the history of Scotland, toiling in Division Four this year after going broke.)

Suffice to say, it doesn’t work this way in the NBA, or in any other professional sport in North America, all of which are based upon the model of Major League Baseball, which has an antitrust exemption dating to the 1920s – a rather bizarrely narrow ruling at the time which has held up somehow as precedent over the years. The three other major sports leagues have structured themselves in a similar fashion … and then quickly rewritten their charters and bylaws any time the spectre of antitrust litigation gets waved in their direction. In essence, the leagues operate as cartels, offering up new franchises when it suits them, but keeping a tight control over the number of franchises available. This is done, in part, to control the supply in this world of supply and demand, thus driving up the value of the franchises on the open market. And we, the public, we eat this stuff up, loving the competition and the contests. We eat this stuff up. And we develop bonds with our local franchises, we buy tickets to the games and jerseys with our favorite player’s number on the back. We even refer to it in third person, as if we are a part of the team. (I just did that the other day, in fact, taking about the Giants – “the Arizona Diamondbacks must hate us right now.”)

But this is a cartel we’re dealing with here, and when you’re dealing with a cartel, the junkies ultimately have no real sway. The entire success of the NBA is, in large part, predicated on the idea that you’ll keep going to the games, that you’ll keep showing up and being fiercely loyal even if your team stinks year after year. Loyal to the point where you and your fellow citizens of your city will pony up untold amounts in tax revenue to finance their business. It’s been estimated that the NBA receives as much as $3,000,000,000 annually in the form of public subsidies – tax breaks, revenue concessions, and municipalities picking up the tab for the stadia in which they play. And that’s where your ‘loyalty’ is tested (another hallmark of cartels – loyalty must be absolute or the punishments are severe). You are your collective citizens of municipalities must finance new arenas, in the end, because there are only a finite number of franchises, see, and the demand for those franchises is greater than the supply, so if you don’t want to go along … well …

This sort of thing can happen. RIP Seattle SuperSonics.

It’s at this point that I should disclose, yet again, my personal biases in all that I am saying within this essay: I was a season ticket holder for the Seattle SuperSonics. If you’ve all done you’re homework and watched this documentary, you’ve come to know the sad story of how the Sonics ceased to be. And I’ve turned my back on the NBA ever since that happened, having watched a grand total of two NBA games in their entirety since 2008. One of those would be the last game of the NBA finals a year ago, in fact, which was a chance to engage in some schadenfreude while watching the Zombie Sonics, aka the Oklahoma City Blunder Thunder, have their heads handed to them by the Miami Heat. The other was Game 6 of the NBA Finals the year previous, when those same Heat were defeated by the Dallas Mavericks, whom I like, in large part, because of owner Mark “Your Fucking Game is Rigged” Cuban, one of the few owners with the stones to challenge the league hierarchy, and one of the two dissenters in the 28-2 vote by the NBA which permitted the Sonics to be moved to Oklahoma City. (I would give the other dissenter – Paul Allen, who owns the Portland Trailblazers – some props as well, except that I can’t really do that because, well, because Blazers.)

It’s been hard for me to stay away, because I’ve always been a basketball junkie, willing and able to watch pretty much any game, at any level, between any teams. Men? Women? Doesn’t matter. Pro? College? European? Sure, bring it on. I was always willing to overlook what I perceived to be a flawed and unscrupulous business, because I love the sport and loved the team that I had season tickets for – the Sonics of the early 1990s being a bunch whose unofficial motto was “play crazy,” a volatile collection of insanely talented players with a mad genius of a coach in George Karl who, when on their game, were as good as any team I’ve ever seen. And I remember the building in Seattle, how it was LOUD and extremely intimidating to opponents, the lower bowl of the seating designed to provide the fan with the best view of the action, the ability to make the most impact on the game, and the best entertainment experience imaginable.

Which was exactly the point. KeyArena, the old Seattle Center Coliseum, was essentially custom-remodeled to the specs of the Seattle SuperSonics. It was basically built to order for the Sonics in 1994 and received a sterling review at the time.

And yet here came the Okies in 2008, stating they’d need a new arena to compete when the old arena hadn’t even been fully paid off. The residents of the city of Seattle and the state of Washington, having ponied up for the Sonics in 1993, had done so again to build a new ballpark for the Mariners (and you see what $500,000,000 gets you) and done so again to build a new stadium for the Seahawks, and people were tired of doing this again and again and again and not seeing greater returns on their investments. At least not obvious returns, anyway – there has been quite a bit of debate about the actual value that building sports venues brings to a community. Some studies look at it straight-up, dollar-for-dollar, and question the actual benefit. Other studies take the approach that the benefits are nuanced, that being a “big league” city improves the tourism biz, the convention biz, raises the city’s profile. But in the end, it becomes hard to justify the constant, continuous outlay of public funds for what is, essentially, an exclusive and exclusionary business for a tight circle of elites and little more than a passionate pastime for everyone else.

Me personally, I don’t have any real issue with the use of public funds for such projects – I appreciate the entertainment offered in such venues, and believe that having such opportunities improves the quality of life – but I can certainly understand others’ reticence at doing so.

The Citizens for More Important Things was a group founded specifically to thwart the use of tax revenue for the purposes of building sports stadia. I personally have always thought of the group as a bunch of bombastic, bloviating NIMBYs, but they were successful in leading the drive to pass Initiative 91 in the city of Seattle, an ordinance that prohibit Seattle from supporting teams with city tax dollars unless such investments yield a profit on par with a 30-year U.S. Treasury bond – essentially, it bans the practice of financing sports venues with tax money, viewing it as being akin to corporate welfare.

OK, I can see the logic in this, even if I don’t agree with it and would’ve voted no had I still been a resident of the state. But if you’re a business like the NBA, and essentially dependent on public subsidies to prop up your entity, I-91 is a patent rejection of everything about the way you do business – even if it should be abundantly obvious that your business model is completely, utterly flawed. Suffice to say, this hasn’t gone over well with David Stern, who comes off surprisingly petty for someone of his status.

I really hate that guy. The man is the the walking definition of “Napoleonic Complex.”

I hate the NBA because the league and the team I had grown up rooting for turned it’s back on the city whose fans adored it, packed up and moved to Oklahoma City. I hate David Stern and that carpetbagging sleazebag Clay Bennett and his wholly despicable sidekick Aubrey McClendon. I hate the politicos in the city of Seattle and the state of Washington who essentially sold out the city. I hate Howard Schultz for selling to these bozos and would boycott every one of his 116,000 retail outlets were it not for the fact that I’m ALSO ADDICTED TO COFFEE! ACK!

But I don’t hate the game. If anything, I have found this resurgent Golden State Warriors team to be rather exciting. There are few things in sports – in life, even – as beautiful as watching Stefan Curry shoot a basketball. (Hyperbole? Perhaps, but this Golden State Warriors team is like crack to a basketball junkie like me. I may have weaned myself off but I’ve never really quit. I’ve just stopped. Big difference.) It’s possible that the W’s could ultimately restore my faith, at least somewhat, although I’m going to be leery of the league and will never consider it legit until the league returns to Seattle. Which seemed likely up until a few days ago, as the Chris Hansen group, having spent 3 years and about $100,000,000 putting into play their plans to bring the NBA back to Seattle, were poised to acquire a 65% stake in the Sacramento Kings from the Maloof brothers.

Aah, the Maloofs. Good New Mexican lads, the Maloofs, a family of beer distribution magnates who have also dabbled in Albuquerque-area politics and ultimately branched out into the world of Las Vegas casinos. They loved the glitz and the glamour of owning a franchise in the most stylish and trendy of American sports, and with the Kings ascension in their early tenure as owners, they seemed like they were the toast of the town.

But it would appear the Peter Principle applied to the Maloof Bros. investment strategies as well. Their Palms Casino venture collapsed, they’re heavily in debt, and they have one major asset left – the Kings, who have slowly disintegrated for a decade now as Edmonton Disease has started to creep in. The fans of the Kings, who’ve packed Arco Arena for decades (and I refuse to call if whatever the hell it’s Sponsor du jour name is) and have generally had to put up with a lousy product, did nothing wrong in any of this, of course. It isn’t about them anymore. It’s about their owners recouping their losses. Professional sports in North America are always sold to the public as being something of a civic trust, but that only goes so far as the owners not being able to make far more money elsewhere. Thus up came the demand from the Maloofs for a new arena to be built, which was voted down rather understandably in the middle of an economic depression. After that came a dimwitted plan to move the franchise to Anaheim which fizzled, then talk of moving to Virginia Beach (which seemed to be news to everyone in Virginia Beach), and finally, having poisoned the waters for themselves in Sacramento and created impossible animosity, the Maloofs decided to sell to Hansen and his assemblage of Seattle businessmen with pockets about as deep as the Marianas trench:


graphic courtesy of the folks at Sonics Rising

It would stand to reason that the NBA would want people like the Hansen group in their midst, and would want to rid themselves of the Maloofs. The greatest kink in the armor of such seemingly iron-clad entities are rogue owners who act like idiots. As Al Davis proved in his (mis)handling of the Oakland/L.A./Oakland Raiders, the leagues themselves don’t actually have much power to prevent their members from acting badly. In fact, they have to ultimately go along with some bad ideas and they pay the consequences for it. This whole mess involving Seattle and Sacramento, ultimately, is the end result of a decade’s worth of bad decisions by the NBA, a chain of events which would make you question just how great a commissioner Mr. Stern really is. Consider:

• The NBA approves the move of the Charlotte Hornets to New Orleans. The Hornets were an instant success in Chrlotte, selling out the league’s largest building, reaching a playoff level reasonably quickly and establishing fashion trends in the process (ooh, teal, pretty), but they were owned by George Shinn, who turned out to be cuckoo bañanas and went about poisoning one of the sport’s great oases. He was lured to New Orleans by all sorts of promises that the city of New Orleans and state of Louisiana ultimately couldn’t deliver on. (See, it can cut both ways here.)
• The New Orleans Hornets promptly fall apart, to the surprise of absolutely no one.
• The league “feels bad” about how things went down in Charlotte, having left a popular market mainly so as not to undermine one of their own owners (lest they set a precedent of trying to prevent individual owners from doing as they wish), so they award an expansion franchise to Charlotte, which has some new owners and have gone about building a new arena it probably didn’t read, and the end result of this is the Charlotte Bobcats, one of the worst franchises in sports that is presently being run into the ground by Michael Jordan. (More proof that great players don’t make great coaches or administrators, but that’s the subject of another blog.)
• Meanwhile, the flatlining Hornets are now faced with an even bigger problem, in that their home city gets drownd by Katrina. The franchise then relocates for a season to Oklahoma City – a city which positively ADORES them. It seems like an ideal home.
• But the NBA doesn’t want to “look bad,” and doesn’t want to look like a greedy, selfish entity taking advantage of a natural disaster, so the Hornets then go back to New Orleans, where they were already floundering, and continue to flounder to the point where the league has to ultimately step in and by the franchise.
• And once that happens, of course, any ideas about competitive balance and avoiding conflict of interest go flying out the window, since this unwanted investment is now subject to all sorts of politics and manipulations that wouldn’t otherwise apply. Ultimately, they find a local owner – Tom Benson of the Saints – to take this problem child off their hands, selling at a price – $338m – that, compared to the money being thrown around in Sacramento, looks like a pretty bad deal for the NBA. Benson’s Super Bowl winning Saints were a feel-good story as they brought some joy and hope to a city desperately in need of it. (Never mind that he was often hinting at moving the Saints so as to extort concessions and improvements to the Superdome from local officials over the years. Nah, we won’t mention that. Oh, wait, we just did.) And while I approve of the rebranding, because Pelicans are cool, I am skeptical of how viable this operation ultimately will turn out.
• Meanwhile, the Okies who stepped up and hosted the Hornets, and probably should’ve had the Hornets after it was over, have gotten themselves in the good graces of the league after their stint as hosts and then go about looking for a franchise to acquire and move to OKC – and are encouraged to do so.
Sonicsgate
• The league “feels bad” for the fans in Seattle who supported the franchise for 41 years. (No, actually, the league doesn't really give a shit.)

So now the league has made various degrees of messes in four different cities in this process. The Zombies are impeccably run, to their credit, and have staved off the possibility of Edmonton Disease creeping in mainly because they lucked their way into landing Kevin Durant with the 2nd pick in the draft. (The 1st pick being Greg Oden by the Blazers, the same franchise that picked Sam Bowie over Michael Jordan all those years ago. Nice going Blazers. Imagine what would’ve happened if those picks had been reversed – think the Zombies would be such a success story? As it is, they’re only as good as the willingness of Durant to stay – a statement not intended to deride OKC but to speak to the true nature of all of this, which is that you’re only as good as the players you have, and wow, this parenthetical is getting really long.) My, what a stellar operation this is.

But, of course, Seattle wants their franchise back. Chris Hansen, the point man in the group to bring the NBA back to Seattle, has already spent 3 years and about $100,000,000 or so on the project, including the purchasing of land downtown on which to build the arena. 44,000 people put their name on a waiting list for possible season tickets earlier this year. 44,000 junkies, just like me, willing to overlook all of this previous ugliness because we love the game and want to see it again.

Suckers, in other words. The more evidence that you give that you want something, the easier that it is to be used.

Which is ultimately what happened to Seattle, of course. Upon attempting to acquire and relocate the Kings, the wheels started to turn in Sacramento where the mayor, Kevin Johnson (there’s that name again), who understands the “quality of life” argument of having professional sports (and also understands the danger to one’s political life upon having a professional sports team move from their city on their watch) has since sprung into action, recruiting a variety of Northern California businessmen to pony up a matching offer to the Hansen group in Seattle, and forcing through, on the third or fourth or whatever attempt, a plan for a new arena in Seattle which will leave the city on the hook for $258,000,000, if not more – some estimates put that figure at closer to $340,000,000. They’ve essentially been walked through this process by the NBA, of course, to which it’s easy to conclude that this fight over the Kings between Sacramento and Seattle never had anything to do with Seattle at all. Because, in the end, the league which is has lived off public subsidies and repeatedly practiced corporate extortion is going to get at least $258m out of Sacramento – which is $258m more than Seattle, where the arena was going to be primarily privately financed, with the balance paid by tax revenues created by the building.

And that matters most, in the end. If you own a professional sports franchise and you’re concerned about the long-term value of the franchise, privately funding your own building is the best way to go. Time after time, this has been proven to be true, including here in San Francisco (first with the Giants and soon with the Warriors), because not only are they successful sports franchises with noticeable brands, but they are also landowners of extremely valuable pieces of real estate, which means controlling ALL the activities in the building and thus controlling ALL the revenues. In the end, if you’re looking at a long-term investment, such a move, while expensive upfront, is really a no-brainer.

But as you can see from my outlining of the Charlotte vortex from before, long-term thinking isn’t exactly the forte in the NBA. It’s much easier to just hold up a city and make them build it for you, and pay for it so you don’t have to. And you don’t want to set a precedent of letting cities off the hook, now do you? If they privately finance an arena in Seattle, and prosper, then who’s to say the cities of Milwaukee and Minneapolis and Memphis won’t just say to the Bucks and the Wolves and the Grizzlies, “hey, it worked out in Seattle, so why don’t you just build an arena yourself?” And building your own building cements you to a community, slams the door on the possibility of using relocation as a bargaining chip. The NBA would much prefer their owners keep their foot firmly entrenched between the screen door and the door jamb – they aren’t necessarily leaving, but there’s always a possibility to depart. And this is the most twisted part of sports in North America, in the end, one which has reared its ugly head time and again. Franchises are desperate for the loyalty of the local fan base, yet have no loyalty ultimately in return. Pretty much every major city in the U.S. has seen a professional sports franchise move to “greener” pastures. (About the only major exceptions I can think of to that are Detroit and Phoenix – and given the perpetual plight of the Coyotes, the latter may not be able to make that claim for much longer.) And I say “greener” because quite a few of those moves haven’t worked out so well. Witness the Charlotte/New Orleans Hornets/Pelicans I referenced earlier, or the thrice-previously moved Rochester Royals/Cincinnati Royals/Kansas City-Omaha Kings/Sacramento Kings, a franchise notable primarily for getting screwed in the NBA playoffs, for being unable to win a championship with a player who averaged a triple double on their roster, and for little more than moving a whole lot of times.

Yet here the Kings were at the center of this heated battle, coveted by one city which has tethered far too much of their identity to it (“You can’t take our Kings! It’s all we have!” has been a fairly constant cry coming out of the Great Tomato) and one city which feels like it was screwed over by the NBA once before and willing to pay greatly for it to return, willing to overpay to the tune of driving up the value of the Kings franchise some $150m or so. This fight over such a seemingly irrelevant franchise is, in fact, an ad absurdum moment in the history of North American professional sports, a point where sheer madness has taken over. Why would two groups of people spend so much for a business which has, historically, offered so little?

In the end, the NBA has chosen against relocation because they’ve extorted enough from the city of Sacramento to make it worth their while to stay there. This sort of ploy is common enough, but it only works if there are cities which are willing to play along – and cities, wanting these franchises, willing to play the role of stalking horse. The NFL, for years, has made threats about relocating franchises to the vacated L.A. area – even though there has NEVER been a coherent stadium plan, and even though the city has shown no particular interest in either building a new stadium or acquiring a new team. (We W.S.U. skeptics would chortle that, in U.S.C., the city of Los Angeles already has a professional team.) Major League Baseball, meanwhile, has filled in their most prime stalking horse markets in Denver and Phoenix and Washington and Tampa Bay with expansion franchises, and after a wave of stadium reconstruction in the 1990s and through the turn of the millennium, they have found that the tactic of extorting ballpark deals from cities no longer really applies. The Oakland A’s have attempted to threaten relocation, but where would they go? There are no viable markets anymore, not even Montréal, which rightly extends the middle finger after the loss of Les Expos. The NHL is even worse – having overexpanded and clumsily relocated Canadian franchises in the 1990s, the league finds itself diluted and littered with D.O.A. franchises with no viable suitor cities save for the Canadian cities from whence they previously came!

In making this choice to deny the relocation of the Kings to Seattle, the league is, essentially, banking on the fact that Seattle, as a city, will keep clamoring for its product, much as Tampa Bay clamored for Major League Baseball for decades – an idea which, to me, seems rather foolish on the part of the league. Quite honestly, I think Seattle could learn a thing or two from Montréal at this point, make it a point to extend the middle finger in the direction of the league offices. Why play this game? And last time I checked, I don’t see too many other cities clamoring for NBA franchises at the moment. After the latest round of labour disputes, the NBA claims that the new CBA with the players will allow all of their franchises to be profitable, but that’s unlikely because there will always be disparity, there will always be haves and have nots in this system and conditions inevitably shift over time. And it will be the same group of franchises that are in trouble and clamoring for new arenas and new public subsidies, whereas some of the larger ones have taken it upon themselves to fund their own solutions. The league’s already got a host of problem children franchise and the number of interested cities on the outside seems to be ONE. Take that ONE away and this whole way of doing business doesn’t seem so smart.

But that means no basketball in Seattle in the end, and that makes me sad. And since the city has now been burned twice by the league, why should they carry on. Chris Hansen’s group insists he is pursuing “options” but those options don’t seem terribly good. The new building in Seattle is contingent upon acquisition of an NBA team. This whole plan seems to be going up in smoke.

As for Sacramento, well, good luck. The arena plan, on something like it third go-round, seems rather iffy. Delays and cost overruns are rampant in this sort of thing, and the citizens of Sacramento may be in for some sticker shock when it’s all said and done. There are already lawsuits suggesting fringe dealings going on, and the plan may not fare so well when put to a public vote. If that falls apart or (more likely) takes impossibly long to build, then the franchise is going to start sagging rather quickly and the league will have this same mess on its hands once again. The potential new owner, a software magnate named Vivek Ranadive, is a minority partner in the Golden State Warriors at the moment, which means he’s an insider and the league likes to deal with their own (Clay Bennett was a minority owner of the Spurs before he swindled away the Sonics). He would also be the first owner of a professional sports franchise of Indian descent, and has used the potential of opening up further marketing opportunities in India to pique David Stern’s interest, since making the NBA a global entity has been one of his pet projects over the years. Which is somewhat bogus, in my opinion, because it’s a rather ludicrous idea that people halfway around the world will care about a sport because of an owner. Fans don’t care about owners. They care about players. And the fans won’t care about the Sacramento Kings unless, through some dumb bit of luck, they land themselves a transcendent sort of superstar player, the sort who would actually stay there much as Duncan and David Robinson did in San Antonio, or Stockton and Malone in Utah.

And it’s telling that quite a few experts out there believe the league is using Seattle for leverage, extracting the best sort of public deal out of the city of Sacramento, but no one suggests the league would then turn around and use Sacramento as leverage the next time round were the Kings to leave. This is because when they say “You can’t take our Kings! It’s all we’ve got!” they really mean it. The reality is that it’s pretty much a dead market and will always struggle to compete unless the franchise is impeccably run and/or finds a superstar like I mentioned before. And I mean that as no disrespect to the city of Sacramento, either, which is a decent enough place. It’s just not going to ever be high on the list of free agent destinations. Locals in the know will tell you that if the Kings leave Sacramento, the NBA is pretty much never coming back.

What do the NBA honchos have to say?

"I think some people are surprised at the preliminary decision the relocation committee has made because they say well but look at Seattle. There are more corporate headquarters, There's more TV households there's the potential to generate more revenue there? Shouldn't you move a franchise to the market where there is more revenue? Our response is not necessarily, that if you look at total value over time and brand building and community support that continuity is important."
– NBA Deputy Commissioner Adam Silver

That’s bullshit.

The league stands to make FAR LESS in Sacramento. And while I’ve stated for the record here that I was a Sonics season ticket holder, I can look at the sizes of the markets, the economies of the markets (Seattle’s is bustling while Sacramento’s has struggled with economic recovery, much like the rest of the state where it is capital and in which I now live), and there is no comparison. A well-financed and essentially debt-free Seattle franchise stands to make FAR MORE money, contribute FAR MORE MONEY to the NBA’s coffers, and ultimately be worth FAR MORE – which, in turn, makes every other franchise in the league worth that much more. So by choosing to do this, from an economic standpoint, the league is ultimately devaluing itself, and if Seattle shows the NBA the finger (which is should do), the league will also be losing its prime source of leverage when the Milwaukee Bucks the next team in trouble starts begging for a replacement for their arena, which was already most likely paid for by a city or a state and, like a car you drive off the lot which immediately depreciated, started becoming obsolete the moment that it opened.

Now, in no way to I advocate franchise relocation as a concept that leagues should embrace. I think it's the worst aspect of professional sports, insomuch that it insulates bad businessmen from being responsible for the results of their bad business practices. But clearly, this is the only way that Seattle can get back in the NBA game. Stealing a franchise from another market makes me feel somewhat unclean, but I would get over it. And if the NBA is going to allow this sort of thing, then they should just do what's best for themselves and stop pretending that the fans of (insert city of choice) have anything to do with it at all.

And from a purely economic standpoint, in a big picture, this decision by the NBA is a damn stupid idea. And thus, the ad absurdum that is the NBA today, in which a group of businessmen offer to invest, all told, about $1,000,000,000 or so altogether in the NBA, take one of its failed franchises and longest-standing problems off its hands, and the league essentially says “no.”

The league has said all along “one city is going to be unhappy,” but it seems conceivable in the end, and I dare say likely, that EVERYONE is going to wind up unhappy to a certain extent. And everyone involved, in one way or another, seems to have lost their minds. Everyone loses! In play lose! The only way not to lose at this silly, crooked game is not to play.

Wait, is that a basketball game on TV? Turn that up ...

Monday, April 22, 2013

On the Ball City!

Kick off, throw in, have a little scrimmage,
Keep it low, a splendid rush, bravo, win or die;
On the ball, City, never mind the danger,
Steady on, now's your chance,
Hurrah! We've scored a goal.
City!, City!, City!
– Lyrics to 'On the Ball City,' the official song of Norwich City F.C., originally penned in the 1800s and considered to be the oldest football song still in use

This blog was simply meant to be, as I’ve somehow stumbled my way into being a supporter of an endless series of teams that never seem to win anything. The one exception to this is the San Francisco Giants, of course, and I can think of nothing better to do on this 80° San Francisco day than go out to Phone Co. Park and watch the Jints go all St. Patrick on the asses of those dirty, nasty Snakes from Arizona. But since I grew up in the Pacific Northwest, which is about as inarable a landscape as it gets when it comes to winning, I’ve been saddled with failure on all sorts of levels – the Mariners perpetual ineptitude, the Seahawks bad Karma, the Canucks running the gamut from laughingstock to juggernaut heartbreaker during my lifetime but never breaking through, and the Sonics, of course, RIP Sonics, whose move to Oklahoma City constitutes a scar and a stain that never gets scrubbed away. And then there is Washington State, of course. Sigh …

And so I go to Great Britain as a student in the late 1980s to a lovely and pleasant little city called Norwich and they happen to have a terrific soccer club, Norwich City F.C. And I was hooked, of course, and have become a supporter for life, appreciating both the quality of the product on the field at the time and the ethos of the club as a whole. Indeed, at that time the Canaries were coming off one of their most successful years ever – a season in which they’d been top of the table in Div. 1 for most of the season, only to falter in the final month and wind up 4th, and reached the semifinals of the F.A. Cup to boot. They had a roster of top-flight talent, some of whom would be playing in the summer of 1990 in the World Cup in Italy, and they played an attractive passing game which was decidedly different than the traditional English highball style of the time. Much like their yellow-and-green American counterparts, the Oakland A’s, the Canaries have always had to do things a little bit differently to compete, being a small club compared to their Div. 1 counterparts – the urban area of Norwich has a population less than 200,000, and the Canaries’ home grounds, Carrow Road, has a capacity of 27,000. They had stockpiled their roster at the time through beating the bushes looking for players, buying low and selling high.

And they’d never won much of anything, of course, and still never have.

Norwich City has never won a league title, never won an F.A. Cup, and never even as much as been to the final of the F.A. Cup. They’re the good guys of English football, a plucky, tenacious, and proud club that’ll show up and give you a good game with a loyal throng and good-natured lot of supporters behind them. (Well, those clownshoes from Ipswich probably don’t think we’re the good guys. Pox on them.) The Yellow Army always takes an encouraging, pragmatic stance when it comes to rooting on City – enjoying the club’s achievements in the moment, and not allowing the lack of championships in the past nor the unlikelihood of championships in the future to tarnish the beautiful game at Carrow Road on a weekend afternoon.

And this past Saturday, the Canaries had match at Carrow Road with the Royals from Reading F.C., a match which took on enormous significance. After assembling a 10-match unbeaten streak earlier in the season, including wins over Arsenal and Manchester United, the Canaries’ season has completely gone off the rails. They’ve been godfuckingterrible for four months, as the offense can’t score, they can’t win on the road (1 win all season away from Carrow Road), and they’ve conceded countless numbers of late goals in losses which have led to a hideous goal difference. Daydreamy early season talk of competing for a European place had given away to a far more serious concern, as the spectre of potential relegation reared its ugly head.

Relegation is concept that is notably absent from American sports. And given some of the awful products professional clubs churn out in America, it probably shouldn’t be. (I mean, really, why should we have to put up with the 5-11 Arizona Cardinals every year?) Whereas the MLB and the NFL and such are singular entities with franchises distributed to various cities, football in England (and, indeed, most everywhere else in the world where soccer matters) is structured as a loose association of clubs in a multi-tiered system. There are 92 clubs in the four divisions of English professional football, with countless more clubs scattered in regional leagues below that. Finish in the bottom three of the league and you get demoted to a division below.

This structure serves well to keep talent from being diluted, of course, because the best players will naturally move to the highest levels of competition. For the sake of providing an example, I will make myself authoritarian ruler of the NFL and decree that the league is dividing into 2 divisions this coming season, based upon last year’s results:

XP’s NFL Division 1 (with records from last season)
13-3: Atlanta, Denver
12-4: New England, Houston
11-4-1: San Francisco
11-5: Indianapolis, Green Bay, Seattle
10-6: Baltimore, Cincinnati, Washington, Minnesota, Chicago
9-7: N.Y. Giants
8-8: Pittsburgh, Dallas

XP’s NFL Division 2
7-8-1: St. Louis
7-9: Carolina, New Orleans, Tampa Bay, Miami, San Diego
6-10: N.Y. Jets, Buffalo, Tennessee
5-11: Cleveland, Arizona
4-12: Oakland, Philadelphia, Detroit
2-14: Jacksonville, Kansas City

In XP’s NFL, only the teams in Division 1 can compete for the Super Bowl. Oh yeah, and all of that TV revenue for the league goes expressly to the top tier, because let’s be honest here, who wants to watch Jacksonville play Detroit? So if you’re in Division 1, your revenues just doubled, which also means that your budgets for players just doubled as well, and there are some pretty good players to be had down in Div. 2 there, now aren’t there?

So think about what the quality of play would be like in XP’s NFL Division 1, as XP the authoritarian decrees the 16-game NFL schedule features a round-robin format where every team played each other once. with every team basically stacked 53-deep with talent, this would make for an incredible quality of play.

But the genius of such a structure has always been that it eliminates many of those pointless endeavours in getting the season over with that you see in American sports where two teams with no realistic shot at achieving anything go through the motions in the late stages of the season. This is because being relegated is an absolute disaster with dire consequences for your club. So not only would the teams at the top of XP’s NFL Division 1 be jockeying for playoff positions, but teams at the bottom would be doing everything imaginable to avoid being dropped to Division 2, and desperation leads to some remarkable late-season doings. Virtually every significant European football league has some club that is never any good yet seems to always pull a Houdini act at the end of the year to avoid being dropped. It makes the battles at the bottom of the table as compelling for the spectator and the viewer as the battles at the top.

And don’t fret, members of XP’s NFL Division 2 – claim the Div. 2 league title and you’ll move up to the top division, and reap all of the prestige and glory that come with it – not to mention the revenues, of course. Did I mention the revenues? So all of THOSE Div. 2 games, while not being great viewing in and of themselves, also take on huge importance, because the goal for those clubs is ultimately break through and join the top level. And that achievement of breaking through, for a bunch of teams like the Arizona Cardinals or Detroit Lions who have never won anything, would be worthy of a civic celebration onto itself.

Such is the case in England, of course, where winning promotion to the EPL is a HUGE deal. Unlike the winner-take-all spoils of America, multi-tiered soccer creates multiple reasons for happiness. In the big picture, the American in me says that Norwich City F.C. has never won ‘anything,’ but winning the second division three times in their history is nothing to sneeze at. The last of those second-tier titles came in 2004, after which the club put on one of the worst displays of EPL football imaginable the following season, going months before notching their first win and quickly being relegated again. City’s fortunes further faded and they found themselves subjected to the indignity of being relegated to the third tier in 2009, at which point they righted the ship. Two successful campaigns led to two promotions, and the Canaries were back in the English Premier League come the summer of 2011, given keys to the penthouse in the most exclusive sporting association imaginable, one they had helped to found 20 years earlier and one which hadn’t hesitated to throw their ass out when they couldn’t produce any quality on the pitch.

The EPL was founded in the early 1990s, a breakaway entity that nonetheless works within the traditional, multi-tiered structure of English football. The top 22 clubs (which has been reduced to 20 since) formed their own private corporation and negotiated their own sponsorship and broadcast rights deals. Each club is an equal shareholder in the organization – with membership dependent on the on-field results, of course. The stated aim at the time of the EPL’s creation was to generate more revenue so that English clubs could both prosper and also compete on the continent, as the game was clearly trending in the direction of heightened importance of international club competitions. To that end, the EPL has been remarkably successful.  The global broadcast deals now are worth somewhere around £3,000,000,000 or so, and the league generates annual revenues into the billions of pounds as well. English clubs have won four titles in the European Champions League since its inception in 1992, and finished runners-up on four more occasions.

Quite simply, the EPL has become among the greatest shows of the sporting world. With the infusion of billions in television revenue, the relaxation of international work restrictions due to the E.U., and its place as the cradle of the game, England has also seen 20 years of the world’s greatest players playing the game domestically. Some English naysayers have noted that such a prevalence of foreign talent has cost the nation dearly when it comes to creating top flight players for the World Cup and Euros, of course, as teams such as Arsenal and Chelsea have been known to field entirely foreign lineups, but there can be no doubt that the national profile, when it comes to football, has never been higher.

But with promotion to the top flight of English football comes an alarming new level of uncertainty, because the drop off between the EPL and the Football League Championship (a gussied up way of saying Division 2) is SO GREAT. Broadcast revenues alone for EPL clubs run in the £45,000,000-£50,000,000 range per club, whereas Div. 2 clubs aren’t likely to generate more than £1,000,000 or so of interest. This steady infusion of monster amounts of capital has helped contribute to the stratification within the EPL itself, as clubs which were already large to begin with, such as Manchester United and Arsenal, have grown even larger and consistently been able to support the lavish wage bills necessary to remain competitive. As the revenues have escalated in the EPL, so has the cost of doing business, as the average player salary has gone up tenfold in twenty years, and the challenge for the clubs like Norwich City is to figure out how to compete. Sure, adding £50,000,000 to your budget is a nice problem to have, but what happens if your season goes sideways and you find yourself in the so-called “drop zone” (the bottom three teams are relegated every year), at which point you’re budget goes up in smoke?

And it can happen, of course. Bad seasons happen for a number of reasons – maybe it’s a spate of injuries, maybe it’s some bad transfer decisions, maybe your club was purchased as a toy by Icelandic bankers and is leveraged to the point of being insolvent. Relegation can have disastrous consequences for your club, which is almost inevitably forced to go into fire sale mode and sell of every good player you have (usually at buyer’s market rates). Often times, relegated clubs have also accrued massive debt in the attempts to compete at the highest level, debts which come due when the EPL revenues have run dry. A good number of the original founding clubs of the EPL back in 1992 now flounder about in the third division, and one – Wimbledon – did the seemingly unthinkable and relocated to Milton Keynes.

The Canaries have focused, in their EPL return, to being fiscally responsible. A lot of the newcomers take the approach of “let’s try to get through this” in their first year in the EPL, hoping to do their best with the players who got them this far and squeak out enough points during the season to avoid being relegated again. (It’s only happened twice that all the newcomers survived.) The Canaries’ Moneyball ethos – buy low, sell high, do things differently – has served them well this time around, as the Canaries were far better prepared for the rigours of the EPL this time around and finished a very respectable 12th in 2012. Two years’ worth of EPL revenues have allowed the club to pay off debt and stand on squarely solid footing, and the club even pulled off something of a coup recently by scooping up a talented young Dutch striker from a financially flailing Portuguese club, and doing so right under the noses of some larger suitors. It was a brash sort of signing not usually seen from Norwich City, a move signifying intent to do more than just survive the EPL, but actually compete for the coveted places in European competition (with accompanying revenues, of course). Norwich City’s one foray into continental competition is decidedly memorable – the club defeated Bayern Munich in Munich, no less – and stands as the high point of the club’s golden age – an era I had stumbled upon when I arrived there as a student 20+ years ago and lasted until 1995, when the team crashed out of the EPL and promptly spent the next eight years wandering the wastelands of the second division.

And that’s what we DO NOT want to happen this year, so enough dabbling in nostalgia and let’s get back to the matters at hand – the Canaries haven’t played worth a damn in 2013 and now survival is no sure thing. And with Norwich sinking towards the bottom of the table, skirting the edges of the drop zone, come rumours of what could happen were the club to fall out of the EPL. Indeed, the agent for the Dutch striker I mentioned before, a player with the wonderfully Dutch name of Ricky van Wolfswinkel, has said the deal is off if Norwich sinks to Div. 2. Norwich disputes this, of course, but I don’t really want to find out. Just WIN SOME DAMN GAMES and settle the issue already! I mean, here at IN PLAY LOSE World HQ, losing is a fairly common (and quite interesting) phenomenon which I try to take in stride, but I understand well that a loss in this game, and the potential loss of a place in the EPL as a consequence, could be disastrous to my favourite football club. The game with Reading on Saturday (a club already virtually doomed to relegation themselves, sitting last in the standings) was therefore of tremendous importance. The three points were vital …

Norwich City 2:1 Reading F.C.

Whew!

The win and the three points moves the Canaries up to 13th place, seven points clear of the drop zone with four games left to play. They aren’t out of the woods yet, but they have three manageable games ahead of them where taking points are realistic, beginning this week against Stoke City (Suck it Frentz! The Potters are going down!) They also have a game at Manchester City which appears to be a beast, but Man City had their designs on defending the EPL title and have come up wofully short. They’re fairly comfortably slotted into a European qualifying place, and they have an FA Cup final to prep for, so its unclear what sort of focus they’re going to have for what is, to them, a pretty meaningless game with Norwich City. And as I said before, the season gets wacky this time of year, with the bottom clubs suddenly channeling their inner Man Uniteds and picking up points which have eluded them all year, often at the expense of middle-of-the-run clubs who aren’t in danger of being relegated but also aren’t in the running for any sort of spoils. (In other words, they no longer care.) So we loyal members of the Yellow Army cannot breathe a sigh of relief quite yet. We must remain en garde and on the ball …

In the days to call, which we have left behind,
Our boyhood’s glorious game,
And our youthful vigour has declined
With its mirth and its lonesome end;
You will think of the time, the happy time,
Its memories fond recall
When in the bloom of your youthful prime
We’ve kept upon the ball

Kick off, throw in, have a little scrimmage,
Keep it low, a splendid rush, bravo, win or die;
On the ball, City, never mind the danger,
Steady on, now’s your chance,
Hurrah! We’ve scored a goal.

Let all tonight then drink with me
To the football game we love,
And wish it may successful be
And in one grand united toast
Join player, game and song
And fondly pledge your pride and toast
Success to the City club.

Kick off, throw in, have a little scrimmage,
Keep it low, a splendid rush, bravo, win or die;
On the ball, City, never mind the danger,
Steady on, now’s your chance,
Hurrah! We’ve scored a goal.

Sunday, April 21, 2013

What the hell was that?

I've never understood the appeal of, nor the need for, "reality TV," because we already have it. A sporting event is live, improvised, unscripted, contains some interesting dialogue (usually too colourful for American TV, of course) and wholly unpredictable. No two games are ever quite the same and, even though you may think you know how it will turn out (and there is a whole complicated infrastructure – legal and otherwise – to allow you to wager on how certain you are), you never really do know quite what you're going to get. And there are times you see something on the field or the court or the ice that you've never seen before.

Or that anyone has seen before. Like this mess on the basepaths.

Uh ... what the hell was that?

I've had to explain this play now several times, and basically it goes like this: Segura and Braun wind up on 2nd at the same time. Segura is entitled to 2nd, because he had started there and it wasn't a force play (he didn't have to run in this situation, even though he made the mess by getting picked off), so when the Cubs fielder tags out Braun, Braun is out. It's as if Braun's standing in the middle of the basepath or somewhere in centerfield or something. Doesn't matter that he's standing on the 2nd base bag. So Braun is out, but Segura didn't know what was up, and thought he was out so he started trotting off towards the Brewers dugout, which is on the 1st base side of the field. It's only when the Milwaukee coach points out that he's not out that Segura scampers back to the sanctuary of 1st base, having gone legally backwards. Yes, that's actually legal in this situation. Rule 7.08 (i) allows a runner to run bases in reverse order unless it's "for purpose of confusing the defense or making a travesty" of gam. Segura wasn't doing either of that. He just spazzed and didn't know the rule. (And a case could be made that the Cubs are confused and a travesty regardless.)

This whole situation is pretty ridiculous, but it could've been even weirder: suppose Segura slides back into the 2nd base bag and Braun is standing there and the Cubs tag him but not Braun when they're both on the bag, at which point Segura trots off towards the 1st base dugout again. Then what would've happened? Well, believe it or not, Braun would still be out, because he technically would've passed Segura on the basepaths. Basically, Braun gets hosed in this play no matter what, but he was the MVP two years ago so he can live with the indignity.

Incompetence is often the mother of invention, of course, as bad teams seemingly invent ways to lose. And baseball has more weird stuff than any other sport. You can go back and rewrite the rulebook every year, and still situations come up regularly which no umpire really knows what to do with. I've seen the ball roll under a base. I've seen mammoth home runs become outs, and routine pop-ups becomes doubles, because the ball caromed off one of the assorted speakers hanging from the roof of the Kingdome. I remember the Astros losing a playoff game, in part, because they only got three outs in an inning instead of four.

And now I've seen a guy steal 1st base.

Segura wasn't credited with stealing 1st base in the stats, which is just as well, since the SABR statisticians say there is no way to key into the database the act of a baserunner going backwards on the bases. Ha ha, you smartypants stat nerds! The baseball gods have found a way to flummox you yet! We'll just invent new plays you've never seen and don't know how to code! Ha ha!

And it was oddly appropriate Segura got thrown out stealing 2nd the second time – after all, it sort of looks like he's off the bag when he gets tagged and the umpire misses it. It's maybe the strangest thing I've ever seen in baseball, although someone directed me to this gem from Lloyd Moseby, for which there are no words.

Saturday, April 20, 2013

Poetry in Motion

As a treat here before the NBA playoffs begin, I thought that I would post this video for those of you basketball junkies out there to watch and marvel over. This is from 1992: The Golden St. Warriors vs. Seattle SuperSonics in Game 3 of the best-of-5 first round of the Western Conference playoffs. If you have a little time, this is worth viewing. This game is the greatest single sporting event that I’ve ever attended in person:


I went back and watched this video in full, because I’d never actually seen it before. Or if you don’t want to wait it out, skip ahead to the 1:30:30 mark of the video for the greatest lob pass in the history of the NBA – that sounds like hyperbole, but given the situation, you can make that argument. I also went to Game 4 of this series, which was almost as remarkable, and became famous in the annals of the NBA for this display by Shawn Kemp.

This video is a natural springboard for several future IN PLAY LOSE posts, of course, as a lot of us who were at this game thought we were witnessing the dawning of a great new rivalry between two up-and-coming teams that would dominate the league. Alas, the Warriors soon reverted to being The Warriors. (And that Bill Simmons profile of the Warriors is the Big Kahuna of all LOSE posts likely to never be matched. I have to give him some credit for giving me the idea for this blog.)

This game and playoff series with the W's was the dawn of a fascinating multiyear run by the Sonics. It was a long strange trip full of lunacy, despair, anger, disappointment, and also some amazing basketball. It was all wildly entertaining and culminated with a trip to the NBA finals. Alas, the Sonics are no more … or are they? … hmm …

But we'll deal with that stuff later. Instead, I urge you to watch this video and witness just how truly beautiful the game of basketball can be.

Monday, April 15, 2013

Boston

We are having seafood for dinner. My usual impulse when I have an exceptionally lousy day is to combat it with seafood. The day after I was pinkslipped from my job at the University of California, KC and I went to the greatest seafood joint ever, intent on eating 1,000,000,000 oysters. Now, it would take most people decades to snarf 1,000,000,000 oysters, but KC and I can do it in a couple of hours. We wound up only eating about 300,000,000 or so, however, since they had other things on the menu and we decided we would try some of their fresh tombo … which is what I am making for dinner. I call this particular dish Sicilian Tuna Carpaccio since it’s served in a similar fashion to the beef dish. I whip out my light sabre of a fish knife and slice it thin to the point of transparency. Red onions, capers, olive oil, fresh lemon. That right there is the greatest food in the history of foods.

I need these sorts of reminders from time to time of goodness – and few things are better on my palate as an impeccably fresh tuna served raw. And this definitely felt like a bad day, even though nothing happened to me personally. I couldn’t help, however, but be concerned when I saw what was going on in Boston. I have family in the city. I also a number of great friends there, a good number of whom happen to be avid runners, so seeing film of the carnage from multiple bomb blasts near the finish line of the Boston Marathon immediately sent me into disquiet. I worried for all of their safety. Furthermore, a good number more of my friends were in the Boston area over the weekend for a tournament, a good number of whom were likely playing the role of tourist as well as competitor over the long Boston holiday weekend. So I was immediately pretty worried, but I’m pleased to report that, as of this writing, all of the people who I feared for are accounted for.

Days like today were always the worst sorts of days to be working in the media. As dull as a “slow news day” can be, I also subscribe to the adage that “no news is good news.” Outside of elections, the biggest stories you ever cover extensively, frenzily and spontaneously are the bad ones. And contrary to what many of the sock puppets and blowhards on Faux News might tell you, journalists are, in fact, objective in principle. Yes, we do root for people, and will snicker and chortle and personally engage in some schadenfreude, but when it comes time to put out an edition, we’ll refrain from commentary and attempt to be as objective in possible, present the facts as best they can for the public to make sense of what happened.

And that’s where the difficulty comes in. How do you enable others to make sense of what is senseless?

Columbine was possibly the worst. Reading column inch after column inch about bullet-ridden teenagers nearly killed my will to live. I think some of us cried that night in the offices of the New Mexican and afterwards at the bar. 9/11 was an awful day to work in San Francisco, knowing that some of your neighbours weren’t going to be home that day (remember, and never let it be forgotten, that the United 93 which crashed in Pennsyvania was originally headed for San Francisco), but it was also surreal and somewhat jittery – my office was in a complex of Federal buildings and above a BART station (and thus seemed like a potential target for any sort of further terrorist act) and all of us just wanted to get the fuck out of there and go home as soon as possible. Trying to prep an edition for the next day centered on a particularly terrible story like the two I just mentioned becomes a sensory overload, as you plow through story after story on the wires and comb through all of the available information, all of which is bad and a great deal of which saps whatever hope you might have for humanity. Natural disaster stories like hurricanes or massive wildfires at least have an air of awe to the proceedings – “holy shit, mother nature is a fucking badass” – whereas killings just seem needless, seem preventable and unnecessary. Senseless. That’s the word I’m looking for. Senseless.

A lot of these bad days on the desk in previous press offices came flooding back into my mind today. Saying which day and which incident was “worst” is irrelevant, because “worst” implies that somehow something about the others was better. No, they were all terrible. Two particularly terrible days on the job, however – days which I’d not thought about in a decade, if not longer – came into focus again for me. Both were in New Mexico. The first was a fatal shooting erupting on the Santa Fe Plaza during Fiesta de Santa Fe, a harvest festival which has been going on in Nuevo Mexico since before the U.S. was a country. The second was a double homicide, a couple of high school kids shot during the traditional Good Friday pilgrimage to Chimayó, which is one of the most sacred sites in the Western Hemisphere. Both events were precious to the local community of Northern New Mexico, events which were part of what defined the unique community in which I lived. Events which would, from then on, be forever altered. And for what? What was the point of that? What was the fucking point? It was senseless but also selfish – was compromising an entire culture really worth whatever petty squabble resulted in this violence?

Once that culture and community is altered, it never seems to quite return to how it once was. I’m reminded now of another particularly bad day at the office, albeit due entirely to an act of self-inflicted and self-contained violence. I remember hearing on the radio while sitting in my office that Kurt Cobain had been found dead of a self-inflicted gunshot wound. I spoke with a local wanna-be promoter I knew, a fringe hanger-on to the scene much like me and seemingly 1,000,000 other people, and he told me straight up that, “Kurt just killed the Seattle music scene.” The scene which, somewhat confoundingly (the record execs were pretty perplexed by the sales numbers) had come to define, through sound, the collective since of hangover and malaise and economic detachment of the post-Reagan era. I thought that statement was a bit far-fetched but I have to admit that the promoter was correct. After that death, all of the flaws and the warts and wrinkles in the scene were out in the open, were fully exposed, and the seemingly endless stream of northwest bands dominating the airwaves began to run dry. The inevitability of the great run coming to an end seemed more certain with each passing day.

These past incidents I would up immersed in from the supposedly detached and objective perspective of a news gatherer came to my mind today when I watched bombs going off at a sporting event, at a community event on a holiday. I don’t really care who did it or what particular axe they have to grind. I don’t care about their politics. Sport is not political. It is those surrounding sport who politicize it. The people standing at the finish line of the race had nothing to do with whatever agenda the perpetrators wished to further. They may even sympathize, or they may not. It doesn’t really matter. It was senseless. Seriously, what the fuck is wrong with people?

My hope is, in the end, that Boston does not let this particular incident take away one of the unique traditions that has come to define it over the years. Rebuild, renew, and encourage thousands to run through the streets next Patriots Day. And leave it at that. And then do it again the next year, and the next. I think I got my sense of civil resolve (one tinged with a stoic defiance) from my time in Britain. Having an IRA bomb go off in London four blocks from your hotel is a little bit disconcerting. I asked someone at the pub about it and he shrugged it off.

“We just go on,” he said to me. “It’s an excuse for another pint of bitter.”

Well I don’t have any bitter ale in the house, but I do have seafood. And I am going to eat seafood with my girlfriend, and eat some of the fresh bread she baked today, here in my comfy little house with my two cute little evil black kittens circling around and attempting to steal the fish off my plate, and I’m going to remind myself of some of the things that are genuinely good in and of themselves. And I hope that you do the same. Some days, humanity loses a bit more than others, and the littlest gestures can go a long way to getting it back on a winning path, little actions that others may never see nor hear nor even know. Let's not lose our minds or any more pieces of our souls. Clearly, some other people who acted out today have already lost theirs.

My heart goes out to those who lost loved ones, and to those who were seriously injured, and my heroes of the week were those first respondents who probably saved countless more than have been lost, the people who do the work I know that I never could do.



Words Fail

Ladies and gentlemen, I give you the Chicago Cubs.

Do I really need to say anything more?

Saturday, April 13, 2013

Nothing Rhymes With Orange


The U.S. national team recently defeated Costa Rica 1:0 in Denver in one of the more bizarrely entertaining soccer games I’ve seen of late, owing to the several inches of snow which fell during the game. I wholeheartedly approved of this, as this was a qualifier for the World Cup, and one of the most important things you can do is maximize your home-field advantage, since points are at a premium. The Americans said afterwards that they’d selected Denver as the site for this game to prepare them for the high-altitude conditions of Mexico City, where they were due to play a few days later, but snow in the Rockies is always a possibility in March and no one in the American camp was particularly bothered at the decidedly un-Central American weather conditions. The Ticos somewhat half-heartedly protested the game after it was over, of course, which was summarily dismissed by FIFA. They had nothing to lose by protesting, wouldn’t have been doing so if they’d salvaged a draw, and they have been subjecting opponents to oppressive heat and torrential rains on the plastic parking lot of a pitch in their former home stadium for years, so they know well how this meta-game is played. (Although the Ticos now have a lovely new national football grounds, with real grass and everything, but it’s too early to tell if their well-accepted home-field advantage from the previous pitch has transferred over.)

The drama and intensity of World Cup Qualifying makes up for the fact that the football can be somewhat ragged at times. These are essentially all-star teams, after all, most of which are hastily arranged in the moment and have little time to prepare. And every region of the world takes on unique characteristics during this process. Pretty much the same 6-8 teams are always battling for the 4 positions in Asia, as the drop off in quality is substantial and leaves you wondering how it is that these countries with massive populations somehow cannot find 11 quality footballers among their ranks. African qualifying is wildly unpredictable, as there are always issues regarding finances, politics, and other sources of internal strife among federations which often undermine the talent on the pitch. Just fielding an XI is sometimes a bigger African challenge than getting them to play well. The South American tourney is, quite simply, the toughest tournament in the world – 16-18 games played in hostile environments and challenging conditions (the most infamous being the 12,000 ft. of altitude in Bolivia). In Europe, the random draw almost always results in a Group of Death (resulting in a very good team being bounced), a Group of Bad (where an overrated team’s true colours are revealed and some obscure, marginal side earns a place), and a Group Where Everyone Shows Up Drunk which makes no sense at all. Europe also features an alarming number of REALLY BAD TEAMS who are there to be pummeled so as to pad the goal difference. Heaven help you if you lose to Luxembourg or the Færœ Islands, that’s all I’ve got to say on that front.

All of this ultimately funnels to the World Cup which, in 2014, is happening in Brazil. Perhaps the most apt description of Brazil comes from Franklin Foer in the book How Soccer Explains the World: “Brazil is the bizarro version of the United States. It’s the fantastically vast, resource-rich, new-world culture that didn’t become a global hegemon.” There has been slow but steady progress in the nation over the past two decades, and this tournament, along with the 2016 Olympics in Rio, is a chance for the nation of Brazil to show off some newfound confidence and swagger, to announce it is ready to take its rightful place among the big players in all international arenas, including those far larger than the massive Maracanã (which is saying something, given that the 1950 final at Maracanã was played before a crowd of 199,854).

There is a general sense in the sport that while the spectacle of a Brazilian World Cup will be magical, the tourney itself is likely to amount to little more than a coronation as the Brazilians capture their 6th championship on their home soil. Some of their strongest challengers don't think they stand much of a chance. The fact that the Brazilians are such overwhelming favourites to win on their home soil is really not that much of a bother, as it’s generally accepted in every nation on earth not named Argentina that the Brazilians play the best football. The idea of the Brazilians lifting the trophy after triumphing in the final at the Maracanã seems almost to be in keeping with the natural order of things, a fitting end to to a showcase of the sport in the nation that cherishes it the most.

But this is IN PLAY LOSE, where we care about teams that do not succeed. And if it has been written in the stars by the Football Gods that Brazil will triumph in Rio de Janeiro in 2014, surely the Football Gods would also write in the stars that they will defeat, in that final, the most worthy of adversaries. An opponent that will bring the act of losing to its highest levels of elegance before succumbing to their inevitable fate.

That would be the Dutch.

And I have already accepted the fate, me being the owner of six iterations of Oranje jerseys which I keep in my closet, and former owner of one of these beauties from 1988:


Having already gone through their once-every-decade meltdown during the 2012 Euros, the Oranje are doing what they generally do in World Cup Qualifying, which is ANNIHILATE THEIR OPPONENTS. Unlike a great many teams with a propensity for playing scared vs. the Brazilians, the Dutch are never intimidated and almost stubbornly so. They won’t have any problem stepping into the ring in Rio and getting in a few good swings of their own in the World Cup Final. And sure, I’m sort of just glossing over the other 30 teams in the tourney here in foretelling this Brazilian-Dutch final, but it really cannot end any other way. If Brazil are the greatest champions in sport, their triumph should necessarily come over sport’s greatest also-ran. Just as nothing rhymes with orange, no one takes losing to the levels of the orange-clad footballers from the Netherlands.

Just as the Football Gods have already decreed a Brazil-Oranje final for 2014, so too did they decree the final of South Africa 2010, when the two must frustrated footballing nations on earth both found themselves in the final and pitted against each other, with the ascension to the realm of immortality that comes with being crowned World Cup Champion necessarily coming at the expense of the other. Spain v. Netherlands was about a half a century in the making, as during that time the two nations have often found themselves allies in the struggle for European footballing supremacy against the Germans and Italians, sharing ideas as countless hordes of Dutch players flocked south to be employed in La Liga. The unique Spanish passing game, in fact, has its roots in ideas brought to F.C. Barcelona in the 1970s by Johan Cruijff, Holland’s greatest football ambassador. And the Dutch lost, of course, losing 1:0 in O.T. to a great Spanish side which has also won the Euros in 2008 and 2012, and which can legitimately make the case for being one of the great teams of all time. Prior to 2010, the Spaniards and the Dutch could both lay claim to the least-desirable title in sports, the Best Team Never To Win A World Cup. After 2010, there is no longer any room for dispute as to who carries that moniker.

Despite a half-century of creating some of the games greatest players, sharpest coaches and grandest statements of style, the Dutch have won only one major championship, the 1988 Euros. They are thrice losers in World Cup finals, twice having lost on their opponents’ home turf. And when they don’t lose in the final, the Dutch still make a memorable exit – their losses in epic matches with Brazil in the 1994 Quarters and the 1998 Semis were the best matches of those respective tournaments; their losses in the Round of 16 to the West Germans in 1990 and Portugal in 2006 have become notorious for their nastiness, the latter match producing something like 20 yellow cards and three ejections while the former match produced this unsightly display but also moments like this. And again, that 1990 tussle was probably the best match of the tourney (and it speaks volumes about how bad Italy 1990 was as an event when the best match involves guys spitting on each other).

The Dutch were among the favorites in 1990, possessing two European Players of the Year up front in Gullitt and Van Basten among their stunning collection of talent, but they made an early exit from the tourney through a mix of bad play and also some genuinely bad luck. They were placed in a Group of Death, drew their first three games (one of which owing to a marginal late penalty awarded the Egyptians), were level with Ireland on points, goal difference and goals scored, and wound up playing the Germans in the Round of 16 through the drawing of lots.

But bad luck seems to go along with their penchant for occasionally horrible displays of self-destruction, none worse than the semis of the 2000 Euros in Rotterdam, on home soil, when the Dutch drew 0:0 to 10-man Italy and missed five penalties on their way to being bounced in a shootout. The shootout is the bane of the existence of the Oranje, a crapshoot of a way to end a game in which the Dutch inevitably roll snake eyes.

It’s easy to like the Dutch, because the football they play is so damned good. They are purveyors of some of the most aesthetically pleasing football out there, and are zealously proud of this fact. (It is routinely written into the contract of Dutch managers that their teams must play elegant, attractive football.) Lots of goals, lots of movement, with the constant threat of a goal from seemingly anywhere on the pitch hanging over their opponents. It’s a style that is both entertaining and ruthless. The Dutch were also-rans in the sport until the 1960s, when the counterculture bastion of Amsterdam spawned a revolutionary approach to the game which came to be known as Total Football, a virtual wheel of moving parts and precision in which players can interchange – defenders attack, attackers drop back, etc. – and the flow of play is dictated by figuring out and proceeding to exploit your opponent’s weaknesses. It’s a devastatingly effective system in that it destroys much of your preconceived notion of what players at certain positions on the field can do.

A good way to explain this to an American audience is to use a basketball example: whereas most teams have a 7’0” big man underneath and a 6’2” point guard out front who passes and stays out of the fray, how would you defend a team with five guys who were all in the range of 6’4” to 6’8” or so, all of whom could shoot, pass, and rebound? Such versatility would potentially negate any advantages your team had, since it would create a mismatch somewhere on the floor. (And if you look at the makeup of some of the championship college basketball teams over the years, you notice how quite a few of them are built this way.)

The Oranje game requires multifaceted, versatile players all over the field and breeds creativity, but is also quite cerebral (“Football is played with the head,” as Cruijff has famously said), so the Dutch bring the football fan an intellectual satisfaction to the game as well – not only do they have more talent than the opponents, but they often seem smarter as well.

Too smart for their own good, sometimes. Smartest Guy in the Room sort of smart. The Dutch are often undone by internal bickering and dissent, the management of their XI akin to managing 11 lawyers. And in a system where everyone can be an attacker, it shouldn’t be a surprise that the Dutch seem to have trouble developing defenders. Why play defense, when scoring goals is much more fun? If you could put 11 forwards on the field, the Dutch would’ve won every World Cup since 1974.

Ah, yes, 1974. I don’t need to go into that much detail about 1974, since the final in Munich between the Dutch and West Germany has been written about more than any other football match in history, and quite possibly any other sporting event. All you really need to know is that the (over)confident Dutch strode onto the field in Munich, kicked off, connected a dozen or so passes, earned a penalty, and scored to go up 1:0 before the Germans had even touched the ball. And after that opening salvo – the most dominating, terrifying first three minutes in the history of the sport – they then proceeded to lose the game 2:1, complete with a disputed German penalty thrown in to add some conspiratorial angst to the mix. You have to comb through the annals of history to find a team as great as the Dutch squad of 1974 that came up short. The closest thing to the Oranje were the Hungarians of 1954, the undisputed kings of the sport at the time who inexplicably lost 3:2 in the final in Bern to … West Germany, a team whom the Hungarians had poleaxed 8:3 earlier in the tournament.

“Football is a game played by two teams of 11 players in which the Germans always win.”
– Gary Lineker


The Germans are, of course, the game of football’s greatest villains, the dasher of many a nation’s dreams of glory. They and the Italians both, in fact, the two sides having won seven World Cups between them and done so in ways their detractors would decry as dishonorable. And by “detractors,” I mean the four other great footballing nations of Europe – England, France, Spain and, yes, the Dutch, all of whom have developed decided national identities to their style of play over the decades and generally refused to compromise those principles for the sake of a result – meaning, of course, they often wind up losing, and usually to either the Germans or the Italians. This notion of what is honorable and not is somewhat ridiculous, of course, the implication being that both teams cheat. According to the narrative, the German “steely resolve” is little more than physically bludgeoning their opponents, while the Italians suffocate you with defense, counterattack, take dives, work the refs, and bait the opponents into conceding free kicks and penalties, and both teams will play all the angles to get the desired result. While there is certainly some evidence to that effect (most notably this disgraceful performance from 1982), neither side would be able to succeed at the highest levels without the talent to back it up. They may come off as unlikable in the process, and seem perfectly OK with doing so, but you cannot deny the results in the most results-oriented of businesses. And whomever started the melee in Germany-Netherlands 1990, or France v. Italy in the 2006 final, you sure as hell cannot argue that the Dutch or French didn’t contribute. Such principled sorts should have known better, don’t you think?

Pretty much all principles of decency went out the window in 1978 for the World Cup in Argentina, one of the uglier sporting events of all time as it was played out in a nation ruled by a military junta, a lot who are easily on the short list for Worst People in the History of the World that desperately viewed an Argentine victory in the tournament as a stamp of their legitimacy as a ruling body, and went to extremes to try to do that. The higher echelons of sport have always been filled with scofflaws and scoundrels, but 1978 took that to entirely different levels. (There is an excellent chapter on this event in the fabulous book Soccer Against the Enemy by Simon Kuper, a book which also does well to explain various aspects of Dutch football neurosis, including the national catharsis that was the 1988 Euros victory over their German rivals.) Even with Cruijff’s absence, the Dutch were a terrific side and worked their way into the final where they faced the hosts, who had scrambled their way to the final with a bit of alleged Peruvian assistance:

The most significant example of alleged match-fixing occurred in the 1978 World Cup in Argentina. This was more than just a football competition, it was all that kept the ruling military junta from losing power, and thus Argentina had to win.
Come the last match of the semi-final stage, they needed to defeat Peru by four goals to reach the final rather than arch-rivals Brazil. Peru were a useful side but, after an Argentine team-talk from which the goalkeeper and substitutes were barred, Argentina won 6-0 after Peru hit a post in the opening minutes. Shortly afterwards it is alleged that Argentina shipped 35,000 tons of free grain - and probably some free arms - to Peru, and the Argentine central bank unfroze $50m in credits for Peru.

– The Independent 

And the Dutch lost, of course, 3:1 in O.T. after very nearly winning in regulation, a Dutch shot hitting the woodwork in the game’s dying moments. One can only wonder what might have happened in Argentina if the home side hadn’t prevailed. (More than a few theorists have noted that the junta survived the loss to the Brits in the Falklands War but couldn’t survive La Albiceleste losing to Belgium in the opening of the 1982 World Cup, a defeat which triggered the side’s hasty early exit from the tourney.) The result of the 1978 final also gave the Argentines a rather dubious reputation, one which stayed with them for more than a decade. For all the brilliance of Maradona, his greatness can never be separated from the "Hand of God," and their unsightly march to the 1990 final through a series of goalless draws and wins in shootouts certainly didn’t help.

The argument put forth by the purists, of course, is that teams such as the Germans, Italians and Argentines cheat because they cannot compete on a fair playing field. If they really have so much talent, they shouldn’t have to resort to dirty tactics to win. I would like to agree with that sentiment, being a loyal supporter of the Oranje and loving the way the Dutch play the game, but I think it’s somewhat misguided. And I’m also getting to the point where I’m tired of glorious losses.

I think I reached that point in 1998, actually, in the epic loss to Brazil. The Brazilians had a stunning array of offensive talent but a weak central defense, a susceptibility to strong center forward play easily masked since teams were so afraid to attack the Brazilians, fearful of being exposed to the Brazilian counter. The two sides that had thrown caution to the wind – Norway and Denmark – had big forwards who dominated the games up front, the results being a shock Brazilian loss to Norway and a near-death experience in the Quarterfinals vs. the Danes. Well, the Dutch figured this out, of course, and lobbed cross after cross after cross into the Brazilian goalmouth, only to have opportunities go awry for one reason or another. It was a fast and furious game which ended 1:1, and the Dutch inevitably lost in a penalty shootout, and got to watch on TV as the French employed much same strategy (albeit with their fleet of midfielders in the key roles) and waxed the Brazilians 3:0 in the final. That was a beautiful game, that semifinal, one of the more stunning matches I can recall, and the Dutch were heartbroken in the end. I’m all for beautiful football, of course, but at some point you have to stop trying to play beautifully and start trying to win the game. Style be damned.

And the international football media skewered the Dutch side of 2010 for it’s occasionally un-Oranje performances on their way to the 2010 final, as they showed a penchant for physical play and played at a much slower pace than is their norm. Yet there they were on the game’s grandest stage, and they had a plan for the ball-hogging, pass-happy Spaniards, a plan taken from the Swiss and the Americans, of all things – the two sides which had most recently defeated the reigning European champion Spaniards. The Dutch came out and knocked the Spaniards around. They were physical, overaggressive, playing the body and skirting the edges. (And in truth, they got away with some pretty nasty fouls which warranted red cards.) They wanted to frustrate Spain, knock them off their game, and then try to spring a counter with Robben, their swiftest player, on the square and hopefully unfocused Spanish defense. And it worked perfectly, of course … until Robben missed. Well, he was saved by Casillas, the Spanish goalkeeper, but he should have done better with the chance. From that point on in the game, there seemed this sense of inevitability to the proceedings, a sense that they’d let the Spaniards wriggle off the hook and that defeat would eventually follow.

So not only can the Dutch not win when they play their game, they apparently cannot win when playing someone else’s game. They come up short in some of the sport’s most hostile environments, on neutral ground, and, in the case of the 2000 Euros, on home soil as well. And it’s always memorable, it’s always noteworthy. Never a dull moment. After years of watching this, I have come to conclude this is how it is meant to be.

And given their place in footballing history, it would only stand to reason that the Oranje would step into the ring vs. the Brazilians next summer, be the most worthy of adversaries and ultimately lose. I can see no other possible outcome. (Unless, of course, the Oranje somehow get paired with the Belgians along the way, who annoy them and irritate them and always find a way to thieve points from them.) So it has been written, and so it shall be. The great unknown will come in 2018, when the event is hosted by Russia, who possess one of the game’s most dominating home-field advantages but who also are one of the game’s great underachievers. All bets are off on that one. In the meantime, I will gladly dress in orange and hope they can buck fate just this once. Hup Holland! Now win the damn game already, would you?