Wednesday, December 30, 2015

Missing the Mark

Oh, for fucksake.
JEEZ, I can’t even go on vacation. I gave you The Lose of the Year post, and then everyone in the sporting world seems hell bent on doing even more stupid stuff. Sigh. The Lose’s work is apparently never done.

To the buzzard points!

“If you’re worried about being fired, you should already have been fired.” – Chip Kelly
The firing of Chip Kelly seemed inevitable after watching the Philadelphis Eagles’ comedic 38:24 loss to the Redskin Potatoes on Saturday night, dropping Philly to 6-9 and out of the playoff race. The Eagles were fraught with mistakes – eight penalties, at least 10 dropped passes, five sacks allowed. One dismal sequence in the third quarter featured, on consecutive plays, a fumbled punt, a botched handoff, a dropped pass, and then a fumble by Demarco Murray that the Taters returned for a game-clinching TD. The defense, meanwhile, made Kirk Cousins look like a Pro Bowler and couldn’t be bothered to cover a Washington receiver for the better part of the evening. The Iggles were so dysfunctional that all-pro LT Jason Peters pulled himself from the game in the 4th Quarter, saying “I don’t want to get hurt for this.”
Kelly should certainly be commended for bringing some of his approaches to sports science and injury prevention to the league – the Eagles were generally a much healthier team than most others during his 3-year tenure – and he brought some great ideas to the pro game from Oregon regarding spacing and tempo on offense which helped make the Eagles an exciting team to watch when their offense was firing on all cylinders. But Kelly brought with him some of the naïve sort of ideas too many college coaches bring with them when jumping to the pros, the most notorious being espoused in his comment, “culture is greater than scheme,” that NFL Films captured him saying on the sideline during training camp.
Kelly’s offensive scheme was actually quite simplistic in nature, his thinking being that a well-conditioned team who executed to perfection would prove to be successful, particularly in a no-huddle situation where they could simply wear down opposition. This attitude works great in college – assuming you’ve gone out and recruited all sorts of better athletes than your opponents. College football is all about recruiting, amassing enough talent so that you can simply overwhelm most of your opponents. You don’t need brilliant schemes in college. You just need to keep your bigger, faster, stronger guys from screwing up too often. But in the NFL, everyone is bigger and faster and stronger. Talent tends to generally equal out. The first 22 guys in any NFL starting lineup are pretty damn good. (It’s depth, injuries, and mistakes that make the difference.) NFL play books are huge, in part, because over the course of a 16-game season, you’re often going to have to go to Plan B or even Plan C, since whatever you were trying to do gets figured out or you’ve got too many injuries at key positions, or what have you. You never need to go to Plan B or Plan C at an enormous college football factory like the University of Nike Oregon, where the 2nd- and 3rd-string guys are probably better than most of your opposition, anyway. This is part of why a lot of great college coaches, even championship ones – Dennis Erickson and Nick Saban immediately come to mind – ultimately made terrible NFL head coaches. Gaudy college records implied they were tactical geniuses, which turned out not to be the case at all. Scheme is, in fact, more important than culture in the NFL. You have to know what you’re doing. If you don’t, your players – who, along with being bigger and stronger and faster also happen quite often to be smarter, as well – catch onto it quickly and, just as quickly, start tuning you out.
Like far too many others who come from the Cult of the Coach that is big-time American college sports, Kelly brought a messianic complex with him to Philadelphia, and also brought with him an attitude that made him seem like he was the smartest guy in the room. He also wanted the personnel powers in Philly and eventually got his wish, and spent the offseason making bad trades and illogical decisions. A team consisting of “his” players looked woefully ill-equipped, unprepared and, ultimately, bereft of ideas. If you’re going to tout yourself as being an innovator, you have to keep doing innovating, because the game catches up to you fast. The Chip Kelly Eagles played fast and furious at first, but their decline wound up happening even swifter.

• Your NFC East champions:

Kirk Cousins tears the ACL in his brain
Here are the Potatoes taking a knee at the end of the first half against the Iggles, and letting the clock run out, instead of killing the clock by spiking the ball. Uh, whoops.
A potentially amusing bit of gamesmanship arises this coming weekend, when Green Bay hosts Minnesota. The winner of the game captures the NFC North title, and also locks down the #3 seed in the playoffs. The loser, meanwhile, gets the first wild card and gets the #5 seed.
Being #3 gets you a home game, but also gets you a matchup with the Seattle Seahawks – and Vegas oddsmakers have said that the Seahawks would be favored in a neutral field matchup against pretty much any other team in the NFC. The Packers had to rally to beat Seattle early in the season at home, while the Seahawks tore Minnesota to shreds in Minneapolis a couple of weeks ago. Even without a functioning running game and offensive line, the Seahawks are probably the most undesirable postseason opponent, and beating Seattle would then slot you against the Arizona Cardinals in Phoenix – the same Cardinals who made Green Bay look stupid over the weekend.
The #5 seed, meanwhile, slots you against the aforementioned Redskin Potatoes, winners of the most comically awful NFC East, and if all games go to form, then gets you a game against the Carolina Panthers, who are 14-1 but whom everyone around the NFL thinks has wildly overachieved.
Which path through the playoffs is easier? Is playing a .500 and decidedly marginal Potatoes team on the road a better postseason bet than having a home field against an ornery 2-time Super Bowl attendee? And, as a coach for either the Vikes or the Pack, how do you approach this game? Do you go all-in and play to win? Do you rest guys who are 50-50?
Quite honestly, I think losing this game is better in the long-term: not only do I think the Taters are a weaker opponent, but finishing 2nd in your division also gets you a slightly easier schedule the following season (the schedule being the NFL’s greatest single parity-generator which no one really talks about). In the here and the now, however, I suspect Green Bay views itself as desperately needing a home playoff game, since the Pack’s season has come off the rails, and if I’m the Vikes, I probably give it a go but ease off the throttle pretty early if it isn’t going my way. I don’t think Minnesota minds losing this game.

• Bill Belichick’s decision to kickoff at the beginning of overtime against the New York Jets was nonsense. It was complete nonsense, and if that was the head coach of the Cleveland Browns or the Jacksonville Jaguars doing something like that, we’d all be talking today about what an idiot he is. Hell, Marty Morninweg doing the same thing in Detroit was the straw that broke the camel’s back and ultimately got him fired. But since Belichick has won four Super Bowls, there must obviously be some higher, sensible rationale for what he did.
Which there isn’t. It was dumb of the Pats to kickoff and don’t bother trying to argue otherwise. Such a ploy makes some sense on a day where the conditions dictate it (as was the case when the Pats got away with this before a couple of years ago, when the direction of gusty winds put a premium on having those winds at your back), but on a 60° day in New York with the wind not a factor, it’s dumb. The numbers don’t back that strategy up, and I personally have far more faith in Tom Brady winning me a game than a defensive unit that’s been decent, at best, for most of the season.
But Belichick has never been one to shy away from thinking outside the box. I personally thought his game-theory approach at the end of the Super Bowl, while unorthodox, also put the Seahawks in a position to fail – which is precisely what they did. In that game, I think Pete Carroll got it wrong in that Super Bowl. Well, sometimes even the best coaches in the NFL get stuff wrong. And in the end, this game didn’t mean that much to the Pats, who’ve clinched the decision and are well on their way to a #1 seed in the playoffs. There’s nothing wrong, in the bigger picture, with taking a shot here to see if your defense is good enough to win you a game. In the end, he has enough cred built up – an indisputably so – to withstand a strange coaching decision here and there.

• Speaking of Detroit ...

“False start … offense … nine guys moving before the snap …”

• The Philadelphia 76ers are so bad, and losing to them so inconceivable, that doing so results in a full-on crisis unfolding. The Sixers notched their second victory of the season over the weekend, winning 111:104 at Phoenix, after which the Suns went into near supernova, firing two of Jeff Hornacek’s assistant coaches over the weekend and holding meetings between players and management. Along the way, leading scorer Eric Bledsoe hurt his knee and is out for the season, disgruntled forward Markief Morris threw a towel at Hornacek and got himself suspended. The Suns are 12-21 and have lost 7 of their past 8 games. It’s crisis management mode once again in Phoenix as everyone tries to figure out what went wrong.
What actually went wrong, in my opinion, is that Phoenix were supposed to be lousy two seasons ago, but first-year coach Hornacek found a winning formula with the players on hand and wildly exceeded expectations, very nearly making the playoffs that season when thought by most experts to be a 25-win team, at most, at the start of the season. Quite honestly, that team was somewhat designed to tank, but the coaching staff and the players refused to play along. But with those unexpected results came greater expectations, and what’s transpired since is regression to the mean. The Suns are still owned by Robert Sarver, who has been a genuinely lousy owner in his time since taking over from new Philly “consultant” Jerry Colangelo. They still make dumb trades and bad personnel decisions, and now they have a misfit side of malcontents which also doesn’t make any sense as a unit. PHX was marginally successful in spite of their front office, but you can only overachieve in pro sports for so long.

“Steph Curry’s great. Steph Curry’s the MVP. He’s a champion. Understand what I’m saying when I say this. To a degree, he’s hurting the game. And what I mean by that is that I go into these high school gyms, I watch these kids, and the first thing they do is they run to the 3-point line. You are not Steph Curry. Work on the other aspects of the game. People think that he’s just a knock-down shooter.” – Marc Jackson
This is yet another example of why Marc Jackson needs to stop talking. Unfortunately, in his role as lead color commentator for ESPN’s NBA telecasts, he won’t. Between he and blowhard cohort Jeff Van Gundy, they make the telecasts verge on being insufferable.
Jackson says a lot of weird stuff about the Warriors, of course, who went from garbage to being a playoff team during his reign as head coach – and who promptly launched into the stratosphere once he left. I get that he has an axe to grind, even though the evidence would indicate the Warriors made the right decision. The idea that Steph Curry is “hurting the game,” however, is ridiculous. That kids aspire to shoot like Steph is, logical. We all wanted to “be like Mike” in my day, even though it was impossible to do what Jordan did. It’s hard to aspire to be LeBron James or Kevin Durant if you’re not a 6’10” freak of nature. The idea of a kid patterning himself/herself after a modest, regular-sized guy who perfected the art and craft of shooting a basketball doesn’t really seem like a bad idea to me. That kids can’t shoot like Steph Curry is unsurprising, since no one ever has shot the ball like Steph Curry. But eventually, someone will, and the game of basketball will be better because of it.

• My Hero of the Qeek is Derris Devon McQuaig, a San Diego transient who legally owns the title to Petco Park in San Diego. This is one of the nuttiest stories I’ve seen all year. Everyone involved with the Padres insists this isn't a big deal, and that they can conduct business around this, but their attempts to wrest the title away from McQuaig, who filed a claim on the title and slipped through a legal loophole in the process, have proven to be unsuccessful. For a bumbling franchise like the Pads, being mired in such a ridiculous situation seems oddly appropriate.

We’ve not offered up enough music here of late, so I thought I would send the year out with this selection from Afrolicious, the Official House Band of In Play Lose, who recorded this groovy tune this past summer at Bottle Rock Napa and who are ringing in 2016 at the Rickshaw Stop in San Francisco. Happy New Year to everyone.




Wednesday, December 23, 2015

The Lose of the Year Award


D’oh, Canada!
USUALLY, I wait until New Year’s Eve to post this, but I will be away for the holidays, paying a visit to The Official Inlaws of In Play Lose. But giving out The Lose of The Year Award also makes a nice Christmas present, as lose is a gift that just keeps on giving.

The Year in Lose got off to a spectacular start with the NFL playoffs, where one spectacular choke was followed by another. Choking was hip this year, as we saw colossal playoff collapses of historical magnitude in baseball and the NBA, and everyone in the NFL and NCAA seems bound and determined to invent new ways to lose football games.

And yet we’ve also seen the rising of the downtrodden and the has-beens: the Golden State Warriors won their first NBA championship title in 40 years, the Kansas City Royals their first World Series since 1985, and in the mad-as-hatters EPL, Leicester City has become the first team in the history of British football to be in last place at Christmastime one year and top of the table the next. All three of the clubs which I just mentioned built championship-caliber squads somewhat haphazardly over time, finding a few hidden gems in the way of talent, adding good pieces to the mix and then hitting on a philosophy which best maximizes their collective abilities while emphasizing great team play, first and foremost – be it the Warriors’ endless depth and selfless passing game, the Royals’ emphasis on the perpetual rally consisting of singles and steals, or the Foxes’ pack mentality when it comes to pressing their bewildered EPL opponents. These examples should serve to give hope to all of you fans of long-suffering sides who are perpetually coming up short.

Nah, come to think of it, your team is probably useless.

There are a number of great candidates for this year’s coveted The Lose of the Year award, running the gamut from the ridiculous to the sublime to the even more ridiculous. We have a bevy of wondrous underachievers to choose from, a few catastrophic collapsers, some clubs who withered under pressure, and some others who were just flat-out godfuckingterrible. And while The Lose generally frowns upon, and wags the finger at, those teams who are deliberately tanking in hopes of improving their draft status, the fact that they reached a point where tanking was necessary speaks to a greater, more systematic level of organizational incompetence, and so The Lose has reversed course and decided to give them proper consideration for the award. Sort of. Deliberately being as bad as, say, the Buffalo Sabres and Seattle Totems Nouveaux Nordiques de Québec Arizona Coyotes were in the NHL last season is a far less impressive accomplishment than the Edmonton Oilers really actually being that terrible from the get-go while thinking they were going to be OK.

We’re going to rule out several dog-lame franchises for at least seeing the error in their ways and ridding themselves of awful management. Sorry, Seattle Mariners and Philadelphia Phillies, as bad as you were, you finally did something right. Some of the perpetually hopeless, such as the Cleveland Browns and Colorado Rockies, don’t really merit serious consideration since they are no more or no less hopeless than before. They are simply hopeless. And FIFA has been ruled ineligible for the TLOTY, since FIFA going down hard is fundamentally a win for football, all of sports, and all of humanity in general.

On with the nominees! 

Los Angeles Clippers
“You need luck in the West. Look at Golden State. They didn’t have to play us or the Spurs.”
– Doc Rivers, L.A. Clippers coach


“Golden State was the best team in the league, but they also had everything go right for them. They didn’t have one bad break.”
– J.J. Redick, L.A. Clippers guard


Having your hands around your own throat prevents you from shooting, passing or rebounding, but apparently doesn’t prevent you from talking.

A favorite off-season narrative coming out of Los Angeles was that the Golden State Warriors were ‘lucky’ to win an NBA championship in 2015. Now, to be fair to the Clips here, they do have a point about the Warriors not being laden with injuries. The Dubs didn’t lose a whole lot of man games during their championship season. Of course, the Dubs also assembled the deepest bench in the NBA and made sure to use all of it throughout the season, which made a huge difference. Steve Kerr made it a point to manage minutes, and the end result was having a vet like Andre Iguodala possessing relatively fresh legs come the NBA Finals, whereas the Clippers sorry-ass bench was giving them nothing all year.

But what’s ridiculous about the Clips popping off in the offseason was that, while it’s true that the Warriors didn’t have to face them in the playoffs, the reason the Dubs didn’t have to do that was because the Clippers pulled off what was quite possibly the biggest choke in NBA history in Game 6 of the Western Conference Semis. The Clippers were up 3-2 in the series, had a 19-point lead late in the 3rd Quarter over Houston at home, and were apparently too busy anointing themselves as the chosen ones to actually play any basketball in the 4th Quarter: the Rockets outscored them 40-14 in the final 12 minutes (and did so with James Harden on the bench no less) to win 119-107 and send the series back to Houston for Game 7, where the Clips meekly folded up like deckchairs on the Titanic.

When you choke, you don’t get to talk trash. You don’t even get to make vaguely trashy statements and then back away from them. (Rivers insists he wasn’t trying to imply the Warriors were lucky, and then wondered why they’re so ‘sensitive’ about it up at Golden State.) The Clippers seem intent on filling up with hot air all of the rarified air of relevance they can before the Lakers return to prominence and the Clips are returned to page 5 of the L.A. Times sports sections.

The Warriors, of course, were somewhat amused by the chirping going on further down the California Coast:

“Didn’t they lose to the Rockets? That just makes me laugh. That’s funny. Weren’t they up 3-1, too? Yeah, tell them I said that. That’s funny, man. I wanted to play the Clippers last year, but they couldn’t handle their business.”
– Klay Thompson


“I’ve actually got my ring fitted for my middle finger, so they can kiss that one.”
– Andrew Bogut


And also, the Clippers branding campaign, with new logo and jerseys, completely sucks.

New York Knicks
Yeah, I know, they have Porzingis now and he’s a stud and Knicks fans finally have a budding homegrown talent to call their own and cheer for – one they booed when he was selected at the NBA draft, mind you – and there looks to be some hope for the future, but the Knicks were trotting out some of the sorriest NBA lineups I’ve ever seen towards the end of last season, when they’d finally given up the ghost and gone into full-on tank mode, and all the while Phil Jackson was using his most professorial tones to speak of how his now-prehistoric triangle offense could work in the modern game and how jump shooting teams could never win championships.

The Knicks cratered and finished 17-65, and deserve special mention for two unique instances from last season. For starters, there was this particularly appalling display on April 11, when the Knicks conspired with the Orlando Magic to play the single worst quarter of basketball in the history of the NBA.

And secondly, Alexei Shved:


Enough said.

Sacramento Kings

Boogie Cousins playing some tenacious D

In their collective haste to vet Vivek Ranadivé as a new potential owner for the Sacramento Kings, and thus stymie the evil assortment of Seattleites, the NBA and its owners apparently overlooked the fact that he was cuckoo bananas. The Kings have been tripping over their own sneakers ever since Vivek took the keys from the Maloof Brothers over there in The Big Tomato, and pretty much every move they make as a franchise has simply compounded the disaster.

Vivek fired head coach Mike Malone after a relatively decent start to last season, essentially because the Kings weren’t playing a particularly attractive style of basketball – never mind that they didn’t really have the players to do it, of course, and Malone was doing what any good coach would do and choosing pragmatism over style. Vivek then brought in George Karl, and I’ve always loved me some George Karl but he does have some downsides, most notably his penchant for personality clashes with star players. Sure enough, he and Boogie Cousins are oil and water, and Karl went about not-so-secretly shopping Cousins as trade bait in the offseason, apparently not realizing that, in this day and age of twitter and instagram and hot takes and instant news, it’s pretty hard to secretly do anything.

And Karl was doing this on his own since it’s not really clear who the GM is in Sacramento. Vivek did one of those classically dumb maneuvers in hiring Vlade Divac in an executive role – Vlade being a link to the Kings’ glory days, thus scoring points with the locals, but not really possessing any sort of managerial experience. Vivek then basically made Divac the GM, which was news to the guy who actually held the position. Divac promptly made a truly horrible trade with Philadelphia in the offseason, showing that he had no understanding whatsoever of the salary cap or the free agent market or any other aspect of the fuzzy mathematics which dominate the running of an NBA franchise. His justification for that bad move was that it would free up money to sign some quality free agents – but his definition of ‘quality’ is dubious at best, with targets being the likes of Wesley Matthews, who tore his Achilles last season, and Monta Ellis, who actually took less money to sign with the Pacers rather than have anything to do with the Kings.

They did manage to sign a few guys no one else wanted for far too much money – so-so shooter Marco Belinelli; Kosta Koufos, whose job is to get in Boogie Cousins’ way on offense and also take away minutes from Willie Cauley-Stein, since George Karl also doesn’t like playing rookies; and they also signed Rajon Rondo to the sort of me-first, 1-year deal that never ends well for a club since, if Rondo revitalizes his career, he’ll sign somewhere else a year from now, and if Rondo doesn’t, well, the Kings will be even worse off than they were before. Rondo’s sufficiently stuffing the stat sheets at the moment, which might land him a nice deal elsewhere or possibly a trade at the deadline (his recent showing of himself to be something akin to human garbage notwithstanding). And Karl keeps clashing with Boogie, who swore at Karl up and down in the locker room earlier in the season, which led to a meeting between players and Divac in which he actually asked, “should I fire George?” Now there’s some great front office leadership for you.

All the while, reports continue periodically surfacing that Vivek would like to offer the head coaching job to John Calipari, because obviously Calipari would want to quit his plum University of Kentucky job, which also affords him status as the most popular man (and probably also the most powerful man) in the entire state commonwealth of Kentucky in exchange for trying to extinguish the NBA equivalent of a tire fire in an outpost to which he would never, ever be able to sign a quality free agent, all the while working for a nutjob who clearly doesn’t live in reality.

The Kings are a mess and will continue to be a glorious mess, ranking among the most hopeless franchises in all of sport. Whether Karl will be fired or Boogie and Rondo will be dealt or whatnot, it’s sure to be entertaining and sure not to end well.

Los Angeles Lakers
“I’m the 200th-best player in the league right now. I freaking suck.”
– Kobe Bryant



You might be giving yourself too much credit there, Kobe.

Los Angeles Kings
Slagging on self-important Southern California sports clubs is sort of like shooting fish in a barrel, but they are all such blowhards that it’s impossible to resist.

There was talk of a Kings “dynasty” after they won their second Stanley Cup in 2014, only to see the Kings crash out and miss the playoffs entirely in 2015. Kings apologists were quick to point out that they were the victim of some bad luck, of course – the Kings had the best puck-possession stats in the league, which should theoretically have translated into more goals, and that they were done in by their horrible performance in extra time, as the Kings were 1-7 in O.T. goals and 2-8 in shootouts, and all of those lost points in those 15 games did them in.

Of course, the Kings’ overall record last season – 40-27-15 – was the exact same record as when they won the Stanley Cup in 2012. The Kings were an 8-seed when they won the cup that year, and were a 6-seed when they won it in 2014. As compelling a case that can be made for the Kings being unlucky, you could also argue the Kings stumbled upon a remarkably successful formula of dogging it during the season, doing just enough to get into the playoffs and then deciding to turn up. (And frankly, it’s an indictment of how lousy the league has become, in my opinion, that a sub-.500 club won a Stanley Cup in the first place.) The Kings began to believe their own bombast, were awash in one ugly distraction after another, and maybe, just maybe, they really weren’t that good all along.

Los Angeles Dodgers
It’s not been a good offseason for the Dodgers. First, Greinke opts out and signs with the Snakes. Then a trade with the Reds for Chapman goes horribly wrong for the wrongest of reasons. They sign Iwakuma, he ‘fails’ a physical, and is suddenly scooped back up by the Mariners. (I guess he hadn’t studied hard enough for the first one.)

And come to think of it, the season sort of sucked, too. Oh sure, they won the NL West again, but when you have a $300 million payroll, you should win the Whatever League Anything division. With such a big payroll comes huge expectations, and once again, the Dodgers fell predictably short.

That $300 million wage bill included massive amounts of payouts to other clubs – accounting for a quarter of the Marlins’ payroll, at one point – to solve the Dodgers’ problems for them, taking guys off their hands with bad contracts they couldn’t otherwise ever hope to move. But not even GM Andrew Freidman has enough money in the till to sell off all of the problem children on this club.

They would probably play a lot better if they didn’t all hate each other. The team chemistry in this club was so noxious and toxic that they should’ve had Hazmat Suit giveaway night at Chavez Ravine. And chemistry does matter in sports. This is a professional workplace, after all, and you’re much less apt to fulfill your potential at any job if you hate your co-workers. (I know this from experience.) (Don’t ask.) Getting rid of Hanley “Human Turd” Ramirez should have helped matters, but guys like Yasiel Puig are still around, and with all of those enormous contracts they’ve doled out and taken on come egos too enormous for manager Don Mattingly to handle. Mattingly had this look of bewilderment on his face all season long akin to someone who suddenly realized that they had lost their keys. Mattingly’s been mercifully relieved of his duties and taken a similar positions with the Miami Marlins – and in this context, working for a dysfunctional organization headed by Jeffrey Loria might, in fact, be an upgrade.

Jimmy Rollins played about like you would expect a 57-year-old shortstop to play, and the assortment of drama queens platooning in the outfield all underachieved. The team still lacks speed, the defense is meh. The Dodgers came out swinging for the fences at the start of the season, hitting home runs and wowing everybody, but opposing pitchers eventually caught onto their one-dimensional offense, and the offense regressed so horribly as the season progressed that, come playoff time, they’d turned to late August call-up Cory Seager to save them and were reduced to starting Justin Ruggiano in left field, who’d been previously DFA’d by the Mariners. In 2014, the Dodgers were essentially a .500 team whose win total was padded by having Clayton Kershaw. In 2015, they were essentially a .500 team whose win total was padded by having Clayton Kershaw and Greinke. For $300 million, you can and should do better.

San Diego Padres
Grantland’s Razy Jazayerli performed a fine midseason autopsy on the San Diego Padres and their disastrous offseason, which was the result of first-year GM A.J. Preller’s mix of inexperience and blind ambition. The Padres then compounded the disaster at the July trading deadline, fielding a host of offers from across baseball for the likes of Craig Kimbrel and Justin Upton, who were set to leave in free agency, but deciding instead to stand pat, even though they were about 15 games out of first at the time and had little to no hope of making the playoffs.

“We like our team,” was the line out of the San Diego front office, although it seemed more like a refusal to acknowledge he’d screwed up in the first place.

Teams like the Padres always act from a point of blind optimism, ignoring all of the red flags about players like Upton and James Shields and Matt Kemp and Wil Middlebrooks in the hopes that they’ll all suddenly revive their careers and revert to being top-calibre players, even though every statistical indicator would suggest otherwise. The Padres’ shortfall this past season was, therefore, none too surprising.

Oakland A’s
“No, really, they’re not that bad. They’re just unlucky. Look at the run differential! All of the advanced stats and sabermetrics point to the A’s turning this around! They’re really not that bad. And have I mentioned that I’m auditioning to be Billy Beane’s personal ottoman?”

The A’s had the worst record in the American League.

All be wary of the Cult of the GM. You have been warned. 

The Texas Two-Choke
Both the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers exceeded what was expected of them in 2015. Gone are the ’Stros of yesteryear who have delighted Lose aficionados again and again. Texas, meanwhile, overcame a disastrously injury-riddled 2014 season and surprised us all, overtaking the surprising Houstons down the stretch to capture the AL West title.

Then came the playoffs, and both of them choked.

As the Kansas City Royals came up in the top of the 8th inning in Game 4 of the ALDS against the Astros, trailing 2-1 in the series and 6-2 in the game, FanGraphs calculated that the Royals had a 0.4% chance of winning the World Series. The Astros turned the game over to their bullpen, which was their first mistake. For all of their terrific young talent, for all of their solid starting pitching, the Achilles heel of the Astros looked to be their bullpen. Luke Gregorson is not a closer, people. He is not the solution to your problems. Astros set-up man Oliver Perez, meanwhile, was so bad when he was in Arizona that Giants fans would jump for joy whenever he entered the game. The Astros substandard bullpen floundered at the critical moment, and the Royals promptly batted around in the 8th, scoring five runs and adding two more in the 9th for a 9-6 win, sending the series back to Kansas City for Game 5.

The Astros arrival on the scene came a year too early. No one involved in the organization expected the Astros to be as good this season as they were, and thus, no one was prepared to make the sorts of moves necessary to push the Astros past the finish line when they were running away with the AL West at midseason. It’s understandable for GM Jeffrey Luhnow to be cautious, of course, and unwilling to part with some of the Astros abundant young talent in exchange for some like Kimbrel, for example. Sure, you want to hold on to all of those pieces for as long as you can, but the truth is that when you have a chance to win in the here and the now, you have to make efforts to try and do it, because there is no guarantees you’ll ever get that opportunity again.

With a swiss-cheese-and-duct-tape approach to the bullpen, the Astros fizzled out down the stretch, eventually being overtaken by Texas in the AL West, and the Royals as much as annoyed them to death in that fateful 8th inning, fouling off pitch after pitch until the Astros relievers, unable to get the punch-out they needed, finally served up a hittable pitch. In this day and age, you cannot win without a quality bullpen. You simply cannot. This was a difficult lesson for everyone in Houston to have to learn.

Texas, meanwhile, decided to kick their World Series chances all over the SkyDome astroturf, committing errors on three straight plays during what was the most bizarre inning in baseball history and essentially handing over the deciding fifth game of the series to the Toronto Blue Jays. And for the perpetually star-crossed Rangers, who’d been winning all season thanks to a mixture of smoke and mirrors, this sort of failure probably stings a bit more than that of their Lone Star State counterparts. Whereas every indication is that the Astros are on the up-and-up, most statistical indicators in baseball would have you believe that the Rangers were over performing this season and, thus, are due to regress. This was a tough one to take. 

Washington Nationals
When the Washington Post does a 3-part exposé of a post-mortem on your season, it’s not a good sign. (You can read the gory details from the crime scene here, here and here). What could have, and maybe should have, been a championship season was marred by injuries at the start of year, discord during the middle, and finally full-on chaos with Bryce Harper and Jonathan Papelbon fighting in the dugout – and to add to that nonsense, the ever-oblivious manager Matt Williams, seemingly the only person in the entire person in the entire park who was unaware that a fight took place in his own dugout, sent Papelbon out to pitch, at which point he blew another game and was rightfully booed off the field.

Even with Harper, the NL MVP, in their lineup, the Nats lineup regressed from a season ago. Max Scherzer’s two no-hitters somewhat camouflaged the fact that the starting pitching wasn’t as solid as it should have been, either. Throw in an underwhelming bullpen, a sloppy defense, a clueless manager, and a GM who thought that trading for Papelbon would put them over the top when they had so many other needs to address, and you have a team that was absolutely lifeless come August and had no answer to the rise of the Amazing Mets.

I wrote about their failings earlier this year, and the Nats have been shortlisted for the TLOTY now for months, having pissed away yet another opportunity to get the World Series monkey off their backs.

San Francisco 49ers
Probably no team in the history of sport has had a worse offseason than the 49ers did this past summer. Meanwhile, the product on the field has been, um, not good:


Watching QB Colin Kaepernick’s horrible regression has been particularly tough to watch. You start to wonder if the NFL is ever going to be a fit for guys such as he and RG3 who are such gifted runners, and thus also make such inviting targets for opposing defenders. As time has gone on, the 49ers have tried more and more to make Kaep a pocket passer, even though when he was at his best his first couple of years in the league when he was running, scampering about in the pocket and making stuff up. This is the same dilemma the Panthers and Seahawks have faced with Cam Newton and Russell Wilson, respectively: you invest $100m+ in a QB and you want him to be around long enough to be productive while cashing those cheques, but in doing so, you’re taking away from the aspects of his game that makes him truly a unique threat.

Newton and Wilson, however, have adjusted their games, and both are performing now near to MVP levels, running when need be but, more importantly, using the threat of the run to keep the defense honest and off-balance. Kaepernick, meanwhile, has been hemmed in by a dysfunctional 49ers offensive scheme. In the game above, against the Seahawks, he made no efforts to scamper or scramble at all. The Seahawks were shocked to see a statue back there wearing the #7 jersey in the pocket, and with the 49ers lack of running back options, their offense ground to a near standstill. But since Kaep is the QB and has the $100m+ contract, he’s obviously the reason for the offensive struggles and has since been benched. Never mind that they cannot run the ball, their once-dominant offensive line can’t block anyone, and the receiving corps lacks talent. Other than that, the offense appears to be in great shape.

The locals are not impressed:


The 49ers brass have all been busy patting themselves on the back for being brilliant the past few years, when it’s pretty obvious that their success stemmed entirely from the exploits of Jim Harbaugh. It’s been quite a fall, slipping from near Super Bowl champions just three seasons ago to a team with double-digit losses. And everyone will get to see the colossal clusterfuck that is Levi’s Stadium when the 49ers host Super Bowl 50. Given that El Niño is here and it promises to be an extremely wet winter, a downpour that day could turn the worst playing surface in the NFL into a quagmire. It would make the Super Bowl into one gloriously ugly spectacle, but those involved the 49ers deserve to be embarrassed for all of the messes that they’ve made.
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Indianapolis Colts
They earn a nomination simply because of this, but being the most disappointing team in the NFL certainly doesn’t hurt.

New York Giants
The best 55-minute team in sports. I’ve never seen an NFL team, in one season, blow so many winnable games in the closing minutes, many of them due to clock management ineptitude. With a veteran coach in Tom Coughlin and a veteran QB in Eli Manning, this just shouldn’t be happening on their watch.

Kansas
A good rule of thumb in the NCAA, with a smattering of exceptions: good basketball school = bad football school. The reverse also tends to be true (good football = bad basketball), but good basketball = bad football is much more pronounced. Look at some of the hardwood powerhouses when they take to the gridiron. Kentucky? Terrible. Maryland? Garbage. Duke? Usually crap. Indiana? Consistently among the worst football programs in the country.

And Kansas? 0-12 this season. And not just any old run-of-the-mill 0-12, mind you, but an 0-12 which began with a 41:38 loss to those pesky Jackrabbits of South Dakota State highlighted (or should that be lowlighted) by this flash of incompetence. That was their one truly winnable game on the schedule, and it only got worse from there.

The Jayhawks are now on their 4th coach in 6 years, and winning the Orange Bowl over Virginia Tech in 2008 seems like it happened 1,000 years ago. Kansas basketball coach Bill Self has arguably the best job in the country, but you could also suggest that the Kansas football job is the worst, and you probably wouldn’t get much argument.

USA FC
Jürgen Klinsmann got outcoached by a temp.

Ricardo “Tuca” Ferretti was merely keeping the seat warm on the El Tri bench. His predecessor, Miguel Herrera, having just guided El Tri to the CONCACAF Gold Cup – albeit in about the most dubious way imaginable (did I mention dubious?) – made himself a Lose of the Year candidate all on his own by promptly getting into a fight with a reporter at the Philadelphia aeroport and getting himself fired. Entrusted with the club for their one-game-take-all playoff with the U.S. at the Rose Bowl, the winner earning a ticket to the Confed Cup in Russia in 2017, Ferretti devised a fairly simple strategy of employing three center forwards in a tight formation, encouraging them interplay amongst themselves in the tight space and occupy the four U.S. defenders while the Mexican fullbacks pinched down the wings, hemming the Americans in. This game plan was based upon two simple principles:

1. The Mexican forwards were their best players and you want to give your best players the chance to make plays. [The midfielder Guardado is actually their best player, in my opinion, but he was coming off an injury while playing at PSV Eindhoven in the Champions League]
2. The U.S. wouldn’t be able to figure out what to do, given that no one involved in USA FC during the Gold Cup – Klinsmann in particular – showed the ability to think their way out of a paper bag.

120 minutes later, Mexico had a 3:2 victory. Now, lest you think this was some act of managerial brilliance on the part of Ferretti, he more or less negated his own ploy by promptly switching to a “traditional” Mexican 5-3-2 formation each time El Tri scored, at which point the Americans promptly took the game to them and equalized soon thereafter – and, at which point, El Tri promptly switched back into their original game plan and fenced in the U.S., who could scarcely string two passes together, much less get the ball out of their end.

The loss to El Tri was just the latest in a string of horrible performances in 2015 for USA FC, who snoozed and sleepwalked their way to a 4th-place finish in the CONCACAF Gold Cup. In the immediate aftermath of the Mexico mess, Klinsmann committed one of the classic no-nos of coaching, sending home Fabian Johnson and calling him out publicly for supposedly faking an injury during the Mexico game. Throwing your players under the bus and airing dirty laundry is a bad idea in soccer, and most every other sport, for that matter. It tends to get you fired. Johnson, who plays for Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Bundesliga, responded to this by promptly scoring a goal against Juventus in the Champions League – he being the only American player involved in that competition – and going on a goal-scoring tear with his club, thus reminding Jürgen that he’s the best player the Americans have got, and suddenly – magically – all was forgotten and forgiven.

Johnson is one of the Germans with American lineage whom Klinsmann has unearthed in recent years and given an American passport. This is about the extent of his talent development success so far. I personally have no problem with him doing this. (Unlike some other people. Thank you Abby, and good luck in your retirement. Now please stop talking, since you sure do say a lot of dumb stuff.) But Klinsmann is both the coach of USA FC and the technical director for U.S. Soccer as a whole, and is thus fundamentally responsible for American soccer development. An even more damning result for him than the match with El Tri came on the very same day, when the U.S. Under-23s were beaten 2:0 by Honduras in an Olympic qualifier. For U-23s, it’s vital to qualify for the Olympics and gain the experience of playing in those high-pressure, high-intensity atmospheres. Mexico and Belgium are two nations in particular whose young players greatly benefitted from having the Olympic experience. It was viewed as imperative for the development of U.S. soccer that the U-23s get that Olympic berth. The development of a new generation of American soccer players doesn’t seem to be going so well.

And there is an overarching sense now that Klinsmann has promised more than he can actually deliver. He touted his hand in reinventing German football when taking the dual U.S. jobs – a record which has come under quite a bit of scrutiny, as many of his ex-players in Germany have said he’s little more than Richard Simmons in lederhosen, a health nut obsessed with the fitness of his players while Joachim Low was actually the real coaching genius. I suspect that’s somewhat overblown – it was through Klinsmann’s initiatives that German football turned around from it’s sorry state a decade ago, no matter who ultimately carried them out – but he came in promising to be proactive and creative and attack-minded, yet we saw most of the U.S. success in Brazil stemming from being tenacious and pragmatic and resourceful, which is something USA FC has been doing pretty well for the better part of the past 20 years. He isn’t giving us anything new.

We should remember that it took a decade for his German experiment to finally bear fruit and result in a World Cup triumph, but Klinsmann doesn’t have a decade here. There needs to be progress and it needs to happen sooner than later. Qualifying for the next World Cup really shouldn’t be an issue – playing against St. Vincent & the Grenadines doesn’t really frighten me too much – but with an aging core, an uncertain talent pool, a mishmash of lineups and tactical approaches, they are clearly not improving and, this year, regressed quite horribly.

Oranje
Those wacky Dutch went from being ranked fourth in the world to finishing fourth in their Euro 2016 qualifying group and being eliminated. An expanded Euro 2016, mind you, with 24 teams, which makes this collapse even more inexcusable. You’ll see Wales and Albania and Northern Ireland on the football pitches of France next summer, but not the Oranje, who finished behind Iceland (what?), the Czechs (huh?) and Turkey (no, stop fucking with me here) in the table.

The Oranje tend to throw up on themselves every few years, succumbing to in-fighting and constant bickering and refusing to play like a team, but the talent level is such that they ultimately hit the reset button and straighten themselves out. The Dutch seemed more determined this year to get Guus Hiddink fired than do anything else, but new manager Danny Blind hasn’t found the winning formula yet, either.

I suppose the Oranje could always call upon Louis Van Gaal again, seeing how he got them to a 3rd-place finish in Brazil, and seeing how his rebuild job at Manchester United appears to be going quite awfully at the moment. He may soon find himself out of a job soon, and quite possibly replaced by José Mourinho. Speaking of which …

Chelsea

José Mourinho watching from the stands after being tossed at West Ham.
It was appropriate that José Mourinho reached his denouement in Chelsea’s Greek tragedy of a season with a 2:1 loss at Leicester City, since the clubs have moved 180° in a year’s time. A year ago, Chelsea were top of the table and running away with the EPL while the Foxes were dead last. Now the roles are reversed – Leicester up top, Chelsea in 15th and only three points out of the drop zone.

And Leicester City, at present, are everything that Chelsea aren’t. Leicester play fast, they have great tenacity and resilience, they mount comeback after comeback and, most importantly, they play as a team. They are a collection of cast-offs, scrubs, and bargain bin buys who are proving that the whole are more than the sum of the parts. Chelsea, by contrast, have spent this entire season looking old, slow, fat, out of shape, disjointed, disinterested, and they have played for most of the past two months as if they are trying to get Mourinho fired. Well, they finally got their wish.

If he hadn’t already burned all the bridges, Mourinho made sure to bring some kerosene and matches to finish the job. After the Leicester loss, he said in this press conference his game plan was sound was that he’d been betrayed by the players – a statement all but guaranteeing he would lose the dressing room forever – and he then went on to say that it was only because of his managerial acumen that Chelsea had as many points as they do, because the players were basically shit.

And on that second point, he may be onto something. My hunch is that Mourinho made it clear to management that some sweeping changes needed to be made during the January transfer window, but in doing some calling around and some clandestine shopping of players, they came to find out that a squad whose players valued probably £250m or so back in June, on the back of winning the EPL title, was now probably worth only half that. And anyone they would want to buy and bring in would probably cost a fortune. Chelsea were willing to spend £31m on Everton defender John Stones back in August, and if I am Everton now, knowing how awful Chelsea are and how desperately in need of a center back they are, I would tell them Stones will cost £50m now, if not more, and dare them to grossly overpay. With every bad performance, the costs gets steeper and steeper. Chelsea had no choice but to get rid of Mourinho. He was becoming bad for business.

It was surreal last weekend seeing fans at Stamford Bridge booing the players as they were going about thrashing hapless Sunderland 3:1 in their first post-Mourinho match, all the while singing the praise of their now departed manager. That the Chelsea fans had bought into Mourinho’s god complex shows what a bunch of delusional weirdos they are, because it was pretty obvious that once the results went bad and the frustration mounted, the self-anointed “Special One” had no idea how to fix it – which is his job, for godsake! But that’s Mourinho for you, he being one of a select few managers in the game who basically want easy jobs where they don’t have to actually do any coaching to make players better but can simply snap their fingers and have the club solve all of its problems with its chequebook. If he really wanted to prove his mettle, he’d go and take that open Swansea job and get that lot playing worth a damn again, but instead he’ll wait until a plum offering comes open – Man United? Paris St. Germain? – swoop it up and bask in grandeur for a couple of seasons, and then come the third year, he’ll be out the door and everyone there will be sick of him. Just as everyone is sick of Chelsea now, and has been for quite some time, to be honest. Their shocking fall from grace leaves most English football fans feeling pretty giddy and gleeful.

And Chelsea’s astonishing collapse this season afforded them the opportunity to make a late push for the TLOTY, but there was one side whose body of work during 2015 outdid them all, an outfit so inept and incompetent and delusional that the award could go to no one else:

Philadelphia 76ers
Congratulations, Jahlil Okafor, you’ve been drafted to play center for the Philadelphia 76ers! How do you feel?


Thought so.

Under the regime of head coach Brett Brown and GM Sam Hinkie, the 76ers have amassed a record of 38-157 over 2½ seasons. Only in the bizarro world of the NBA would head coaches whose teams make the playoffs get fired while a guy with a .194 winning percentage be floated the idea of a contract extension. Not that anyone really knows whether Brown can actually coach or not, given that he’s had little in the way of legitimate talent to work with, and the roster turns over so fast that he spends most of practice introducing himself to whichever player just signed a 10-day contract.

Remarkably, there is a surprisingly large segment of Philly fandom who have evidently bought into what they now refer to as “the process,” all of them apparently unaware that they’ve purchased front row seats to a performance of The Emperor Has No Clothes. What’s even more baffling to me is the fact that the Philadelphia ownership group bought into this as well. The Sixers routinely play before 5,000-10,000 empty seats and it’s reported that the 76ers’ dwindling contributions to the revenue sharing pool finally ticked off the other owners enough to implore the NBA to do something about the Sixers, who presently have a 1-30 record and are an absolute embarrassment to the league, if not to all of sport.

Hinkie came from San Antonio, of course, because everyone in the NBA wants to be Spursy. He theoretically learned from the best about how to run a championship franchise, but about the only lesson he seemed to take from his time in San Antonio is that success is only possible if you’re stupid dumb lucky in the NBA lottery. Hinkie has been the past three seasons doing nothing more than attempting to game the system, taking advantage of the NBA’s perverse incentive for losing and trying somehow to give the franchise the best chance possible to land the magic ping pong ball, and the top-level pick in the draft which goes with it. He is the ultimate used car salesman, floating the floor to the rank-and-file 76ers ticket holders and promising something he ultimately has no power to make happen. He can only improve the odds so much.

And what, ultimately, does that get the 76ers? Zac Lowe of ESPN tried to do a fair assessment of “the process” right about the time the club – at the urging of the league, according to most reliable sources – brought in Jerry Colangelo as a “consultant.” Ownership may be content to put up with 60-loss seasons with the promise of glorious future days to come, but all signs would indicate that the NBA is growing tired of the Sixers’ constant besmirching of its good name. And can you blame them? In Lowe’s piece, he tries to make sense of this nonsense and figure out the method to the madness. And in the abstract, I can understand it, but at some point, this has to stop being a math problem and start being about basketball. Hinkie & Co. can churn the roster and try to game and meta-game the system all they want, but none of that means anything if they can’t judge talent.

And nothing the 76ers have done in three years indicates they can. Three years of draft maneuverings yielded them a point guard who couldn’t shoot and was traded, a center who was hurt and who can’t shoot, yet another center who has been hurt for two years, a Croatian guy still playing pro ball in Turkey, and yet another center who’s been getting into bar fights. “Winning all of the trades” and amassing a bunch of draft picks means nothing if you don’t have a clue who to pick. Hinkie uses Robert Covington as a success story and case study to justify his constant roster churn, but if you make 100 roster moves and all you wind up with is one guy who is even a marginal NBA player, perhaps you might want to reconsider your methods. The majority of those moves have been done simply to keep the payroll down. None of the players mean shit to the Sixers, in the end. They are there to fail, they are expendable and they know it. And given that every player knows this, it’s a miracle Brown can get them to play hard at all.

But the 76ers do play hard. They don’t well and they don’t play particularly smart, but they do play hard. I’ll give them that. When you’re 1-30, you don’t have much to go on. With all the talk in the NBA of whether or not the Warriors will win 72 games or more, a far more interesting question is whether or not the 76ers will win 9 games or less. My money is on the less, because this is the sorriest excuse for a professional sports franchise since the 0-26 Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the mid 1970s.


There can be no other recipient of The Lose of the Year than the Philadelphia 76ers. In the end, it was an obvious choice.

Thursday, December 10, 2015

Winning

That’s a lot of silverware

TODAY we’re going to talk about winning.

Yes, I know. I’m scared, too.

As you can see from the photo above, local clubs which are near and dear to The Lose have been gathering a pretty impressive haul of silverware in recent years. Add a Seattle Seahawks Super Bowl trophy from 2014, and The Lose-loved clubs seem to be awash in spectacular, unprecedented success.

Which feels weird, to be honest, and doesn’t feel all that comfortable. When failure is the default – which it is, in any sort of competition – it can be easy to get used to. There was never any reason to get excited about the Mariners when I was growing up in the Pacific Northwest, because whatever promise they showed early in the season would be undone come August in some 1-8 or 2-10 road trip from hell, usually involving some combination of being swept in Minnesota, squandering a couple of games against the White Sox at Comiskey, melting on the 140° astroturf in Kansas City, and then being swept in Oakland for good measure. Losses mounting, season over, nothing to see here, move along. I grew up in an era where the closest MLB team had 14 straight losing seasons, the closest NHL team had 17 straight losing seasons, and then, of course, I was in and around a university so adept at losing that they coined a verb to describe it. The only way I’d be more qualified to write a blog about losing is if I grew up in Cleveland.

So writing about winning feels strange, but we live in strange times. We live in a time when The Good Guys finished 8-4 and are going to kick Miami’s ass playing in a nice bowl game, and the soccer world is presently ruled by Belgians, so obviously everything is completely out of whack. We’ve clearly fallen through a hole in the space-time continuum and wound up in some sort of bizarre, alternative universe if the Royals are winning the World Series and we spent time this past fall watching a playoff series between the Mets and the Cubs. What’s going on here? Has everyone gone mad as hatters?

But it occurs to The Lose that, as we continue this on-going process of understanding and explicating losing, it’s probably a good idea to define what constitutes success. Success in the moment is obvious, of course – “See that guy over there on the other side? Beat the hell out of him!” – but that’s just one contest. We’re talking about bigger pictures and broader contexts here. What does “winning” actually mean?

This question was put forth by guest columnist Geoff Thevenot to his readership earlier in the year. The question he posed was the following:

Take your favorite team, whatever sport you like. Which of these would you prefer:
a) Over the next ten years, your team is a strong contender every year - they make the playoffs most years, even get to the final round a couple of times, but in none of these ten years do they win the whole thing.
b) Your team is mediocre or worse every year except one, where everything happens to go right and they win a championship.


Now, I know the obvious answer:
c)  Win all the games all the time and beat the hell out of everyone.

An answer which, at the moment, can be summed up in three words: “Golden State Warriors.”

I honestly thought that the Warriors would lose Tuesday night in Indianapolis. The Pacers are a good team, the Warriors were playing their 5th game of a 7-game road trip, and weird stuff happens on the road. You lose. It happens.

And the Warriors promptly went on a 22-0 run in the 1st Quarter, dropped 79 on Indiana in the half, had a 31-point lead late in the 3rd Quarter, and left themselves plenty of opportunity to goof off in the final period and still win the game 131:123, running their record to 23-0, which is the best start in the history of American professional sports. They’ve won 27 straight going back to last season, tying them with Miami Heat of 2013 for the second longest winning streak in NBA history, and the seemingly unimaginable all-time record of 33 straight wins, set by the L.A. Lakers of 1971-1972, suddenly looks attainable.

It seems hard to imagine that the Warriors could actually improve upon last season. The Warriors went 67-15 during the regular season, 16-5 in the playoffs, won the NBA title, and posted one of the largest average margins of victory ever in the league. Already, those gaudy numbers slot them as one of the greatest teams in history. Not only are the Warriors outdoing their pace from a year ago (at this point last season, they were 21-2), but they’ve been so dominant – winning by an average of nearly 15 points a game – that some of the most outlandish scenarios imaginable are suddenly within the realm of possibility. The 1995-1996 Chicago Bulls went 72-10, the best record in league history, and the Warriors are threatening to match that, surpass that – and even shatter it. After last night’s win over the Pacers, moving them to 23-0, some projection systems now list the Warriors as having a  1% chance of winning 80 games and a 0.1% chance of going 82-0. The sheer fact they have any chance at all of winning 82 games is astonishing. And as nuts as that sounds, Las Vegas sports books have said that the Mar. 19 game at San Antonio is projecting to be the only time all season the Warriors are listed as underdogs. Seriously, this is just nuts.

The Golden State Warriors are not only seemingly unbeatable, but they’re also wildly entertaining. They are a cutting-edge team playing space-age basketball, combining the cerebral, geometric passing game of the Spurs with the pace of the seven-seconds-or-less Phoenix Suns and led by Stephen Curry, a humble and normal-sized guy who is the greatest shooter in the history of the sport, and who is presently radically altering the game by being able to dominate play while standing 30 feet from the basket. They unleash these hell-hath-no-fury runs in games, running up huge numbers of points so quickly that they tend to crush their opposition’s will in one fell swoop. The Warriors also possess the game’s deepest bench with a wide mix of players, so they can play any style of game better than you can – slow, fast, big, small – and do so relentlessly, and they also place a premium on high IQ basketball, meaning they have guys that can figure out whatever you’re trying to do against them in short order, and then go about dismantling it. All that, while having a blast. Dubs games look like dance-offs a lot of the time, what with all the bench guys going nuts and busting a move every time a Splash Bro drains a trey or Draymond Green feeds a lob into the post for a jam.

Steph doing Steph things

I just love the assortment of reactions on this play. Charlotte’s Kemba Walker as much as throws up his hands, seeing the ball with Steph in the corner. “Aw, man!”  Meanwhile, Andrew Bogut flips the pass out to a wide-open Steph and just starts trotting the other way before he even shoots. That shot is as good as a layup for Steph Curry. And the Charlotte fans were eating this stuff up, cheering on their native son as much as they were cheering on the Hornets, who pretty much had no chance in this game, as Curry had 40 through three quarters and the final period was essentially garbage time. As has often been the case on the road this season, you couldn’t tell at times which was the home side.

The Warriors have become the greatest show on earth. (They’ve got something of a lovefest going on with the other greatest show on earth, F.C. Barcelona, as you’ve got Curry swapping jerseys with Lionel Messi and Neymar eschewing his floppy footballer hairdo in favor of the “Steph Curry style” look.) At the NBA’s online store, 7 of the 10 biggest selling items on Black Friday, and 6 of the 10 biggest sellers on Cyber Monday, were Warriors garb. On the secondary ticket markets, tickets for Warriors road games are going for 10-15 times more than for any other team. A Warriors game on the road is like the circus coming to town. If the opposition is good, the building is amped up and hyper charged in the hopes of seeing an upset. If the opposition is bad, the game takes on the feel of a Warriors home game, with the fans eagerly awaiting Steph doing some of his Steph things and wowing them. Indeed, thousands of fans are turning up early just to watch Steph & Co. warm up. Good luck getting a ticket for a home game at the Oracle Arena – it will set you back $155 just to watch a horrible team like the Sacramento Kings, much less anyone good. Owner Joe Lacob is also about to turn Golden State into a gold mine, as he’s cleared the next hurdle with the city of San Francisco and is moving forward with plans to build a new 18,500-seat arena near to AT&T Park at an expected cost of $1 billion – all of it privately financed, the outcome of which will send the value of the franchise into the stratosphere. For the Warriors, on and off the court, everything is coming up golden.

And 3½ seasons ago, the Warriors were this.

Seriously, read that article again. I’ve linked to that article by Bill Simmons before. That article, along with this essay by David Foster Wallace, were the genesis for this blog. But read it again and relive the misery. That Simmons piece, written on the heels of one of the lowest points in franchise history, chronicles just how truly, totally, completely, utterly awful the Warriors had been for decades. By the end of that 2012 season, the Warriors were reduced to starting five rookies in an effort to tank and preserve their 1st round draft pick, which they barely managed to do and which wound up being Harrison Barnes. The Ellis-for-Bogut trade sent fans off the deep end: “Why are we trading for a guy who’s hurt and can’t even play? Ellis is our only good player! Curry’s always hurt! Thompson’s meh! This team sucks! BOOO!”

I mean, you have no idea how hopeless this team was. When I lived in Seattle in the 1990s, the Sonics were one of the best teams in the NBA. Then I get here, I watch a couple of Warriors games and think, “what the hell is this crap?” The Warriors were so dreadful that the Kings games got more play in the local media, since they were actually a good team, and an exciting one as well. In the newsroom at The Examiner, we’d all be waiting around for the game to finish so the sports guys could close out the edition, and we had a regular crew of peanut gallery dwellers who’d stand there before the TV in the newsroom, watching the game and trying to predict how the Warriors would screw up a winnable game:

Zoran: Here comes the ill-advised three from Derek Fisher.
Terry: No, I think Baron Davis will dribble it off his foot.
Drums: Off-balance shot from J-Rich on the baseline drawing nothing but iron. I’m calling it.
xp: Dunleavy with a no-look pass into the third row.
[Derek Fisher takes an ill-advised three.]
Zoran: I win!
All: sigh …

That was the 2005-2006 team we were watching, which bumbled their way to a 34-48 record and a last place finish in the Pacific Division. The following year came the ‘We Believe’ team, which made a good trade for the first time since, well, forever, and eventually upset the #1 seed Dallas Mavericks in the playoffs. It was a feel-good season, in the end. But ‘We Believe’ was also barely a .500 team and it still had that Dubs’ penchant for wanton self-destruction, which drove everyone even crazier – and that group of barely .500 schlubs turned giant killers was pretty much the best thing the Warriors had to offer over a course of about 25 years. Not only was this team perpetually terrible, but they were stunningly incompetently run and had managed to piss away pretty much every natural advantage – big market, great quality of life, etc. – that the San Francisco Bay Area can provide in terms of being a destination for free agents and such. If you wound up playing for the Warriors, it wasn’t the bottom of the NBA barrel – that was the Clippers – but it was close.

And now, 3½ years later, the Golden State Warriors play the greatest basketball on earth, committing an elegant sort of violence that is beautiful to watch as they go about destroying their opponents. There is usually a moment, in every Warriors win, where Steph Curry makes a shot – be it a long three or a scramble to the hoop or what have you – that is so unbelievable as to literally kill the opponents’ collective will to live. Game over. It’s like nothing I’ve ever seen and I have no idea how this happened. Inquiring minds want to know why it is that the Warriors have become so good.

Quite honestly, I’m not sure the Warriors know.

The frustration David Foster Wallace espouses in that essay I linked to stems from wanting to know why it is that a super athlete – in this particular case, Tracy Austin – was so successful, only to discover that she has no real explanation. But this is always the case. Winners either don’t truly know what it is that makes them successful, or don’t want to be unabashedly arrogant and say, up front, “I was just better than everyone else.” Most of the adages and tired clichés don’t really hold up, the worst of which being, “I worked so hard.” Well yeah, you did, but so did everyone else. Trust me, after spending plenty of time around the Washington State campus and seeing players from bad football and basketball teams working out, the idea that they were bad because they didn’t “work hard enough” is bullshit. Those kids busted their asses trying to become better players, and a lot of them ultimately busted their bodies in that pursuit. It didn’t translate into wins on the hardwood or the gridiron.

“No one worked harder than I did.” Seriously? Fuck off. I hate that line.

But the idea that you were unsuccessful because you lost because you “didn’t work hard enough” is in keeping with the Horatio Alger fantasy this country is somewhat obsessed with, this ludicrous notion that hard work and perseverance is somehow enough to be successful in and of itself. It was amusing going to college in the 1980s in sunny Southern California, an era permeated with blind, naïve Reaganesque optimism. I’d get into lots of good arguments with cement-headed business majors who were hopelessly naïve, all of whom had this blind and innate optimism about and insisted that if so-and-so could be successful, they could do simply by putting their mind to it. The classic cliché of those discussions was Bill Gates, the college dropout turned multibillionaire software mogul. If Bill Gates can do it, so can I, by god!

Well, no, actually, you can’t, unless you possess that sort of insight and vision. Bill Gates was an innovator. He foresaw things that others didn’t. He had some innate instincts which others simply didn’t possess. He also created, over time, something of a monopoly in his industry, which the Federal Government didn’t look too fondly upon. A great number of successful people have gotten to that point by, if not full-on breaking the rules, at least pushing the bounds and blurring the lines of what’s acceptable. And that willingness to go to incredible lengths to crush the opposition is important, as it speaks to an inherent hypercompetitive nature. Former New York Attorney General Elliott Spitzer had the best line when talking about the latter in light of some of his investigations into both organized crime and the house of cards that was the American financial system in the early 2000s: “people incorrectly assume that, in a free market economy, companies like competition. They don’t. They hate it. They like winning.” This isn’t to imply that all winners cheat – they don’t. It’s speaks more to mindset, and the idea that in order to be supremely successful, you have to be willing, and be driven, to push yourself to outermost limits. This is why the other pat answer most successful people have when explaining their success, “I wanted it more,” actually has some more merit to it.

The élite fundamentally possess talent and aptitude. They’ve honed and refined that talent over time, of course, and they possess both a competitive drive and also a killer instinct. This is true in sports, business, politics, entertainment, you name it. But of those three things, only one – working hard – isn’t somehow inherent or innate and, thus, mediocre persons can fixate upon it as somehow being the key to success. But it doesn’t matter how much you work at it and put your mind to it, you cannot be the fastest man in the world if you don’t possess the fast-twitch muscle fibres which physically enable you to run that fast in the first place. Without talent, none of the other stuff matters. Indeed, saying that someone has wasted their enormous talent is one of the most damning things you can say about them. In the end, we are better off if we pick our battles and manage our expectations, defining what constitutes “winning” on our own terms.

And talent is easy for even those who have it to ultimately dismiss – after all, they were born with that talent and possess it, it’s what they know and it’s hard for them to conceive that others don’t have the same abilities. But what you’re dealing with here are freaks of nature, people so far outside the norm as to fail to make sense. In that D.F. Wallace essay, he recalls how Tracy Austin was so precocious that a fellow tennis club member was setting up matches for her and wagering on them – when she was 10 years old! Wayne Gretzky scored 378 goals in one season as a 10-year-old, and had scored 1,000 goals by the time he was 13. Tiger Woods was only half-joking when he said recently that he peaked as a golfer at age 11, by which time he had already won 113 golf tournaments. This is not normal. These people are freaks, plain and simple.

Of course, explaining that the élite are freaks, and their success almost certainly impossible to duplicate, to a bunch of Orange County rich kid wannabe entrepreneurs, all of them born with a silver spoon in their mouth and another up their ass, usually fell on deaf ears. They all had galling senses of entitlement, discounting the good fortune of being born into a rich and prosperous family and ignoring the enormous advantages that presented. I may have told a few of them, “why don’t you do us all a favor and make like Bill Gates and drop out of this college.” And I mention good fortune because it ultimately has a lot to do with success, in the end. You have to be good, but you also have to be lucky.

And we poo-poo the idea of luck. We don’t want to accept that something like good fortune – or, even more so, good timing – has such an impact upon success. It’s easy to be skeptical about the role good fortune plays in success, and the mistake that people make is thinking that being good and being lucky are somehow mutually exclusive. They aren’t. Sure, you can be really good at something, but so are a bunch of other people. You need to catch a break, at some point.

There was a point in time where many great achievements very nearly failed miserably, and a good number of enormously successful were so ridiculously unsuccessful that they very nearly gave it up and decided to do something else. Stories of actors waiting tables and tripling up in studio apartments have become legendary, of course. I’ve had worldwide touring musicians tell me in interviews that the gigs which they remembered most were the ones years prior where 80 people turned up. I once sat in on an interview with some world-renowned architects who recalled that their first gig was designing a bus stop in Austin, Texas: “Let me tell you, that was one beautiful bus stop, by golly. At least it was to us, because it meant we could pay the rent.”

And see, most successful people don’t want to admit that they were fortunate. They will sort of mention it in passing, of course, but that they “worked hard” or “wanted it more” was obviously their key to success. This is precisely why, for the purposes of this blog, successful people are lame. Most of the failure that we chronicle here at In Play Lose is put forth by people who are oh, so close to being great, but not quite. They have “worked hard” and “wanted it really badly” almost as much as the guys wearing the championship rings, but something was lacking, something really small often prevented them from ultimately being successful. We’re talking about minute differences here. The worst player on the Philadelphia 76ers could walk into all but 30 basketball courts in this country, join in a pick-up game and proceed to wipe the floor with the rest of the bushers around him. But put them on one of those 30 courts within the confines of NBA arenas, and they wind up looking like dodo birds.

And the Golden State Warriors, as constructed, are definitely something of an accident. Winning in professional sports begins with the acquisition of talent, of course, and the Warriors were lucky in doing so – “lucky” in the sense that a lot of their competitors didn’t know what they were doing. Consider the 2009 draft, when regular lottery dwellers Minnesota had both the 5th and 6th picks in the draft. The Timberwolves had many needs, like most bad teams do, and they had a particularly pressing need at the point guard position. In their minds, the slickest point guard available was a teenage Spanish phenom named Ricky Rubio, whom they acquired with the 5th pick, but Rubio was under contract at F.C. Barcelona, and the Wolves knew it was going to take some time to buy him out and bring him to Minnesota, so they hedged their bets and drafted another point guard with the 6th pick – Jonny Flynn, who turned out of be a waste of space and who amounted to nothing.

And with the 7th pick in the 2009 draft, the Golden State Warriors selected Steph Curry.

Now, no one, and I mean no one, could foresee that, by the time he was in his 7th season in the league, Steph Curry would morph into the greatest shooter in the history of the sport and a player who would radically alter the game of basketball as we know it. Even so, it’s hard not to see this as an epic gag by the Wolves of historic proportions, one on par with the Trail Blazers picking Sam Bowie instead of Michael Jordan, or the Trail Blazers then opting for Greg Oden instead of Kevin Durant. (What about the four teams who picked before the Wolves in that draft and also passed on Curry, you ask? Well, I think the Clippers are pretty happy with Blake Griffin, the Zombies scored with James Harden but then bungled the trade to the Rockets, Tyreke Evans was pretty good with the Kings but has since moved on to New Orleans, like anyone does as quickly as possible who is stuck with the Kings, and the Grizzlies selected … Hasheem Thabeet. Remember him? Yikes.)

Fortune smiled again on the Warriors in the 2011 draft in the form of complete incompetence from some of their competitors. Some decent players went in the Top 10 that year, but so did the perpetually useless Derrick Williams and Jan Veselý (who?), and so did the wonderfully-named but not particularly successful Bismack Biyombo, taken 7th the Sacramento Kings, who compounded the disaster and showed their usual penchant for idiocy and short-term thinking in a hope to put asses in seats, as they swung a deal with the 10th-picking Milwaukee Bucks to acquire Jimmer Fredette, the Tim Tebow of the Mormon world, a player whose exploits and ensuing cult following at the college level didn’t exactly translate into pro success. (He’s currently playing with the Knicks – the Westchester Knicks of the D-League.) And after all that mess was over and done with during the 2011 draft, the Warriors picked 11th and picked Klay Thompson, the guy who went off for 39 the other night against Indiana, and who has turned out to be better than every one* of the 10 guys picked before him that night.

(*You could make an argument Kyrie Irving is better. You’d be wrong, in my opinion, but at least I’d be willing to listen.)

So as you can see, the Warriors hit the jackpot twice on the talent acquisition front simply because some of their closest competitors – closest in terms of being terrible and desperately needed good players – completely, utterly whiffed in the draft. But this is what bad teams do, just as the Warriors did for much of the previous 30+ years. And the acquisition of good talent isn’t always apparent, at first. No one gave two shits when the New England Patriots used the 199th pick in the 2000 draft on a Michigan QB named Tom Brady. NFL gurus were aghast when the Seahawks threw their 3rd round pick, a QB named Russell Wilson, under center from the get-go and declared him their starter. You hit and you miss, you just don’t know what you’re going to get. If landing a #1 pick in the NBA draft lottery was such a sure thing, then more than five of those players would’ve won NBA titles by now. (This is why the 76ers perpetual floating of the floor is such folly, but we’ll have plenty more to say about those idiots here in the weeks to come. Trust me.) And good talent ultimately isn’t worth a damn without development. You have to put the pieces in place in your organization, through coaching and support staff, in order to give talent the best opportunities to succeed.

Which is easier said than done, of course, and in professional sports, the time-tested and half-assed way to do this is simply to try to copy what other guys are doing. Everyone in the NBA wants to be Spursy. San Antonio’s longstanding success has led to their coaches and execs springing up in open gigs in OKC and Atlanta and Philadelphia. The New England Patriots’ staff are regularly raided when coaching and front office jobs open up in the NFL. Prior to the Pats, raiding the Mike Holmgren-era Packers was en vogue, and lately, the hot place to go is the staff in Seattle. But trying to replicate the success of a Greg Popovich or a Bill Belichick has proven nearly impossible – in part because Greg Popovich and Bill Belichick are always evolving and shifting the way they approach their craft. The Pats have run every sort of offense imaginable over 20 years. The Spurs go big, play fast, play slow, what have you. Billy Beane had moved on from the original Moneyball concepts about the time the rest of the MLB began to catch on. (He had good reason to do so – the discount-rate sorts of players he’d advocated had suddenly gotten very expensive.) You can hire the right-hand man of a true innovator to run your organization, but you’re not necessary hiring the innovation.

And with the Warriors, innovation has come from head coach Steve Kerr. It took some serious chutzpah from Joe Lacob to fire Mark Jackson after three seasons in which he turned the Warriors’ fortunes around and turned them into a playoff team. (Jackson deserves some credit for their success, but not nearly as much as some blowhards would have you believe.) Kerr had no coaching experience and was working in broadcasting, and it sounded like a ridiculous hire at the time, except that Kerr always had a reputation as a player for being a coach on the floor, someone with an enormous basketball IQ – a trait which served him well with the Jordan-era Bulls, where Jordan’s brilliance masked the fact that they were the most intelligent team in the league. Kerr had done his research (and also done quite few Warriors games as a commentator), and what he saw was possible at Golden State was something no one had really even imagined. The Jackson-era offense tended to stagnate too easily, thus negating the great shooting of Curry and Thompson, and was so dependent on isolation and 2-man games that it negated the fact that the Warriors possessed good passers at every position and blunted the talents of both Harrison Barnes and, more importantly, Draymond Green. Green, in particular, is the guy whose talents no one truly appreciated coming out of college – not even the Warriors, who picked him in the 2nd round. His size and skill set don’t make sense – or, at least, they didn’t until Kerr took the job and instilled the Warriors passing game, in which Green often serves almost as a stand-in point guard, able to shoot and drive and pick out open shooters from all sorts of different angles. Suddenly, a 6’7” guy who has no real position in the NBA became one of the most confounding match-up quandaries for opponents.

The Warriors now unleash, at crunch time (if crunch time ever happens, which isn’t often), the single-most devastating lineup in the league: Curry, Thompson, Barnes, Green, Iguodala. That lineup is currently averaging 170 points per 48 minutes played. In one of their only close calls this season, that lineup simply crushed the Clippers in the 4th Quarter, and may have crushed the Clippers’ psyches in the process. They seem to enjoy doing that, particularly to teams perceived as rivals for the title. The Warriors took great pleasure in mauling the Grizzlies both at home and in Memphis, and made sure to further humiliate the Houston Rockets, who have failed to launch this season. I’ve read quite a few articles theorizing about what sort of scheme Greg Popovich will cook up to slow down the Warriors when they meet later this year. It’s a strange question, one that infers somewhat that the Warriors are somehow standing still. If I’m the Warriors, I’d look at the Spurs old, slow lineup and hit them with the lineup I mentioned above right from the opening tip, just as that lineup started the last three games of the NBA Finals. I would come right out against one of the slowest-paced teams in the league and try to run them into the ground, and also expose whatever defensive ploys they have in mind right from the get-go. The sooner you expose what they’re trying to do, the sooner you can adjust. In the end, I can’t see how the Spurs, who are a terrific team, can beat this team 4 times out of 7. Unless injuries hit – always a legit possibility, of course, and one to be mindful of – I don’t see how anyone can.

And this just doesn’t happen. It’s preposterous. It’s absurd. It also tends to be fleeting. There is a reason why so few teams are able to repeat. Generally, winning championships and shattering performance records requires an awful lot to go right, and the law of averages starts to catch up with you in terms of injuries and such. With success also comes increased payrolls, as you invariably have to reward those who got you the title. In the NFL, the Seahawks deep and dominating side from two seasons ago has splintered in short order, simply because there wasn’t any viable way for the club to keep everyone under the constraints of the NFL salary cap. The small-market Royals already lost Ben Zobrist, will likely lose Johnny Cueto, and now have to figure out how to pay everyone else. (Though I suspect both the Seahawks and Royals consider these to be inherently nice problems to have.) As for the Warriors, Draymond Green has a new, $87 million contract after last year, and come summertime, the club will have to figure out if/how to re-sign swingman Harrison Barnes and rapidly improving center Festus Ezeli. A player’s value goes up simply through being a part of a championship team, regardless of what their actual contribution was. As such, they tend to be wildly overpaid as free agents. In the case of both the guys I just mentioned, they are restricted free agents and the Warriors have the right to match any offers, but the Warriors already had to dump the big salary of David Lee in the off-season so as to avoid going over a payroll threshold which would’ve incurred huge luxury tax penalties, and if some team foolishly offers Harrison Barnes a $100 million contract, who knows what the Warriors will do?

And everyone is competing, trying to get better, looking for that edge. The margins are so slim that sustaining success of the sort the Warriors are now experiencing is impossible. You just can’t win every year. I’ll be perfectly happy winning every other year – and speaking of which, 2016 is almost here, which means we should start preparing for another San Francisco Giants pennant race and parade. And something really amusing happens when you do what the Giants have done, which is capture World Series in 2010, 2012, and 2014: you become the enemy. I love going onto fan sites now and reading “the Giants are the worst,” and “their fans are so obnoxious” and all that stuff. During the 56 years in which the San Francisco Giants failed to win a World Series, no one outside of the Bay Area as much as gave a shit about them. Then they win three in five and jealousy starts to settle in, envy and bitterness arises.

And it’s awesome. It’s totally awesome. Hey, I loved the Jordan era Chicago Bulls right up until they played the Sonics in the 1996 NBA Finals, at which point they became evil incarnate. A lot of people seem to think that Patriots fans are particularly annoying in the NFL, but I just see the most obnoxious among them as being newcomers and recent converts who don’t remember the days of the early 1990s when the 2-14 Pats were duking it out with the 2-14 Seahawks to see which team would be bad enough to get the first pick in the NFL draft. The Patriots are their fans have become “smug,” just as the Yankees are “smug” and the Spurs are “smug.” It’s all good-natured nonsense entirely based upon jealousy and not based in reality.

Well, OK, the Dodgers are scum. But that’s just fact and should be accepted as such.

And the Warriors will start to be vilified as well. If they go 75-7 and obliterate the field come playoff time, they’ll become every club’s mortal enemy next season, and everyone in 29 other places will be so mad whenever Curry makes another 35-footer and so giddy if/when their home club can topple the champs for a night. Warrior fans who suffered 40 years of indignity and embarrassment, yet still kept turning up all that time, will come to be regarded as spoiled and arrogant and whatnot. Awesome. All of it. Bring it on.

And all of this talking about winning is making me feel, well, almost dirty. I know not to trust this feeling, I know that it’s not real – and then the Warriors go out and win another game. Maybe they’ll lose tomorrow night in Boston. Yeah, they probably will, especially since I’ve been writing about them and now I’ve jinxed them. How does that line from Bull Durham go? “Never fuck with a winning streak.” Sorry guys. My bad.

No, come to think they probably won’t lose. I have no idea when they’ll ever lose.

And in terms of Geoff’s original question about what constitutes success, I’d like to say that I’d like to see a team that’s always pretty good, even if they never win anything, since on a nightly basis I would be entertained – except that I’m fascinated with failure, of course, so losing isn’t the worst thing imaginable. (Although I’ll freely admit that watching most every game of the 2-9 homestand by Seattle Mariners last summer which essentially ended their season was too much for even me to take.) Not all of my favorite sides are necessarily colossal failures. The Vancouver Canucks have been generally good for most of the past 15 years, and while they’ve failed in the playoffs, they won division title after division title and, night after night, you had a pretty good chance of seeing some spectacular play if you tuned in for one of their games. Likewise, the Sonics teams I had season tickets for in the early 1990s were easily the most exciting teams to watch in the league. They never won a title, and suffered an incredible indignity by choking in the first round of the 1994 playoffs, but again, they were spectacular entertainment.

Having said that, well, some of the most fun I’ve had in a life of sports fandom have come when long-suffering sides that I support rise up and reach the pinnacle. Even watching “the richest game in football” from afar, on television, the excitement of the 45,000 Norwich F.C. fans at Wembley was palpable, tangible. You could almost feel it through the screen. Norwich scored twice in the first 15 minutes, and for the next 75, the game was essentially a party for everyone dressed in yellow and green. And why shouldn’t it be? Apart from a League Cup in the mid 1980s, Norwich City has never won anything in 100+ years as a club. That sort of joy and jubilation is hard to beat. We were out and about in the Mission on the night the Warriors won the NBA title last summer, and the senses of joy and relief where everywhere among the people in the many people in the streets – after 40 years, the Warriors had finally done something right. Surprisingly, among the three Giants championships I’ve seen since I’ve lived here, the celebration after the first – which broke the 56-year skid – was actually the most subdued, as jubilation was mixed with a profound sense of relief. Finally, the club which had had so many great players over the years – Mays and McCovey, Marichal and Cepeda, Clark and Bonds, etc. – had attained that ultimate prize. And heaven only knows what will happen if the Mariners ever win a World Series, or the Canucks win a Stanley Cup, or the Oranje win a World Cup, but it would definitely be fun to find out.

That feeling of finally reaching that pinnacle is pretty hard to beat. It almost makes years of frustration seem as if they were worthwhile. So I’m not sure how you define success, really. But since the Warriors don’t seem particularly inclined to ever lose again, in this particular instance, success is being defined for me, and quite nicely at that.

OK, enough of this winning bullshit. Fortunately, the Vancouver Canucks are god awful so far this season, having amassed more losses so far than any other team in the NHL. (But they’re the right kind of losses, so it’s not all bad.) And hey, the 76ers lost again, dropping them to 1-22 on the season. Now that’s more like it …