Showing posts with label Guest Posts. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Guest Posts. Show all posts
Tuesday, May 9, 2017
The Rajon Rondo I'll Remember
Today, we are happy to offer a guest column from Evans Clinchy, who is a Friend of The Lose despite the fact that he took a platter of oysters from me in a bet on how many games OKC would win in the first half of the NBA season. I refer to him as “Evans Ainge” because he’s a long time Boston Celtics guy, and I bounce all sorts of weird trade ideas and scenarios for the C’s off of him, to which he usually replies with things like, “Who are you again?” and, “Do I know you?” Evans is a seasoned vet on the NBA beat, both in New England and in the Pacific Northwest, and you can find him online at twitter.com/evansclinchy and also at evansclinchy.tumblr.com.
THEY say a picture is worth a thousand words, which means simple arithmetic dictates I shouldn’t even bother writing this piece. The animated GIF you see above basically constitutes a mammoth essay – tens of thousands of words – about how I want to remember Rajon Rondo.
That play took place seven years ago today. It was May 9, 2010, and the Celtics were down 2-1 in their second-round playoff series against the Cavaliers. Game 4 was a big nationally televised showdown on a Sunday afternoon. It was Mother’s Day. It was a must-win game for the Celtics, and a chance for the Cavs to move one step closer to that elusive first championship.
It was a game Rondo would absolutely own.
For that one afternoon, it felt like the best basketball player in the universe was in the building and LeBron James was too. LeBron in 2010 was just about at his peak. He’d just won the second of his four MVPs. He was everything to those Cavaliers – their emotional leader, their leading scorer, playmaker, defensive Swiss Army knife. He was the clear best all-around player in the game. But for one day, Rondo out-LeBronned LeBron. He stole the show. He finished that afternoon with 29 points, 18 rebounds and 13 assists, carrying the Celtics to a season-saving win. Those numbers – only Oscar Robertson (32-19-13) and Wilt Chamberlain (29-36-13) had ever matched all three in a playoff game. Not even King James was that good.
That win swung the series. The Celtics had been down 2-1; first they evened the score, then they blew the Cavs’ doors off in a shocking Game 5 blowout in Cleveland, then they ended it in Game 6 at home. At series’ end, LeBron famously ripped his Cavaliers jersey off in the hallway heading to the TD Garden visitors’ locker room. That summer, he left for Miami. The NBA’s monarch had been chased out of town by a 24-year-old point guard who couldn’t shoot.
That’s the thing about peak Rajon Rondo. He wasn’t just disgustingly good at basketball (although he certainly was that) – more than that, he was historically significant. That Mother’s Day in 2010 propelled the Celtics to the NBA Finals, where they came within one ridiculous Ron Artest 3-pointer of winning their 18th championship. It also brought the 2000s Cavaliers, once a true NBA powerhouse, to their knees.
A lot can change in seven years. I’ve witnessed this phenomenon up close. In 2010, I was a Celtics beat reporter, following the team around and chronicling their Cinderella playoff run. I was in the front row for Doc Rivers’ postgame news conference on May 9 when he sat and gushed for minutes on end about how he’d never seen a point guard like Rondo before. In 2017, I sat alone in a musty dive bar in Washington, D.C. and sipped a DC Brau Public Pale Ale as the Chicago Bulls, with Rondo watching from the bench, blew a 2-0 series lead and were eliminated in the first round by the Celtics. The series swung when Rondo fractured his right thumb and sat out Games 3 through 6. In 2010, his presence was enough to slay giants; in ‘17, his absence paved the way for the mercy killing of a shitty pseudo-playoff team that all of America was praying would go home anyway.
It was a slow burn that brought us to this point. Rondo stayed in peak form for another couple of years after that magical 2010 run; he was an All-Star and the best player on a strong East contender in 2011 and 2012, taking the Celtics as far as he could each spring before being eliminated by LeBron’s Heat both years. The downfall began in 2013. On January 25, he drove to the basket late in a Friday night game against the Atlanta Hawks and tweaked his knee; he played 12 more minutes on the bad leg before the night was done. That weekend, he discovered he’d been playing on a torn ACL. He would miss almost a full 12 months before returning the following January. He wasn’t the same after that; he’d lost a step athletically, and he also wasn’t flanked by multiple Hall of Fame teammates. The Celtics had begun a rebuild in his absence.
Eventually, that rebuilding effort grew to include shipping Rondo away. He went to Dallas, where he fit so poorly that coach Rick Carlisle basically told him to stay home from a playoff game in April 2015. From there, he signed a make-good contract for one year in Sacramento. It turned out to be a make-mediocre; he averaged 12 points and 12 assists a game, but also alienated teammates and coaches and got in a heap of trouble for outing a gay referee by directing ugly homophobic slurs his way during a game. Through it all, Rondo remained just barely employable enough to get another gig, signing with the Bulls last summer.
This year was odd. The Bulls got off to a hellacious start, going 8-4 in their first 12 games and boasting the top offense in the NBA. Rondo was a key part of it. Then the losing started, and so did the pouting. Rondo and Fred Hoiberg soured on one another fast; Hoiberg benched his starting point guard by New Year’s. By late January, Rondo was taking to Instagram to publicly vent about the Bulls’ veteran leadership, stating in no uncertain terms that Jimmy Butler and Dwyane Wade couldn’t lead a team like his old pals in Boston, Kevin Garnett and Paul Pierce. The Bulls were in disarray. They were just barely treading water in the East playoff race, and even when they won, it was the ugliest show on hardwood.
Rondo randomly had a late-season renaissance in March; he dropped 24 on the Raptors one night (including four 3-pointers!) and had 15 assists in a surprising win over the Cavaliers. He led the Bulls back from the brink of playoff death, and they snuck into the playoffs as a No. 8. He then averaged a double-double in Chicago’s first two playoff games against Boston, his former team; then, of course, came the thumb injury. The Bulls are now outside the playoffs looking in, and a summer of uncertainty awaits. The team has an option to bring Rondo back. They probably will, but they’re not exactly thrilled about it. Rondo is past his prime, and the Bulls don’t have any viable path to being truly competitive again, with or without him.
It’s weird to think about how we got here. Rondo’s star has fallen so far, so fast. He’s still only 31 years old today. He could still be a great player! Why isn’t he?
This question has been asked and answered to death over the last three years. The debate has raged on since 2014, when Rondo returned post-ACL to a young, rebuilding Celtics team that was in the tank. They had a 15-game stretch late that spring when they went 1-14, and questions about Rondo’s decline began seeping into the national discourse. Some speculated that it was the injury – he just wasn’t the same player without two healthy knees. Others cited his surroundings – without Garnett, Pierce and Ray Allen to pass to, what’s a pass-first point guard to do? Still others theorized that the game had passed Rondo by. He was a non-shooting perimeter player in a fast-modernizing NBA that valued shooting at all five positions. The game was no longer holding a place for him.
Me, I’m tired of the debate. I think it’s clear at this point that the correct answer is some combination of all three, and I don’t have much interest in quibbling over precisely how much of each thing it is. I do think that there’s also a fascinating psychological component there – Rondo was used to being an important NBA player from a young age, and it became difficult to cope when he was forced to transition into being “just another guy.” Rondo was the starting point guard for a championship team at 22. He outplayed LeBron in a playoff series at 24. When you start your career off with such unmitigated success, it’s hard to grapple with the fact that life won’t always be that way.
I can relate. In a lot of ways, my life has mirrored Rondo’s. He was born in 1986, grew up in the South and came to the Celtics when drafted in 2006; I was also born in 1986, grew up in the South and came to Boston for college. In 2006, I got started writing about the Celtics in a column for my college paper. In 2008, Rondo won a title; my first professional journalism gig was covering the team’s victory parade. In 2010, Rondo was briefly on top of the basketball world, at least in terms of individual stardom; I had a job right out of college covering him, which pretty much felt like the pinnacle of life for me, too.
Rondo had his flaws and so did I. He was a basketball player who didn’t particularly like taking jump shots; I was a journalist who didn’t particularly like reporting. We both could be a little prickly when authority figures rubbed us the wrong way. We both also fell victim to timing and circumstance and luck. Long story short, he’s now a fringe starter on a relatively crappy team and I now have a relatively boring desk job.
I try to avoid thinking of either Rondo or myself as someone who peaked at 24, though. Human beings don’t necessarily have “peaks,” anyway. Time isn’t a flat circle, or however the hell that cliché goes. Life brings all sorts of ups and downs and sidewayses.
Rondo, warts and all, will kinda always be my favorite player. He’s talented and misunderstood and enigmatic and flawed and stubborn and maddening and endlessly compelling. There’s so much there to unpack. I’ll probably never be truly done unpacking it.
I continue to hope for the best for Rondo, even though I know nothing he does now can ever live up to the old days. I’m still a sucker for the little mini-redemption stories, like the one he spun for us in March and April this year. And no matter how far he declines, I still try to remember the good times.
Seven years ago today, Rajon Rondo gave the second-best performance I’ve ever seen in person. (The best was Game 6 of the East finals in 2012, when LeBron dropped 45 in an elimination game and singlehandedly saved Miami’s season on the road in Boston.) I’m still thinking about that Mother’s Day today. I think it’s part of the human condition that we go through life doing our best to conjure up the good memories and suppress the bad ones. The ACL tear, the Dallas fiasco, the Bill Kennedy incident, the Instagram post – I do my best to forget those things ever happened. I try to remember Rondo my way – putting up triple-doubles on national television, faking the King out of his shoes and just generally being a badass. That’s the Rondo I’ll remember.
Friday, December 6, 2013
Grounded Eagles
There is losing and then there is LOSING. This week, our guest
commentator is international scrabbler, Jeopardy champion, and
long-suffering Eastern Michigan University alum Jason Idalski. The Emus
Eagles have taken failure on the gridiron to jaw-dropping,
migraine-inducing depths, and Jason has been there to witness the train
wreck with his very disbelieving eyes. The poor guy deserves some combat
pay at this point, and possibly some therapy and strong drink. Lots of
strong drink.
Unlike the NFL, in which parity reigns, college football is a game
of the haves and have-nots. However, if you like the parity of the NFL
and the pageantry of college football, small conferences like the MAC
are the way to go.
Sure, Bowling Green was great under Urban Meyer, but save for this season, what have they done since he left? It's unlikely Northern Illinois will be a BCS-caliber team when Jordan Lynch is gone. When those teams fall, everybody has their chance to be good ... even Buffalo, 12-79 in its first eight seasons in I-A, won the MAC Championship Game two seasons after the end of that run. It's logical; over a dozen years there's one you get hot, win some close games, maybe the schedule's in your favor and you make a bowl game. Anybody should be able to make at least one bowl game a decade.
![]() |
The LOSE maintains Eastern Michigan University should change their nickname to the Emus. The flightless bird is an appropriate mascot for a football program that cannot get off the ground. |
Sure, Bowling Green was great under Urban Meyer, but save for this season, what have they done since he left? It's unlikely Northern Illinois will be a BCS-caliber team when Jordan Lynch is gone. When those teams fall, everybody has their chance to be good ... even Buffalo, 12-79 in its first eight seasons in I-A, won the MAC Championship Game two seasons after the end of that run. It's logical; over a dozen years there's one you get hot, win some close games, maybe the schedule's in your favor and you make a bowl game. Anybody should be able to make at least one bowl game a decade.
Except Eastern Michigan.
Since 2000, every team in the MAC (save for Temple, which was only in the MAC briefly, and Massachusetts, which just joined) has been to the MAC Championship Game ... except Eastern. The "Eagles" (more on that later) haven't had a winning record since 1995. They've been to two bowl games in history, (1971 and 1987), and there seems to be no end in sight to the wait after a demoralizing 2-10 season this year.
I helped cover the Eagles in 2006 for the student newspaper in a season that was actually one of their high-water marks in the past decade. Eastern started 3-2 that season (with a near-win against Cincinnati) and was 3-4 when a post-Roethlisberger Miami (Ohio) team came to Ypsilanti. It was 7-7, 10-10, then 17-17 when Miami scored a touchdown with 1:10 left to take the lead. Improbably, Eastern answered with :13 left.
I remember thinking "Wow. Maybe this season will be the one that ends the drought and turns it all around" ... as the extra point clanged off the upright because a bad snap and mediocre hold forced an abbreviated kicking motion. I've never heard the air go out of a buzzing stadium (well, as much as about 5,000 people in a 30,000 seat stadium can buzz) that fast. That's the thing about Eastern football: Every time you get your hopes up, it makes sure they don't stay there for long.
A few weeks later, a Brady Hoke-coached Ball State team came in, and I was to column-ize the game, which looked to be a boring slurp job when EMU kicked a field goal to lead 25-7 with 7:52 left. Ball State's offense had done nothing; their points were off of an interception return. But when they took 22 seconds to score a touchdown to make it 25-14, I saw the potential for something beautiful.
EMU's coach complied by taking the air out of the ball, removing our quarterback who'd thrown for 286 yards in the first half (yes, he voluntarily took out a quarterback with 286 passing yards in the first half) and replacing him with a running quarterback.
After the 22-yard punt, two-play touchdown drive combo made it 25-20 with 4:38 left, I would've bet everything I owned (which at the time was not much, I concede) that Ball State would win. I started grinning during the ensuing three-and-out and my faith was unshaken even after a Ball State lost fumble.
Sure enough, my Eagles came through, going three-and-out and getting a punt blocked (I started laughing maniacally) so Ball State only had to go 30 yards in the last 55 seconds with no timeouts instead of 70. A fourth-down incompletion was nullified by defensive pass interference. On the ensuing play, a 15-yard pass called a touchdown was overturned to incomplete via review and the crowd cheered.
"It doesn't matter," I said to my co-worker writing the gamer. "They're just delaying the inevitable." The inevitable happened two plays later. Ball State 26, Eastern Michigan 25 ... and I thanked the patron saint of sports columnists (whoever he is) for it. Those two games were the difference between 4-7 and 6-5, between a bowl game and being an also-ran.
Since 2000, every team in the MAC (save for Temple, which was only in the MAC briefly, and Massachusetts, which just joined) has been to the MAC Championship Game ... except Eastern. The "Eagles" (more on that later) haven't had a winning record since 1995. They've been to two bowl games in history, (1971 and 1987), and there seems to be no end in sight to the wait after a demoralizing 2-10 season this year.
I helped cover the Eagles in 2006 for the student newspaper in a season that was actually one of their high-water marks in the past decade. Eastern started 3-2 that season (with a near-win against Cincinnati) and was 3-4 when a post-Roethlisberger Miami (Ohio) team came to Ypsilanti. It was 7-7, 10-10, then 17-17 when Miami scored a touchdown with 1:10 left to take the lead. Improbably, Eastern answered with :13 left.
I remember thinking "Wow. Maybe this season will be the one that ends the drought and turns it all around" ... as the extra point clanged off the upright because a bad snap and mediocre hold forced an abbreviated kicking motion. I've never heard the air go out of a buzzing stadium (well, as much as about 5,000 people in a 30,000 seat stadium can buzz) that fast. That's the thing about Eastern football: Every time you get your hopes up, it makes sure they don't stay there for long.
A few weeks later, a Brady Hoke-coached Ball State team came in, and I was to column-ize the game, which looked to be a boring slurp job when EMU kicked a field goal to lead 25-7 with 7:52 left. Ball State's offense had done nothing; their points were off of an interception return. But when they took 22 seconds to score a touchdown to make it 25-14, I saw the potential for something beautiful.
EMU's coach complied by taking the air out of the ball, removing our quarterback who'd thrown for 286 yards in the first half (yes, he voluntarily took out a quarterback with 286 passing yards in the first half) and replacing him with a running quarterback.
After the 22-yard punt, two-play touchdown drive combo made it 25-20 with 4:38 left, I would've bet everything I owned (which at the time was not much, I concede) that Ball State would win. I started grinning during the ensuing three-and-out and my faith was unshaken even after a Ball State lost fumble.
Sure enough, my Eagles came through, going three-and-out and getting a punt blocked (I started laughing maniacally) so Ball State only had to go 30 yards in the last 55 seconds with no timeouts instead of 70. A fourth-down incompletion was nullified by defensive pass interference. On the ensuing play, a 15-yard pass called a touchdown was overturned to incomplete via review and the crowd cheered.
"It doesn't matter," I said to my co-worker writing the gamer. "They're just delaying the inevitable." The inevitable happened two plays later. Ball State 26, Eastern Michigan 25 ... and I thanked the patron saint of sports columnists (whoever he is) for it. Those two games were the difference between 4-7 and 6-5, between a bowl game and being an also-ran.
In 2009, I had the "opportunity" to again
cover the football team, for a magazine a friend of mine was starting.
That 0-12 season was "highlighted" by a 29-27 loss to Ball State where:
• Eastern blew a 27-13 second-half lead
• Ball State had a 300-yard rusher and a 200-yard rusher, believed to be the first time in NCAA history that happened
• Ball State's coach ended his 34-game winless streak, which led to one of my favorite press conferences to cover as a writer
As luck would have it, said 34-game-winless-streak coach (Stan Parrish) became our interim head coach after current coach Ron English was recorded using both kinds of f-words in talking to the team. (Note to Ron: If the kids you have suck this bad that you have to chew them out like this ... who recruited them?)
I actually had hope for the English era when he went from 0-12 to 2-10 to 6-6 (no bowl because of two I-AA/FCS opponents). But, like I said before, EMU football makes sure that when your hopes get up, they don't stay there long. 2-10 last year, and the disaster this year. Not just on the field, but the murder of a wide receiver as well.
I went to the final home game this season (vs. Bowling Green), which may be the worst performance ever by a team that led at one point. A first-quarter pick-six made it 7-3 but the final was 58-7. EMU had four first downs and three turnovers. Their quarterbacks were 1-for-18 with two interceptions and they were outgained 560-65, numbers usually reserved for guarantee games against Michigan and not an in-conference opponent.
Not much had changed in a decade ... empty seats (I'd guess about 1,000 were there on a sub-freezing, windy day that also featured snow), defenders who couldn't tackle (gosh, were our DBs undersized ... now I see why we gave up an average of 49 points in the last nine games), a student holding up a sign saying "THANK GOODNESS THIS IS FREE FOR STUDENTS."
How has this happened and why? Well, there are many reasons. One notable one is facilities. When I was in school, we were one of the few I-A (sorry, NCAA, I refuse to call it the "Football Bowl Subdivision") schools, especially in the North, to not have an indoor practice facility. We now have a dome (called "the bubble") but still no football building like just about every other school.
Contrast that with similarly struggling in-state rival Western Michigan, responsible for half our four total wins the past two seasons and coming off a 1-11 season. I'm not a big fan of Tony Robbins knockoff P.J. Fleck, especially as a tactician, but he's young, energetic and has brought in a great recruiting class thanks to an upgrade of facilities that is making players and coaches of good MAC teams take notice. They're positioned far better than Eastern is for the future. Similarly, at least Central Michigan can say it's had a No. 1 NFL draft pick in its program.
There's also the issue of the big Maize and Blue shadow seven miles down the road. MAC schools are located in places like DeKalb, Illinois; Athens, Ohio; and Muncie, Indiana. They're the only game in town. At Eastern (more of a commuter school than most in the MAC, especially CMU and WMU), students would rather go seven miles and sit in the Big House than one and watch Eastern. Or sit in the dorm and flip channels.
Another why is an opinion held by me (and probably only me) that our school is the victim of an Indian curse. While it may not be on an Indian burial ground (that I know about), Eastern was one of many schools to change its name from an Indian mascot (Huron) to a generic one (sadly, not to the Emu, which a few of my friends agree would've been perfect).
One of my columns for the student paper was noticing that bad things seemed to happen to teams that schedule EMU in the non-conference, or even guest speakers/performers (Michael Moore, Bill Maher) – more than could be explained (to me, anyway) as confirmation bias.
This theory was later strengthened by Jerry Sandusky (broke about a month after EMU played Penn State's football team) and Bernie Fine (that broke at such a point that Jim Boeheim devoted his postgame press conference after the EMU game to defending Fine). Even at Eastern athletics' highest point (the NCAA basketball tournament Sweet Sixteen in 1991), the Huron controversy came to a head that week and internal politics, etc., led to Brent Musberger referring to us as the "Eastern Michigan No-Names." (And with the Sioux controversy, North Dakota could do worse than the "North Dakota No-Names.")
This season, all three I-A non-conference opponents (Penn State, Rutgers, Army) underachieved as a whole. I'm telling you, the EMU jinx is a thing.
We have reached the point where many think EMU should go down to I-AA (NCAA, take your "Football Championship Subdivision" and stick it where the sun don't shine) or drop the program altogether, an opinion held by my journalistic mentor, who I respectfully disagree with on this.
A year ago, Gregg Doyel (who I like, mostly) said that anybody
offered the Auburn job would be a fool to take it. Seems to
have worked out OK for Gus Malzahn, though. Similarly, John Feinstein
(of whom I'm a huge fan) said Duke should get out of the ACC as recently
as a couple years ago, that they could never be competitive, especially
with their current facilities. Now David Cutcliffe has them playing in
the ACC Championship game. There's numerous examples throughout the
history of college sports. When John Thompson was hired at
Georgetown, the program was so bad they told him if he could get them to
the NIT occasionally, that was fine.
CMU was searching for a coach at the same time we were a few years ago, similarly moribund. They got now-Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly, we didn't ... and the impact of that is still being felt today.
As former Georgia Tech basketball coach Bobby Cremins said, everything about college sports comes back to the coach. If you have the talent and can't win (cough, cough, Roy Williams), then that's obviously on the coach. And if the talent you have isn't good, then, as I said above, who recruited them? I still believe that Eastern's one good hire away from being decent – if the bumblers in charge can get it right for a change.
Their last three hires have been Jeff Woodruff (who?), Jeff Genyk (who?) and Ron English, who was a good defensive coordinator at Michigan except that his teams couldn't stop the new "spread" offense ... that about half the MAC ran at the time. That hire was a done deal when Lloyd Carr was brought in for the search ... probably so above bumblers could rub elbows with him. We need a young up-and-comer with the energy needed to take this massive rebuild on. (I wanted Bob Sutton if interested each time (was underappreciated at Army), and while he may also be a retread he was considered a hot coach when his Kansas City defense went out to a 9-0 start and at least had some ties to the school.)
So, the for the 20-somethingth straight year, bowl season is about to begin without EMU being a part of it.
But, there is some hope for Eagles fans. At least our wait is not the 50-something years of New Mexico State. Sports Illustrated chronicled the Aggies' ineptitude more than 20 years ago, and the situation has not improved in Las Cruces.
As luck would have it, said 34-game-winless-streak coach (Stan Parrish) became our interim head coach after current coach Ron English was recorded using both kinds of f-words in talking to the team. (Note to Ron: If the kids you have suck this bad that you have to chew them out like this ... who recruited them?)
I actually had hope for the English era when he went from 0-12 to 2-10 to 6-6 (no bowl because of two I-AA/FCS opponents). But, like I said before, EMU football makes sure that when your hopes get up, they don't stay there long. 2-10 last year, and the disaster this year. Not just on the field, but the murder of a wide receiver as well.
I went to the final home game this season (vs. Bowling Green), which may be the worst performance ever by a team that led at one point. A first-quarter pick-six made it 7-3 but the final was 58-7. EMU had four first downs and three turnovers. Their quarterbacks were 1-for-18 with two interceptions and they were outgained 560-65, numbers usually reserved for guarantee games against Michigan and not an in-conference opponent.
Not much had changed in a decade ... empty seats (I'd guess about 1,000 were there on a sub-freezing, windy day that also featured snow), defenders who couldn't tackle (gosh, were our DBs undersized ... now I see why we gave up an average of 49 points in the last nine games), a student holding up a sign saying "THANK GOODNESS THIS IS FREE FOR STUDENTS."
How has this happened and why? Well, there are many reasons. One notable one is facilities. When I was in school, we were one of the few I-A (sorry, NCAA, I refuse to call it the "Football Bowl Subdivision") schools, especially in the North, to not have an indoor practice facility. We now have a dome (called "the bubble") but still no football building like just about every other school.
Contrast that with similarly struggling in-state rival Western Michigan, responsible for half our four total wins the past two seasons and coming off a 1-11 season. I'm not a big fan of Tony Robbins knockoff P.J. Fleck, especially as a tactician, but he's young, energetic and has brought in a great recruiting class thanks to an upgrade of facilities that is making players and coaches of good MAC teams take notice. They're positioned far better than Eastern is for the future. Similarly, at least Central Michigan can say it's had a No. 1 NFL draft pick in its program.
There's also the issue of the big Maize and Blue shadow seven miles down the road. MAC schools are located in places like DeKalb, Illinois; Athens, Ohio; and Muncie, Indiana. They're the only game in town. At Eastern (more of a commuter school than most in the MAC, especially CMU and WMU), students would rather go seven miles and sit in the Big House than one and watch Eastern. Or sit in the dorm and flip channels.
Another why is an opinion held by me (and probably only me) that our school is the victim of an Indian curse. While it may not be on an Indian burial ground (that I know about), Eastern was one of many schools to change its name from an Indian mascot (Huron) to a generic one (sadly, not to the Emu, which a few of my friends agree would've been perfect).
One of my columns for the student paper was noticing that bad things seemed to happen to teams that schedule EMU in the non-conference, or even guest speakers/performers (Michael Moore, Bill Maher) – more than could be explained (to me, anyway) as confirmation bias.
This theory was later strengthened by Jerry Sandusky (broke about a month after EMU played Penn State's football team) and Bernie Fine (that broke at such a point that Jim Boeheim devoted his postgame press conference after the EMU game to defending Fine). Even at Eastern athletics' highest point (the NCAA basketball tournament Sweet Sixteen in 1991), the Huron controversy came to a head that week and internal politics, etc., led to Brent Musberger referring to us as the "Eastern Michigan No-Names." (And with the Sioux controversy, North Dakota could do worse than the "North Dakota No-Names.")
This season, all three I-A non-conference opponents (Penn State, Rutgers, Army) underachieved as a whole. I'm telling you, the EMU jinx is a thing.
We have reached the point where many think EMU should go down to I-AA (NCAA, take your "Football Championship Subdivision" and stick it where the sun don't shine) or drop the program altogether, an opinion held by my journalistic mentor, who I respectfully disagree with on this.
A year ago, Gregg Doyel (who I like, mostly) said that
CMU was searching for a coach at the same time we were a few years ago, similarly moribund. They got now-Notre Dame coach Brian Kelly, we didn't ... and the impact of that is still being felt today.
As former Georgia Tech basketball coach Bobby Cremins said, everything about college sports comes back to the coach. If you have the talent and can't win (cough, cough, Roy Williams), then that's obviously on the coach. And if the talent you have isn't good, then, as I said above, who recruited them? I still believe that Eastern's one good hire away from being decent – if the bumblers in charge can get it right for a change.
Their last three hires have been Jeff Woodruff (who?), Jeff Genyk (who?) and Ron English, who was a good defensive coordinator at Michigan except that his teams couldn't stop the new "spread" offense ... that about half the MAC ran at the time. That hire was a done deal when Lloyd Carr was brought in for the search ... probably so above bumblers could rub elbows with him. We need a young up-and-comer with the energy needed to take this massive rebuild on. (I wanted Bob Sutton if interested each time (was underappreciated at Army), and while he may also be a retread he was considered a hot coach when his Kansas City defense went out to a 9-0 start and at least had some ties to the school.)
So, the for the 20-somethingth straight year, bowl season is about to begin without EMU being a part of it.
But, there is some hope for Eagles fans. At least our wait is not the 50-something years of New Mexico State. Sports Illustrated chronicled the Aggies' ineptitude more than 20 years ago, and the situation has not improved in Las Cruces.
Friday, May 17, 2013
Capital Crimes
Today the LOSE presents the first of what I hope to become a regular series of guest posts from fellow long-suffering fans either intrigued or morbidly curious about the act of losing, or maybe just in need of an act of literary exorcism so as to purge some frustration. Tonight’s post comes from world-class scrabbler, perennial Austin Adult Spelling Bee winner, multi-instrumentalist, and long-suffering Washington Capitals fan Geoff Thevenot, author of the outstanding Scrambled and Unscrambled blog, which you should all read when you’re not reading IN PLAY LOSE. Take it away Geoff …
Hi, I'm Geoff. I grew up near Washington, D.C., and I have been a Washington Capitals fan since January 26, 1977, when my father took me, age 6, and my little brother Brian, age 4, to a Capitals game against the Detroit Red Wings at the old Capital Centre down the road. The Capitals won the game, 4-1; the goal sirens and loud cheering enthralled me, as did the entire contents of the game program and the next day's standings and boxscore because I was that kind of kid, and I was hooked for life. The starting goalies in the game were Roger Crozier for the Caps and Ed Giacomin for the Red Wings - my dad taught me how to pronounce Giacomin's surname, which I thought was really cool. No, I'm not old.
What I could not have known at the time was how rare an event I had witnessed. The Caps were a third-year expansion team at the time and would finish with just 24 wins in 80 games. My father had the good sense to take us to a game the Caps might win, against a strip-mined Red Wings team that hadn't done anything right since Gordie Howe left a few years before.
And what I *really* couldn't have known was the legacy I was heir to. The underpowered 24-42-14 team we watched that night, believe it or not, had made a quantum leap forward from where they were two years before. Coaches have won Jack Adams Trophies for less.
***
The Capitals began play in the fall of 1974, handicapped in a multiplicity of ways. The NHL contained just the Original Six teams of ancient legend as late as 1967, owing to the extraordinary stubbornness of its owners, but finally realized the opportunity before them and expanded to 12 teams in one go, and further to 16 by 1972. This thinned out the talent, but there was enough to go around - too few teams before meant that lots of deserving players weren't getting the chance to prove themselves, and the initial rounds of expansion helped fix that. But then a rival league, the WHA, started playing in the fall of 1972, and while not as powerful as the NHL, they had some money to throw around. They notably signed Gordie Howe and Bobby Hull, but they also competed for lesser talents - a second- or third-line player in the NHL might well be a star in the early WHA, and lots of less famous players made the leap as well...also, the talent pool itself was much thinner in the early 70s than it would be later, because the Europeans had yet to arrive. Into the late 70s, over 90 percent of NHL players were Canadian-born; by the mid-90s, only about 60 percent of them were.
But the NHL was still committed to expand once more, and so the Capitals and Kansas City Scouts would start playing in the 1974-75 season. (And they had reason to, if for nothing other than outracing the WHA to those cities.) There was an expansion draft, but it was most uncharitable: each existing NHL team got to protect 16 skaters and two goalies, so the best the Caps and Scouts could do was pick players that the existing teams viewed as no better than their 17th best skater or third-string goalie. And many of the class of players somewhat better than that, guys who could have helped here, were under contract to one of the 14 teams in the WHA. After the season, many observers thought that the 1974 NHL expansions had been a mistake. Can't blame them, though both teams do still exist - the Scouts moved to Colorado in 1976 and then New Jersey in 1981, becoming the New Jersey Devils we know today.
The Capitals, endowed with that foundation of sinking sand, proceeded to weaken themselves even further at the 1974 amateur draft. Look at it and you will cry. The three-year-old New York Islanders, picking fourth in each round but having the key advantage of knowing what the hell they were doing, came away with Clark Gillies and Bryan Trottier. The Capitals, picking first in each round, came away with Greg Joly and Mike Marson. (Their 1975 draft was even worse.)
And then there's this. Yes, that's right, white pants. That happened. Not for nothing are "diapers" and "despair" anagrams of each other.
As bad as you would expect a team forged in all these fires at once to be, the expansion Caps were even more fecal than that. The first thing you notice is the record. They won 8 games and tied 5 on the year, which means they lost the other 67. And away from home, they were far worse: they lost their first 37 road games outright before eking out a 3-2 win against the horrible-but-not-quite-as-horrible California Golden Seals (doesn't that name just tell you they're bad? Good sports teams don't have names like that). But the win-loss record is just the beginning.
Here is one of the coolest bits of symmetry in the sports record book. The record for goals scored by a team in one season is 446, by the 1983-84 Edmonton Oilers. Did you see this team? You wouldn't believe it. The Wayne Gretzky Oilers, at their peak. They lit people up every damn night. Too many weapons, including the ultimate one, Wayne himself. This was before the invention of the devilish (sorry) neutral-zone trap and other defensive strategies; this is what happens when one team has vastly superior talent and game planning at the exact moment in history when no one else has an answer for it, as happened with the 16-0 New England Patriots up until the Super Bowl that year. Video game numbers. Wayne Gretzky put up 205 points (87 goals, 118 assists) - the next best non-Oiler total was 121. They damn near broke hockey. Their like will never be seen again.
The record for goals allowed is exactly the same - 446. That's our expansion Capitals. Yes, you heard that right: when facing those Caps, a league-average NHL offensive team turned into the Wayne Gretzky Oilers at their peak. So what happened when a really good team faced them? We have your evidence: the first-year Capitals were placed, cruelly, in a division with the Montreal Canadiens, the powerhouse of the mid-to-late 70s. In their six matches, the Canadiens outscored the Capitals 49-9. (The Caps couldn't score either - they netted a sad 181 goals on the year, far below the league average of 273.)
There are just so many beautiful indices of the first-year Caps' ineptitude, I can hardly decide what to present first. The expansion Capitals are to hockey what Pedro Carolino's "English As She Is Spoke" was to English pedagogy:
- Since the '67-68 expansion that marks the modern era of NHL hockey, by my count, 16 players have achieved a plus-minus rating of negative 50 or worse; a plus-minus that wretched is a singular achievement. The expansion Capitals had EIGHT such players on the roster, including one (Jack Lynch) who managed to rack up a -54 in just 20 games; Bill Mikkelson, who played 54 games for the team that year, set the all-time record for worst plus-minus at -82.
- The Capitals had a 17-game losing streak, a 10-game losing streak, a 9-game losing streak and two 7-game losing streaks. All in the same season.
- There is a formula, commonly referred to as the Pythagorean formula, that predicts wins and losses from runs/goals/points scored and allowed in various sports, and it's usually pretty close to its target. When it's not, we can surmise that a team may have been unusually good or bad in clutch situations, or unusually lucky or unlucky. Almost every historically awful team also shows up as unlucky by this analysis, which makes intuitive sense - the worst teams ever should be those that were both bad *and* unlucky, right? Not these Caps, though: this formula suggests they should have ended up with something like 11 standings points, even less than the record-low 21 they actually had. There's a good reason they exceeded expectations: they got to play their expansion brethren, the Kansas City Scouts, who would have been the league's worst in almost any other year, and a few other troubled franchises. The league was unusually stratified at the time. In an NHL with a more normal competitive ecology, these Caps might have struggled to win even five games. Their record overrates them. (The 92-93 Ottawa Senators and San Jose Sharks, with win-loss records nearly as bad, would have blown the 74-75 Caps off the ice, no doubt in my mind. It was a different league by then.)
- To illustrate this further, there is a stat on hockey-reference.com called Point Shares, which attempts to mine the data and figure out how much each player contributed to his team's standings points for the year. In most cases, the point shares for all the individual players on a team add up roughly to the team's point total: for example, the 2009-10 Penguins add up to 100.15, and the team actually had 101 standings points. For normal teams, the average difference is about 4-5 points. The first-year Caps break this model: they had 21 standings points, but the sum total of their players' contributions is estimated to be...2.7. Yes, two point seven. As a team. In 1988-89, Mario Lemieux had 19.56 point shares by himself.
- Who was the 74-75 Caps' best player? Tommy Williams was a 34-year-old right winger who had spent the previous two seasons as a mid-line player for the New England Whalers of the WHA, after a largely undistinguished run of seasons in the NHL in the sixties. Williams would have had to hustle to make the third line on most NHL teams, but on these Caps, he was the man. He led the team with 58 points, tying him for 70th place in the NHL; Denis Dupere was a distant second on the team with 35.
- The first-year Capitals had three coaches. Teams with three coaches in a single season tend not to have the good records, as a rule. Jimmy Anderson was let go after his 4-45-5 start, but apparently he was not the problem, as Red Sullivan (these names sound like they're from the 1940s; surely fedoras and whiskey are involved in here somewhere) guided the hometown heroes to a 2-16-0 mark. Milt Schmidt, who I think was also the GM but am too lazy to check at the moment, finished out the year behind the bench with a rousing 2-6-0 record.
- A week in the life: During the week of February 18-25, 1975, when I was busy attending pre-K, the Capitals lost consecutive games 6-1, 9-4, 10-3, 7-2 and 6-2. You'd think they'd have gotten tired of that, but no, they went on to lose twelve more games in a row, including losses of 8-0, 12-1, 7-2 and 8-2. Ten of these seventeen games were at home.
- My father attended a second-year Caps versus Canadiens game. He has reported since that the entire game was played at one end of the ice, and that the Capitals appeared to be in slow motion like on the TV. The game ended 11-0 or something.
- The Caps surrendered eight or more goals 16 times. Yes, one fifth of the time.
- The Caps were shut out in 12 games and scored just one goal in 17 others.
- The Caps scored about 13% of the time on the power play, while giving up power play goals 29% of the time. And those don't even count toward plus-minus ratings.
- The Caps gave up 255 goals - on the road. Their *average* road game in 1974-75 was a 7-2 loss.
- Starting goalie Ron Low played 48 games and racked up a GAA of 5.45, and he was clearly the best goalie on the roster. The backup goalie, Michel Belhumeur (great name), was in net for 27 decisions and did not win any of them.
- As you'd expect, almost no one on the roster lasted more than a couple of years longer in the league after the year ended. Defenseman Yvon Labre (whose #7 was eventually retired by the Capitals, the equivalent of a Purple Heart), a castoff from the Penguins, lasted the longest.
- Their final game was an 8-4 win over those Penguins, who had already made the playoffs and thus started their drinking at 11 am instead of 11 pm. In music, this is called a Picardy third - a hopeful major triad at the end of a mournful minor-key piece.
Hi, I'm Geoff. I grew up near Washington, D.C., and I have been a Washington Capitals fan since January 26, 1977, when my father took me, age 6, and my little brother Brian, age 4, to a Capitals game against the Detroit Red Wings at the old Capital Centre down the road. The Capitals won the game, 4-1; the goal sirens and loud cheering enthralled me, as did the entire contents of the game program and the next day's standings and boxscore because I was that kind of kid, and I was hooked for life. The starting goalies in the game were Roger Crozier for the Caps and Ed Giacomin for the Red Wings - my dad taught me how to pronounce Giacomin's surname, which I thought was really cool. No, I'm not old.
What I could not have known at the time was how rare an event I had witnessed. The Caps were a third-year expansion team at the time and would finish with just 24 wins in 80 games. My father had the good sense to take us to a game the Caps might win, against a strip-mined Red Wings team that hadn't done anything right since Gordie Howe left a few years before.
And what I *really* couldn't have known was the legacy I was heir to. The underpowered 24-42-14 team we watched that night, believe it or not, had made a quantum leap forward from where they were two years before. Coaches have won Jack Adams Trophies for less.
***
The Capitals began play in the fall of 1974, handicapped in a multiplicity of ways. The NHL contained just the Original Six teams of ancient legend as late as 1967, owing to the extraordinary stubbornness of its owners, but finally realized the opportunity before them and expanded to 12 teams in one go, and further to 16 by 1972. This thinned out the talent, but there was enough to go around - too few teams before meant that lots of deserving players weren't getting the chance to prove themselves, and the initial rounds of expansion helped fix that. But then a rival league, the WHA, started playing in the fall of 1972, and while not as powerful as the NHL, they had some money to throw around. They notably signed Gordie Howe and Bobby Hull, but they also competed for lesser talents - a second- or third-line player in the NHL might well be a star in the early WHA, and lots of less famous players made the leap as well...also, the talent pool itself was much thinner in the early 70s than it would be later, because the Europeans had yet to arrive. Into the late 70s, over 90 percent of NHL players were Canadian-born; by the mid-90s, only about 60 percent of them were.
But the NHL was still committed to expand once more, and so the Capitals and Kansas City Scouts would start playing in the 1974-75 season. (And they had reason to, if for nothing other than outracing the WHA to those cities.) There was an expansion draft, but it was most uncharitable: each existing NHL team got to protect 16 skaters and two goalies, so the best the Caps and Scouts could do was pick players that the existing teams viewed as no better than their 17th best skater or third-string goalie. And many of the class of players somewhat better than that, guys who could have helped here, were under contract to one of the 14 teams in the WHA. After the season, many observers thought that the 1974 NHL expansions had been a mistake. Can't blame them, though both teams do still exist - the Scouts moved to Colorado in 1976 and then New Jersey in 1981, becoming the New Jersey Devils we know today.
The Capitals, endowed with that foundation of sinking sand, proceeded to weaken themselves even further at the 1974 amateur draft. Look at it and you will cry. The three-year-old New York Islanders, picking fourth in each round but having the key advantage of knowing what the hell they were doing, came away with Clark Gillies and Bryan Trottier. The Capitals, picking first in each round, came away with Greg Joly and Mike Marson. (Their 1975 draft was even worse.)
And then there's this. Yes, that's right, white pants. That happened. Not for nothing are "diapers" and "despair" anagrams of each other.
As bad as you would expect a team forged in all these fires at once to be, the expansion Caps were even more fecal than that. The first thing you notice is the record. They won 8 games and tied 5 on the year, which means they lost the other 67. And away from home, they were far worse: they lost their first 37 road games outright before eking out a 3-2 win against the horrible-but-not-quite-as-horrible California Golden Seals (doesn't that name just tell you they're bad? Good sports teams don't have names like that). But the win-loss record is just the beginning.
Here is one of the coolest bits of symmetry in the sports record book. The record for goals scored by a team in one season is 446, by the 1983-84 Edmonton Oilers. Did you see this team? You wouldn't believe it. The Wayne Gretzky Oilers, at their peak. They lit people up every damn night. Too many weapons, including the ultimate one, Wayne himself. This was before the invention of the devilish (sorry) neutral-zone trap and other defensive strategies; this is what happens when one team has vastly superior talent and game planning at the exact moment in history when no one else has an answer for it, as happened with the 16-0 New England Patriots up until the Super Bowl that year. Video game numbers. Wayne Gretzky put up 205 points (87 goals, 118 assists) - the next best non-Oiler total was 121. They damn near broke hockey. Their like will never be seen again.
The record for goals allowed is exactly the same - 446. That's our expansion Capitals. Yes, you heard that right: when facing those Caps, a league-average NHL offensive team turned into the Wayne Gretzky Oilers at their peak. So what happened when a really good team faced them? We have your evidence: the first-year Capitals were placed, cruelly, in a division with the Montreal Canadiens, the powerhouse of the mid-to-late 70s. In their six matches, the Canadiens outscored the Capitals 49-9. (The Caps couldn't score either - they netted a sad 181 goals on the year, far below the league average of 273.)
There are just so many beautiful indices of the first-year Caps' ineptitude, I can hardly decide what to present first. The expansion Capitals are to hockey what Pedro Carolino's "English As She Is Spoke" was to English pedagogy:
- Since the '67-68 expansion that marks the modern era of NHL hockey, by my count, 16 players have achieved a plus-minus rating of negative 50 or worse; a plus-minus that wretched is a singular achievement. The expansion Capitals had EIGHT such players on the roster, including one (Jack Lynch) who managed to rack up a -54 in just 20 games; Bill Mikkelson, who played 54 games for the team that year, set the all-time record for worst plus-minus at -82.
- The Capitals had a 17-game losing streak, a 10-game losing streak, a 9-game losing streak and two 7-game losing streaks. All in the same season.
- There is a formula, commonly referred to as the Pythagorean formula, that predicts wins and losses from runs/goals/points scored and allowed in various sports, and it's usually pretty close to its target. When it's not, we can surmise that a team may have been unusually good or bad in clutch situations, or unusually lucky or unlucky. Almost every historically awful team also shows up as unlucky by this analysis, which makes intuitive sense - the worst teams ever should be those that were both bad *and* unlucky, right? Not these Caps, though: this formula suggests they should have ended up with something like 11 standings points, even less than the record-low 21 they actually had. There's a good reason they exceeded expectations: they got to play their expansion brethren, the Kansas City Scouts, who would have been the league's worst in almost any other year, and a few other troubled franchises. The league was unusually stratified at the time. In an NHL with a more normal competitive ecology, these Caps might have struggled to win even five games. Their record overrates them. (The 92-93 Ottawa Senators and San Jose Sharks, with win-loss records nearly as bad, would have blown the 74-75 Caps off the ice, no doubt in my mind. It was a different league by then.)
- To illustrate this further, there is a stat on hockey-reference.com called Point Shares, which attempts to mine the data and figure out how much each player contributed to his team's standings points for the year. In most cases, the point shares for all the individual players on a team add up roughly to the team's point total: for example, the 2009-10 Penguins add up to 100.15, and the team actually had 101 standings points. For normal teams, the average difference is about 4-5 points. The first-year Caps break this model: they had 21 standings points, but the sum total of their players' contributions is estimated to be...2.7. Yes, two point seven. As a team. In 1988-89, Mario Lemieux had 19.56 point shares by himself.
- Who was the 74-75 Caps' best player? Tommy Williams was a 34-year-old right winger who had spent the previous two seasons as a mid-line player for the New England Whalers of the WHA, after a largely undistinguished run of seasons in the NHL in the sixties. Williams would have had to hustle to make the third line on most NHL teams, but on these Caps, he was the man. He led the team with 58 points, tying him for 70th place in the NHL; Denis Dupere was a distant second on the team with 35.
- The first-year Capitals had three coaches. Teams with three coaches in a single season tend not to have the good records, as a rule. Jimmy Anderson was let go after his 4-45-5 start, but apparently he was not the problem, as Red Sullivan (these names sound like they're from the 1940s; surely fedoras and whiskey are involved in here somewhere) guided the hometown heroes to a 2-16-0 mark. Milt Schmidt, who I think was also the GM but am too lazy to check at the moment, finished out the year behind the bench with a rousing 2-6-0 record.
- A week in the life: During the week of February 18-25, 1975, when I was busy attending pre-K, the Capitals lost consecutive games 6-1, 9-4, 10-3, 7-2 and 6-2. You'd think they'd have gotten tired of that, but no, they went on to lose twelve more games in a row, including losses of 8-0, 12-1, 7-2 and 8-2. Ten of these seventeen games were at home.
- My father attended a second-year Caps versus Canadiens game. He has reported since that the entire game was played at one end of the ice, and that the Capitals appeared to be in slow motion like on the TV. The game ended 11-0 or something.
- The Caps surrendered eight or more goals 16 times. Yes, one fifth of the time.
- The Caps were shut out in 12 games and scored just one goal in 17 others.
- The Caps scored about 13% of the time on the power play, while giving up power play goals 29% of the time. And those don't even count toward plus-minus ratings.
- The Caps gave up 255 goals - on the road. Their *average* road game in 1974-75 was a 7-2 loss.
- Starting goalie Ron Low played 48 games and racked up a GAA of 5.45, and he was clearly the best goalie on the roster. The backup goalie, Michel Belhumeur (great name), was in net for 27 decisions and did not win any of them.
- As you'd expect, almost no one on the roster lasted more than a couple of years longer in the league after the year ended. Defenseman Yvon Labre (whose #7 was eventually retired by the Capitals, the equivalent of a Purple Heart), a castoff from the Penguins, lasted the longest.
- Their final game was an 8-4 win over those Penguins, who had already made the playoffs and thus started their drinking at 11 am instead of 11 pm. In music, this is called a Picardy third - a hopeful major triad at the end of a mournful minor-key piece.
Subscribe to:
Posts (Atom)